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MLB Future Bets | Win Totals 2025 | MLB free predictions

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Welcome to our 2025 MLB Futures Predictions! As the new season approaches, we’re diving into the American and National Leagues to break down each team’s outlook. From win totals to key roster changes, our ASA Analysis digs into pitching, bullpens, and batting to give you the edge on what to expect. Whether you’re eyeing bets or just love the game, check out our projections—backed by 2024 results and the latest offseason moves as of March 2025. Let’s see who’s poised to shine and who might stumble in the race to October!

American League Projections

AL East

  • Baltimore Orioles: 2024 Wins: 91. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Zach Eflin anchors, but Grayson Rodriguez’s injury hurts depth. Lost ace Burnes to Arizona. Bullpen: Solid, no major upgrades. Batting: Young core (Henderson, Rutschman) excels, but Henderson starts on IL. Projection: 84 wins (Burnes impossible to replace).

  • Boston Red Sox: 2024 Wins: 81. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Garrett Crochet adds strikeouts, Buehler from Dodgers helps, but rotation depth is thin. Bullpen: Average. Batting: Resurgent with Casas, Yoshida (starts on IL), plus Bregman (24+ HRs in 5 of last 6 full seasons). Projection: 85 wins (key pitching adds lift from 2024).

  • New York Yankees: 2024 Wins: 94. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 88.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Rodón returns, Cole lost for season, Fried (3.07 lifetime ERA) from Atlanta a big add. Bullpen: Reliable, not elite. Batting: Soto’s exit stings, Judge carries. Projection: 87 wins (-7, Soto and Cole losses hurt).

  • Tampa Bay Rays: 2024 Wins: 80. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 80.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Steady but unspectacular, ace McClanahan starts on IL (post-Tommy John, no 2024 innings). Bullpen: Top-10 ERA. Batting: Díaz leads a so-so lineup. Projection: 83 wins (+3, consistent 86+ wins in 5 prior full seasons).

  • Toronto Blue Jays: 2024 Wins: 74. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 79.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Berríos, Gausman solid, Scherzer (aging but decent) from Texas added. Bullpen: Average. Batting: Santander (105 HRs last 3 years) boosts Guerrero Jr., lifts 9th-ranked OPS. Projection: 81 wins (+7, lineup upgrade).

AL Central

  • Chicago White Sox: 2024 Wins: 41. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 54.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Crochet gone, weak rotation, top 4 starters have 5 or fewer career wins. Bullpen: Poor (2nd highest WHIP, 3rd highest ERA). Batting: Last in HRs and OPS, no power adds. Projection: 52 wins (+11, regression to mean).

  • Cleveland Guardians: 2024 Wins: 92. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 82.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Bieber’s return iffy (missed most of 2024), Bibee back, Ortiz from Pirates helps. Bullpen: Clase elite, otherwise thin. Batting: Naylor’s exit (31 HRs) stings, Ramirez (39 HRs) returns. Projection: 79 wins (-13, offseason losses).

  • Detroit Tigers: 2024 Wins: 86. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 83.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Skubal elite, Flaherty back from Dodgers adds depth. Bullpen: Very good (2nd in ERA). Batting: Young upside, but Meadows (CF) on 60-day DL, Vierling out early. Projection: 86 wins (steady playoff contender).

  • Kansas City Royals: 2024 Wins: 86. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Ragans, Lugo, Wacha top AL trio. Bullpen: Average, Estévez from Phillies boosts. Batting: Witt Jr. MVP caliber (4th in OPS), India from Reds adds. Projection: 86 wins (good, tough division).

  • Minnesota Twins: 2024 Wins: 87. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 84.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Lopez, Ryan, Ober return, no big adds. Bullpen: Decent, Coulombe from Orioles helps. Batting: Quiet offseason, Lewis and Lee out early. Projection: 83 wins (minimal roster improvement).

