Tag: point train

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NFLx Quarterback rotations | 2023

NFL preseason Quarterback rotations by teams – by Point Train Consultants

If you are going to bet the preseason you better know who’s playing QB for both teams involved in the contest. It’s not always about the #1’s and how many reps the starters are going to get. You will also want to familiarize yourself with the 2nd and 3rd-stringer and how much playing time they are scheduled to get. Concerning all positions on the field, starters for each team will play early on, most importantly the offensive line if a starting quarterback is under center. Later in games when you have backups on the field, an athletic QB that can scramble and make plays with his feet becomes a valuable asset when wagering on exhibition games. Another important factor to give you an edge may be the experience of the reserve QB’s or if it’s an open competition for the starting job. A few teams that stand out to us with strong quarterback rotations include: Ravens, Eagles, Steelers, Colts and 49ers.

It’s not always as important who the starting QB may be for the NFLx, but who finishes the game. Spend some time researching the backup QB’s and looking at local newspaper feeds for hints on how much each quarterback is expected to play. Another solid wagering strategy in preseason using this philosophy is second-half wagering so keep that in mind also.

This is just one tool to use when it comes to handicapping the preseason and we hope it helps you make a few extra bucks before the real season starts.

AFC East

Bills: Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley

Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa, Mike White, Skylar Thompson, James Blackman

Patriots: Mac Jones, Bailey Zappe, Trace McSorley, Malik Cunningham

Jets: Aaron Rodgers, Zach Wilson, Tim Boyle, Chris Streveler

AFC North

Bengals: Joe Burrow, Trevor Siemian, Jake Browning, Reid Sinnett

Browns: Deshaun Watson, Joshua Dobbs, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Kellen Mond

Ravens: Lamar Jackson, Tyler Huntley, Josh Johnson, Anthony Brown

Steelers: Kenny Pickett, Mitchell Trubisky, Mason Rudolph, Tanner Morgan

AFC South

Colts: Anthony Richardson, Gardner Minshew, Sam Ehlinger

Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, C.J. Beathard, Nathan Rourke

Texans: C.J. Stroud, Davis Mills, Case Keenum

Titans: Ryan Tannehill, Will Levis, Malik Willis

AFC West

Broncos: Russell Wilson, Jarrett Stidham, Ben DiNucci

Chargers: Justin Herbert, Easton Stick, Max Duggan

Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes, Blaine Gabbert, Shane Buechele, Chris Oladokun

Raiders: Jimmy Garoppolo, Brian Hoyer, Aidan O’Connell, Chase Garbers

NFC East

Commanders: Sam Howell, Jacoby Brissett, Jake Fromm

Cowboys: Dak Prescott, Cooper Rush, Will Grier

Eagles: Jalen Hurts, Marcus Mariota, Tanner McKee, Ian Book

Giants: Daniel Jones, Tyrod Taylor, Tommy DeVito

NFC South

Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield, Kyle Trask, John Wolford

Falcons: Desmond Ridder, Taylor Heinicke, Logan Woodside

Panthers: Bryce Young, Andy Dalton, Matt Corral

Saints: Derek Carr, Jameis Winston, Jake Haener

NFC North

Bears: Justin Fields, PJ Walker, Nathan Peterman, Tyson Bagent

Lions: Jared Goff, Nate Sudfeld, Hendon Hooker, Adrian Martinez

Packers: Jordan Love, Sean Clifford, Danny Etling, Alex McGough

Vikings: Kirk Cousins, Nick Mullens, Jaren Hall

NFC West

49ers: Brock Purdy, Trey Lance, Sam Darnold, Brandon Allen

Cardinals: Kyler Murray, Colt McCoy, Clayton Tune, Jeff Driskel, David Blough

Rams: Matthew Stafford, Stetson Bennett, Brett Rypien, Dresser Winn

Seahawks: Geno Smith, Drew Lock, Holton Ahlers

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FREE college football bet | Sept 25

POINT TRAIN WAGER – #376 OREGON STATE +6 vs. USC @ 9:30PM ET

WAGER – OREGON STATE +6

  • Free college fotball – This is one of those games I keep going back to for one specific reason. The line on this game opened with USC a touchdown favorite and more money/tickets are being bet on the Trojans, yet the line moved off that key number.
  • My computers have USC as a 4.2-point favorite on a neutral field so you can see for yourself this number is slightly inflated.
  • Both have played Fresno State this season and won. OSU went to Fresno and won 35-32 as a 1-point dog. USC hosted the Bulldogs last week and won 45-17.
  • Oregon State was a 10-point road dog a year ago in So Cal and won 45-27 with a plus +109-yards differential.
  • USC is loaded on offense with some high-profile transfers but the Beavers aren’t far behind with an offense putting up 45.7PPG and averaging 12.6-Yards Per Point.
  • Defensively the Beavers were slightly better a year ago and the two units are about even this season.
  • There is value with the home dog in this one.
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College Football Free Bet – Friday Sept 23

