Tag: wnba best bets

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WNBA Free Bet | Lynx vs Sun | Sept 17th 2024

ASA WNBA free bet on Connecticut Sun -1 vs. Minnesota Lynx, 7PM ET

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This is a big game for both teams as they sit 2nd and 3rd in the overall playoff standings. The Lynx have a 2 game lead over the Sun with two games remaining. Minnesota has the Sparks on deck so even if they split, they will lock up the 2-seed if the Sun goes 2-0.

We have Minnesota graded slightly higher than NY as the best team in the W. With the #2 seed essentially locked up we expect them to rest players and get ready for a playoff run.

Connecticut mathematically can move up to the #2 seed (unlikely as the Lynx would have to lose 2 straight) or could fall to the #4 seed behind the Aces.

A letdown here by the Lynx would be understandable considering they are coming off a huge win against the Liberty on Sunday. The Sun are coming off a loss in Las Vegas and should be motivated here back at home.

Connecticut has won 4-straight in the series and 8 of the last ten. The Sun are 26-12 SU the last two seasons at home with an average +/- of +6.2PPG. Our WNBA free bet is on the Connecticut Sun to win against the Minnesota Lynx.

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WNBA Free Bet | Mystics vs Sky Prediction | Sept 11 2024

ASA WNBA free play on Washington Mystics +1 at Chicago Sky, 8PM ET

These two teams have near identical records with the Mystic 14-24 SU, the Sky are 13-22 SU. The Mystic though have been under-valued by the oddsmakers all season long with a 23-11-1 ATS record compared to the Sky who are 16-19 ATS.

Washington has played well of late with a 5-2 SU record their last seven games which includes several quality wins. The two losses in that stretch came to the Lynx and Sun who are two of the best four teams in the league. Also included in that stretch is a road win against this same Sky team with Angel Reese in the lineup for Chicago.

The Sky had lost 7 straight games prior to winning their last two against the Sparks and Wings. The most recent win was an upset as they were without Reese (injured out for the season) yet won 92-77 at home over the Wings as a +4-point dog.

Since the Olympic break the Mystics have played much better than the Sky with a Net rating of -1.8 compared to the Sky who have a Net rating of -5.2.

This will be a tight game but we like the Mystic to prevail by single-digits.

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WNBA Free bet | Dream vs. Liberty | 8-30-24

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ASA WNBA FREE play on UNDER 165.5 Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces, 10PM ET

Atlanta allows the 5th fewest PPG in the league at 80.1 and rank 6th in Defensive Net Rating. The Dream are the 10th slowest paced team in the league and prefer a slower tempo. Atlanta has a hard time scoring points averaging just 75.8PPG and they rank last in Offensive Net Rating. Las Vegas is the fastest paced team for the overall season, but in their last six games after the Olympic break they rank 9th in pace of play. They are averaging 7 less PPG in their last six games compared to their season average too. In the two meetings between these two teams this season they combined for 162 and 154 total points. Combined in the last ten games for each of these two teams they have only gone Over in 6 of 20 games. The value in the number dictates and Under wager here.

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FREE WNBA bet | Mercury vs Sky Prediction | 8-15-24

ASA’s FREE WNBA bet on Chicago Sky +2 vs. Phoenix Mercury, 8PM ET

Are you looking for a free WNBA bet today? We have you covered with a light bet on the Chicago Sky plus the points at home against Phoenix. The USA Olympic team featured three Mercury players, which means they could suffer from an emotional hangover against the Sky. Chicago was not represented in the Olympics, and their young roster has been home practicing since the break.

Only 3 wins separate these two teams with Chicago having the better overall Net Rating of -2.6 versus the Mercury’s -3.0. One glaring question here is why are the Mercury favored on the road vs. Chicago? Phoenix is the better overall offensive team, but the Sky hold the advantage defensively.

In a recent home game, the Sky were +3.5 points at home against a Liberty team that is one of the 4 best teams in the league. That makes this line high by that comparison.

We like Chicago to get this home win as our free WNBA bet on Thursday, August 15th. We won’t use this as a rated bet considering the Sky’s bad home underdog record and the Mercury’s strong road chalk numbers. It’s still worth a light play based on the circumstances though.

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WNBA Prediction | Sky vs Dream | 7/2/2024

WNBA Free Bet ASA play on Chicago Sky -1 at Atlanta Dream, 7PM ET

The Sky have been the more consistent team this season while the Dream have had their ups and downs, much of which is related to injuries. Atlanta was without Jordin Canada (ave’d 13.3PPG, 6.0APG last year) for most of the season but she has returned for 3 games but hasn’t been the same player. On the injured list now is Rhyne Howard who was averaging 15.4PPG, 4.5RPG and 3.4APG. After a 4-2 start to the season the Dream are now 3-8 SU their last eleven games. In this current 11-game stretch the Dream have the 3rd worst Net Rating in the league at -10.0. They have really struggled offensively with the worst Offensive Net rating of 92.2 and an EFG% of 42.7%. If we compare them to the Sky’s last eleven games we see a pretty stark contrast as the Sky have an overall Net Rating of minus -4.9. Chicago is 3-7 SU their last ten games but a look at who they’ve played says a lot with close losses to Minnesota, Las Vegas, Connecticut and New York who are some of the best teams in the league. On the season the Sky have a Net Point differential of minus -2.0PPG which is better than the Dream’s minus -4.5PPG. In a recent meeting the Dream beat the Sky by 9-points in Chicago but that was with Howard in the lineup who recorded a double-double in the game. We expect payback here with Chicago.

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