AL West

  • Houston Astros: 2024 Wins: 88. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Valdez, Brown solid, Garcia and McCullers unlikely to return. Bullpen: Solid, Hader closes, Abreu, Scott, King back. Batting: Altuve to OF, Alvarez (35 HRs), Walker from D-backs added. Projection: 84 wins (pitching depth shaky).

  • Los Angeles Angels: 2024 Wins: 63. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 72.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Kikuchi from Houston key, Anderson, Soriano okay, rotation thin. Bullpen: Average, Jansen (447 saves) from Boston closes. Batting: Trout’s health critical, Moncado (3B) may miss early games. Projection: 73 wins (better with Trout).

  • Oakland Athletics: 2024 Wins: 69. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 71.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Severino (Mets), Springs (Rays) lead, Sears, Bido back. Bullpen: Miller elite, rest walked 233 (5th most). Batting: 8th in HRs, top 4 (22+ HRs each) return, small Sacramento park. Projection: 74 wins (improved roster).

  • Seattle Mariners: 2024 Wins: 85. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 85.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Castillo, Gilbert strong, Kirby (shoulder) could make rotation elite. Bullpen: Strong (4th best WHIP), lost Brash. Batting: .224 BA (2nd worst), most strikeouts. Projection: 84 wins (pitching carries, offense limits).

  • Texas Rangers: 2024 Wins: 78. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: DeGrom, Eovaldi solid, Scherzer gone, Gray on 60-day DL, thin rotation. Bullpen: No proven closer, Webb, Armstrong added. Batting: Top 10 BA/OPS, Seager back, Peterson joins. Projection: 82 wins (pitching concerns).

National League Projections

NL East

  • Atlanta Braves: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 93.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Sale, Strider (due back early April) lead a deep staff. Bullpen: Top-tier. Batting: Acuña, Olson power. Even with franchise studs in Spencer Strider and Ronald Acuna Jr. missing most of 2024 this team still won 89 reg ssn games. Projection: 93 wins (+4, healthy core).

  • Miami Marlins: 2024 Wins: 62. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 62.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Weak after trades and don’t expect Sany Alcantara (2022 Cy Young) to be on the roster past July. Bullpen: Mediocre at best. Batting: Thin roster. 3rd worst run differential in the Majors last year -204. Projection: 64 wins (+2, young talent emerges).

  • New York Mets: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 90.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Manaea 11th Cy Young voting last year, Holmes key. Bullpen: Solid. Batting: Soto transforms lineup with his 160OPS+, an average of 34 homers, 132 walks and 106 runs over the past 3 seasons. Projection: 87 wins (-2, pitching questions).

  • Philadelphia Phillies: 2024 Wins: 95. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 90.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Wheeler has finished top 10 in Cy Young voting in 3 of the past four seasons, Nola strong. Bullpen: Solid but has lost Hoffman and Estevez in the offseason. Batting: Harper, Turner led this team to 4.8 runs p/game in 2024, 5th most. Projection: 87 wins (-8, regression expected).

  • Washington Nationals: 2024 Wins: 71. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 72.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Gore, Irvin decent. Bullpen: Average. Batting: Dylan Crews has the potential to earn NL Rookie of the Year with a stat stuffing season. James Wood, Luis Garcia Jr and CJ Abrams add pop. Projection: 75 wins (+4, youth movement).

NL Central

  • Chicago Cubs: 2024 Wins: 83. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 84.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Imanaga solid, Boyd adds. Bullpen: Pressly helps but not a top 15 unit. Batting: Kyle Tucker could be a 30/30 guy for the Cubs in 2025. Cubs scored the 6th fewest runs last season. Projection: 82 wins (-1, more of the same).

  • Cincinnati Reds: 2024 Wins: 82. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 80.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Greene 1.02 WHIP in 2024, Singer talented 9-13 record with 3.71 ERA with KC last season. Bullpen: Middling. Batting: De La Cruz electric! .259 average w/25 HR’s in 2025. Steer chipped in 92 RBI’s. Projection: 78 wins (-4, health risks).

