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Cowboys vs Giants preview | 9-26-24

Cowboys vs Giants preview

NFL Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants – September 26, 2024

Cowboys vs Giants Preview Game Overview: The Dallas Cowboys, with a record of 1-2, are set to clash with the New York Giants, also standing at 1-2, in what promises to be a pivotal NFC East matchup on Thursday Night Football at MetLife Stadium. This game could be crucial for both teams looking to gain ground in a competitive division.

Betting Lines and Odds:

  • Spread: Cowboys -4.5
  • Moneyline: Cowboys -300, Giants +250
  • Over/Under: 45 points

Key Betting Insights:

  • Trend Analysis: The Cowboys are 1/2 SU/ATS and coming off an upset loss at home to the Ravens. The Giants, despite their record, have shown moments of competitiveness, and stand 1-2 SU/ATS with a win last week in Cleveland.
  • Team Performance:
    • Dallas Cowboys: Dak Prescott has been efficient, throwing for 851 yards with 4 touchdowns and 2 INT’s, but the defense has been a concern, particularly against the run allowing 187.5 rushing YPG. This could play into the Giants’ strategy if they can establish their ground game, which has been a problem as they rush for just 105YPG.
    • New York Giants: The Giants have leaned on Devin Singletary, who’s been effective with 197 rushing yards on 4.1 yards per carry. However, QB Danny Jones and their passing game needs to step up against a Cowboys defense that’s been exploited for 44 and 28-points in two straight games.
  • Player Props:
    • Dak Prescott: In the second meeting of the season last year, Prescott threw for 404 yards with 4 TD’s and one INT in a Cowboys 49-17 win against the Giants. We may take a look at Over Prescott’s total passing yards Over in this game against a Giants defense allowign the 13th most passing YPG in 2024.
    • CeeDee Lamb: As a key option for Prescott with 24 targets this season, Lamb’s receiving yards of 78.5 offer value. Lamb and Prescott got into a heated exchange last week and Prescott may focus on getting Lamb the ball against the Giants. Lamb is averaging 101.1 receiving yards p/game in his last 10 games. The last time he faced NY he was targeted 14 times and finished with 151-receiving yards.
    • Jake Ferguson: Ferguson came back last week after missing a game with an injury and received 11 targets from Prescott with 6 receptions for 95-yards. We would consider hit Over 4.5 recepions made before total yardage.
  • Public Sentiment and Betting Patterns:
    • Early money has slightly favored the Cowboys, but there’s significant interest in the Giants covering the spread, especially with home-field advantage in play.
  • Injury Reports and Team News:
    • Keep an eye on the injury report, particularly for key defensive players on both sides, which could significantly impact the game’s flow and betting lines.

Betting Insights:

  • Spread: The Cowboys opened (-5.5) are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS the last ten meetings with the Giants and have won 6 in a row.
  • Over/Under: The total opened at 43.5 points. This series is on a 7-3 Over run with last years two games finishing with 40 total points on this field and 66-points when they met in Dallas. The last 4 meetings in New York have stayed Under.
  • Prop Bets: Focus on Prescott’s passing stats and Lamb’s receiving yards, along with Ferguson’s targets in this one, against this Giants secondary that allowed 10.0-yards per reception a year ago, 9th highest number in the NFL. Maybe also, consider Singletary’s rushing yards or carries if the Giants commit to the running game.

Conclusion: Always consider the latest team news, especially regarding injuries, which could sway the game’s outcome significantly. Remember, while trends and stats guide, football’s unpredictability means no bet is guaranteed. Enjoy the game and bet responsibly!

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TNF Free Bet – Bears vs. Commanders – October 5th 2023

ASA FREE PLAY 1ST HALF TOTAL BET – OVER 21.5 CHICAGO BEARS @ WASHINGTON COMMANDERS

These teams should put up plenty of points here in the first half to cash this over. Games involving the Bears this season have averaged 25.3 total points per game by halftime.

Ironically, games involving the Commanders have averaged that exact same total of 25.3PPG.

Defensively Washington is solid against the Pass but susceptible against the run. The Commanders allow 4.5 Yards Per Rush (26th) and 122.5RYPG (21st). The Bears can exploit that weakness with their rushing offense that is 5th in Yards Per Rush at 4.7 and 13th in overall rushing YPG.

Washington allows 30PPG (29th) which is a full TD more than league average.

While we are on the subject of defense….

The Bears defense allows 6.2YPPL which ranks 29th in the league. They give up 34.2PPG which is 2nd to last in the league.

Washington hasn’t been great offensively but QB Howell should have success here against a Bears Pass D is 32nd in Yards Per Completion, 31st in Yards Per Pass Attempt and 31st in opposing quarterbacks QBR.

It all adds up to plenty of points in the 1st half of this game and we will back the OVER 21.5 1st HALF.

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