POINT TRAIN FRIDAY OPINION PLAY ONLY: Boise State @ UTEP @ 9PM ET

WAGER – BOISE STATE -16

RATING – Opinion

  • This is one of those games you end up over-thinking and not betting the Side you should which is Boise State in this case.
  • Both teams have played New Mexico with drastically different outcomes. Boise beat UNM 31-14 in New Mexico and outgained them by +175-total yards as a 17-point favorite.
  • UTEP was at UNM last weekend and lost 10-27 as a 2-point favorite. The Miners outgained Lobos by 55-yards.
  • Last year at home the Broncos were -25-point favorites at home and won 54-13 with +130-yard advantage.
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Point Train NFL Predictions – 2022-23

POINT TRAIN PREDICTIONS – all odds found at FanDuel

NFC WINNER – Green Bay Packers +500

The Packers have rolled to an impressive 39-10 regular season record the last 3 seasons which is the best mark in the NFL over that time period.  The defense should be one of the best in the NFL this year.  Green Bay is loaded in the defensive backfield and it could be argued they have three #1 corners with Alexander, Stokes and Douglas.  If they can shore up their run defense this will be tough to beat.  Because of that, the offense may not have to do as much as previous seasons.  QB Rodgers lost some key weapons in the passing game but others have stepped up in early practices and he tends to make all of his receivers look good.  The running game will be among the best in the league as well with the 2 headed monster of Jones and Dillon.  The Packers have won the NFC North in 8 of the last 11 seasons and we expect them to come out on top in the division again this year.  They’ve come up short in the NFC Championship game in 2 of the last 3 seasons and we think they have a great shot to get over the hump this year. 

NFC LONGER SHOT – New Orleans Saints +1700

The Saints roster is loaded with talent.  It’s one of the best in the NFL.  Their defense last year was very good finishing in the top 5 in PPG, YPG, and YPP allowed.  Their offensive weapons are as good as any in the league with RB Kamara (suspension possible?) and WR’s Thomas (back from injury), Landry and rookie Olave.  Can QB Jameis Winston play well enough to get this team to the playoffs?  That’s they only question we have with this team.  If Winston plays well, the Saints should be very good.  Tampa remains the only other formidable team in the division and New Orleans has owned the Bucs beating them 7 straight times in the regular season, including 4-0 facing Brady at QB. 

AFC WINNER – Buffalo Bills +400

The Bills have lost in the AFC Divisional or Championship game in each of the last 2 seasons.  Both losses were versus the Chiefs including a 42-36 setback in OT to get to the AFC Title game last season.  If you remember Buffalo took a 3 point lead in that game with just 13 seconds remaining the Chiefs were able to tie it in regulation and win in OT.  Despite coming up short, the Bills were the best team in the NFL for the entirety of the season.  They led the NFL in point differential and yards per play differential, both by a wide margin.  All 12 of their wins came by more than 10 points and 6 of their 7 losses came by a TD or less with 2 coming in OT.  The defense led the NFL allowing just 18 PPG and in yards per play allowed at just 4.8.  The offense should be great this year with QB Allen working with some high end weapons again this season.  If the offensive line can improve just a bit, watch out.  The AFC East is a fairly weak and the Bills are definitely the class of the division.  Buffalo finally gets to the Super Bowl this year.

AFC LONGER SHOT – Indianapolis Colts +1200

The Colts have the 3rd easiest schedule in the NFL this year and they sit in one of the weakest divisions in football, the AFC South.  Houston and Jacksonville are projected to be 2 of the worst teams in the NFL once again and Tennessee had the lowest point differential of any team that won their division.  Despite finishing 2nd last year, the Colts point differential was 21 points better than the Titans.  An upgrade at QB with Matt Ryan should help significantly as Wentz was a disaster last season.  We project Indianapolis to win the division this year and at 12/1 they are not a bad investment to win it all.

SUPER BOWL WINNER – Buffalo Bills +650

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College Basketball free bet | San Francisco vs Bradley prediction | Dec 18th 2024

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Betting Insights for Army vs Navy 2024 | College Football Odds & Predictions

Description:
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