  • Milwaukee Brewers: 2024 Wins: 92. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 83.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Steady with Peralta, Cortes and Myers. The return of Woodruff could be a huge boost. Bullpen: Lost Williams but added lefties Cortes Jr and Quintana. Batting: Contreras carries the load, and Jackson Chourio is an up-and-comer. Projection: 89 wins (-3, slight regression).

  • Pittsburgh Pirates: 2024 Wins: 76. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 77.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Skenes dominates in a rotation that has a ton of potential. Bullpen: Average, Bednar off a disappointing season 5.77 ERA, 58 K’s and 28 BB. Batting: Weak offseason, 9.30 SO’s p/game in 2024 (27th most). Projection: 78 wins (+2, Skenes effect and solid young staff).

  • St. Louis Cardinals: 2024 Wins: 83. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 76.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Gray leads w/13-9 record LY, 3.84 ERA, depth is okay. Bullpen: Helsley strong as the Cards closer. Batting: Arenado aging, Contreras solid but just 84 games in 2024. Projection: 73 wins. The Cards were +12 in wins from 2023-24 but expect a regression. (-10, may selloff at trade deadline).

NL West

  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 87.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: the Corbin Burnes signing was huge, Zac Gallen and the rest of the staff is elite. Bullpen: Good. Batting: Marte finished top 3 in MVP voting in 2024 w/.292 average, 36 HR’s and .932 OPS.  Corbin Carroll and Josh Naylor add depth to this lineup. Projection: 90 wins (+1, tough division, but potentially a great rotation).

  • Colorado Rockies: 2024 Wins: 61. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 61.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Awful. Bullpen: Weak. Batting: Some power with Bryant who hit 30 HR’s last season, no support. This team has been near the bottom of the league for the past 5 years. Projection: 61 wins (NA, no improvement).

  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 2024 Wins: 98. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 105.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Sasaki, Ohtani, Snell, Glasnow and Sasaki, find a deeper rotation. Bullpen: Elite w/ Kopech, Scott, Yates and Treinen. Batting: Ohtani, Betts unmatched. 4th best team batting average at .261, 1st in slugging at .445 and a run differential of +180. Projection: 99 wins (+1, still dominant).

  • San Diego Padres: 2024 Wins: 93. 2025 TOTAL WIN odds 85.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Cease, King strong, Darvish to start the season on the IL. Bullpen: Solid a top 13 unit. Batting: Tatis, Machado lead, can Bogaerts turn back the clock one more year. Last year’s rookie sensation Jackson Merrill is a player to watch. Projection: 82 wins (-11, potential trades if the team decides to sell at the deadline).

  • San Francisco Giants: 2024 Wins: 81. 2025 TOTAL WIN odds 79.5

ASA Analysis – Pitching: Logan Webb when on is one of the best in the game. Will age catch up to Verlander? Bullpen: Doval rebounds. After 39 saves in 2023, Doval slipped to 23 a year ago. Batting: Adames adds punch with 32 HR’s last season and a .251 average. Ramos and Chapman also provide depth at the top of the lineup. Projection: 81 wins (steady).

Notes

  • Top Teams: The Dodgers and Braves have the highest win totals set by the oddsmakers due to elite pitching, bullpens, and batting. The Mets, Yankees, and Phillies follow with strong but slightly flawed rosters.
  • Bottom Teams: The White Sox remain weak, while the Rockies and Marlins struggle with pitching and depth.
  • Surprises: Guardians won 92 games a year ago, yet their win total is (82.5) due to losses; Angels rise with an O/U number of (72.5) after winning just 63 game a year ago.

