ASA free play OVER 217.5 SPURS @ CAVS
These two teams met in mid-January and produced 223 total points. The O/U on that game was 219.5 so they’ve adjusted this number down, which according to our model is the wrong direction. The Cavaliers attempted 92 field goals in the previous meeting, the Spurs 95, both of which are higher than their season averages and the league average of 88.1. The Spurs prefer to play uptempo with the 5th fastest pace in the league at 99.8. The Spurs are 8th in scoring at 111.5PPG, 9th in shooting at 46.6% and 14th in 3-point shooting at 35.4%. The Cavs offense has struggled at times with the 23rd ranked scoring offense at 106.5PPG, 16th in offensive efficiency. They shoot 46.4% (10th) overall and rank 17th in 3PT% at 35.1%. But the Cavs will score here vs. this Spurs defense that is 18th in DEFF and gives up 111.5PPG. Cleveland gets a much-needed lift offensively with the addition of Caris Levert who is an instant offense averaging 18.7PPG and 4.4 assists. The Spurs have been off 5 days so they are well rested and ready to run. Last 5 meetings have resulted in OVER with all 5 games finishing with more than 223 or more points.
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