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Responsible Gambling | ASAwins

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

Gambling and sports betting can be an exciting and enjoyable form of entertainment, but they also carry risks. Please consider the following:

  • Age Restriction: You must be at least 18 years old (or the legal age in your jurisdiction) to engage in gambling activities.
  • Bet Responsibly: Only bet what you can afford to lose. Never use money intended for essential expenses like rent, bills, or food.
  • Set Limits: Establish limits for time and money spent on gambling. Stick to these limits to maintain control over your gambling habits.
  • Understand the Odds: Be aware that the house always has an edge. The odds are designed for the casino or betting operator to make a profit over time.
  • Avoid Chasing Losses: If you’re on a losing streak, don’t try to win back your losses immediately. This often leads to further losses.
  • Recognize Problem Gambling: Gambling should not interfere with your personal life, work, or relationships. Signs of problem gambling include:
    • Spending more time or money than planned.
    • Neglecting responsibilities due to gambling.
    • Borrowing money or selling assets to fund gambling.
    • Lying about gambling habits.
  • Seek Help: If you or someone you know might have a gambling problem, seek help. Resources include:
    • National gambling helplines (e.g., 1-800-GAMBLER in the U.S.).
    • Support groups like Gamblers Anonymous.
    • Professional counseling.
  • Cool-Off Periods: Many platforms offer options to set a temporary self-exclusion or cooling-off periods. Use these features if you feel gambling is becoming problematic.
  • Educate Yourself: Understand the games or sports you are betting on. Knowledge can help make more informed decisions, but remember, outcomes are unpredictable.
  • Entertainment, Not Income: View gambling as a form of entertainment, not a way to make money.

By engaging in gambling activities, you acknowledge that you have read and understood this disclaimer. Remember, gambling is for fun, not as a solution to financial or personal problems. Bet responsibly.

This disclaimer aims to promote responsible gambling behavior while acknowledging the entertainment aspect of betting. Remember, the specifics can vary based on local laws and regulations, so this should be adapted accordingly.

Sports Betting Terms

Sports betting has its own set of terminology and jargon that can be helpful to know if you’re interested in sports betting. Here are some common sports betting terms:

  1. Point Spread (Spread): The point spread is a margin of victory that the sportsbook assigns to a game. It’s designed to even out the betting on both sides. For example, if a team is favored by 7 points, they must win by more than 7 points for a bet on them to win.
  2. Moneyline: The moneyline is a bet on which team will win the game outright. It involves odds that represent how much you can win or need to wager on a particular team. Positive odds indicate the potential profit on a $100 bet, while negative odds show how much you need to bet to win $100.
  3. Over/Under (Total): This is a bet on the total combined score of a game. You bet whether the actual score will be over or under the sportsbook’s predicted total.
  4. Parlay: A parlay is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers. For the bet to be a winning one, all the linked bets must win. Parlays offer higher potential payouts but are riskier.
  5. Teaser: A teaser is similar to a parlay, but you can adjust the point spread or total in your favor. However, this reduces the potential payout.
  6. Futures: Futures bets are wagers placed on an event that will happen in the future, such as betting on the winner of a championship before the season starts.
  7. Proposition Bet (Prop Bet): Prop bets are bets on specific outcomes within a game, such as which player will score the first goal or how many three-pointers a player will make.
  8. Odds: Odds represent the probability of a particular outcome and the potential payout. There are American odds (+/-), fractional odds (3/1), and decimal odds (4.00), with different regions using different formats.
  9. Bookmaker (Sportsbook): A bookmaker is an entity that accepts bets on sports events and sets the odds. Online sportsbooks are popular for placing bets.
  10. Handicap: Handicapping is a process that levels the playing field by giving one team an advantage or disadvantage to even out the betting action.
  11. Push: A push occurs when a bet results in a tie between the bettor and the sportsbook. In this case, the bet is refunded.
  12. Cover: To “cover the spread” means a team has won by enough points to beat the point spread set by the sportsbook.
  13. Juice (Vig or Vigorish): The juice is the commission or fee that the sportsbook charges for taking bets. It’s typically included in the odds.
  14. Live Betting (In-Play Betting): Live betting allows you to place bets on a game while it’s in progress, adjusting your wagers as the game unfolds.
  15. Bankroll: Your bankroll is the total amount of money you’ve set aside for sports betting. Managing your bankroll is crucial for responsible betting.
  16. Chalk: “Chalk” refers to the favorite in a game, usually the team with the lower odds.
  17. Dog: “Dog” is short for underdog, the team or outcome less likely to win, typically associated with higher odds.
  18. Sharp and Square: Sharps are experienced, knowledgeable bettors, while squares are less informed or recreational bettors.

Here are some more sports betting terms and phrases:

  1. Handle: The total amount of money wagered on a particular event or in a sportsbook over a specific time frame.
  2. Public Betting: Refers to bets that are placed by the general public or casual bettors. Public betting trends can influence odds and betting strategies.
  3. Steam: Rapid and significant line movement caused by heavy betting action on one side. This often indicates sharp bettors are backing a particular side.
  4. Closing Line: The final odds or point spread offered by the sportsbook just before an event starts. It can be compared to the opening line to see how it has moved.
  5. Dime Line: A sportsbook with a dime line offers a 10-cent difference between the favorite and underdog odds. This is common in baseball betting.
  6. Nickel Line: Similar to the dime line, but with a 5-cent difference between the odds, often used in basketball.
  7. Unit: A unit is a standardized bet size that allows bettors to manage their bankroll consistently. It’s usually a percentage of the bankroll.
  8. Hedging: Placing additional bets to reduce or eliminate the potential losses of an existing bet. This is often done to secure a profit or minimize losses.
  9. Pushing the Line: Trying to move the point spread or total in your favor by betting on it heavily, typically done by professional bettors.
  10. Arbitrage (Arb): A strategy that involves betting on all possible outcomes of an event to guarantee a profit, regardless of the outcome.
  11. Circled Game: A game that the sportsbook has limited betting options on, often due to uncertainties such as player injuries.
  12. Buy Points: A feature offered by some sportsbooks that allows bettors to adjust the point spread or total by buying or selling points.
  13. Lock: A term used when bettors are extremely confident in the outcome of a bet.
  14. Chasing: When a bettor tries to recoup previous losses by placing larger or riskier bets.
  15. Vig Free: Refers to odds that don’t include the sportsbook’s commission (juice).
  16. Bad Beat: When a seemingly winning bet turns into a losing one due to an unexpected event or late-game score.
  17. Payout: The amount of money a bettor receives if their bet is successful, including the initial wager.
  18. Stake: The amount of money you are betting on a single wager.
  19. Tout: A person or service that claims to have expert sports betting advice for a fee.
  20. Scalping: A strategy involving making quick, small profits on small changes in odds, often seen in live betting.
  21. Dollar Bet: A common term for a $100 bet.
  22. Fading the Public: Betting against the consensus or popular opinion, often a strategy used by sharp bettors.

These are just some of the many terms used in sports betting. It’s important to understand these terms and how they work if you plan to engage in sports betting. Additionally, responsible gambling and understanding the odds are essential aspects of sports betting.

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ASA Sports Betting MLB free bet – Player Prop

ASA play on: OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS: Luis Castillo – Seattle Mariners @ LA Angels, 9:30PM ET

This is one of the bigger strikeout numbers on the sports bettting board today, but every sports bettor will be playing Over 6.5 with Castillo. He has the 8th highest K/rate on the board today of all starts at 9.48 per 9/innings. Castillo has 105 strikeouts in 99.7 innings of work this season and has 6 or more K’s in 9 straight games, 7 or more in five straight. He is facing an Angels team that strikes out more than every other team in the Bigs at 9.57 per 9/innings. L.A. struggles against any type of pitchers but against right-handers they’ve struck out an average of 6.9 per 9/innings or once every 3.37 at bats. Overall, in their last 13 games the Angels are hitting just .216 as a team with 116 K’s in 436 at bats. Castillo averages 6.23 innings pitched per start and if he gets to that number today, he should easily have 8 or more K’s.

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