Tag: nfl winners

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ASA Detroit Lions Wins prediction – 2022

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ASA – OVER 6.5 WINS Detroit Lions 2022

The schedule is much easier this season ranking 23rd overall – last season they played one of the tougher schedules in the league and only won 3 games. The Lions start with a relatively easy slate and winnable games versus Philly and Washington at home, then go to Minnesota, then host Seattle who lost QB Wilson and is in for a down season. Detroit could realistically be 2-2, 3-1 or maybe even 4-0 at this point of the season. They also have winnable games versus: Miami (9-8), the Bears (twice) at the Giants, Jacksonville, Minnesota again, the Jets and Panthers who had a combined 53 wins last season.

The Lions should be much better offensively with the addition of WR’s St Brown and DJ Chark. They feature a solid running back duo of Swift and Williams and QB Goff should be much better in year two under Dan Campbell.

The team lost two starting offensive linemen to injury early on in Taylor Decker and Frank Ragnow but had a top 5-win rate at the line of scrimmage when all five starters were healthy. Other injuries took their toll as they lost receivers Quintez Cephus and Tyrell Williams, who were both projected as starters. Defensively the secondary was depleted due to injuries to Jeff Okudah and Ifeatu Melifonwu.

Detroit lost six one possession games last season, including three games on last second field goals by the opposing team. The fact that they were 11-6 ATS tells us they were undervalued last season and should make a big step forward this season.

Last season Statistics

Offense
Season StatsRank
Total Yards322.622
Passing Yards211.618
Rushing Yards110.919
Points Scored19.125
Turnovers2319
Defense
Season StatsRank
Total Yards379.829
Passing Yards244.724
Rushing Yards135.128
Points Scored27.531
Takeaway1919
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ASA – NFL Hall of Fame Game – Aug 4, 2022

ASA’s NFL PRE-SEASON HALL OF FAME GAME PREVIEW

LINE – Opened Las Vegas -1 and has been bet up to -2.5.  Total opened 33.5 and has been pushed down to 30.5

JACKSONVILLE JAGUAR NOTES – Starting QB Trevor Lawrence and back up Beathard will not play in this game.  3rd stringer Jake Luton, who has not taken a snap since 2020, will get the start.  Luton played some in Jacksonville’s 1-15 season in 2020 and finished the year with 2 TD’s and 6 interceptions.  He was then cut by the Jags and spent most of last season on Seattle’s practice squad.  Once he exits rookie Kyle Sloter from Northern Colorado will get the rest of the snaps so not much experience at QB for Jacksonville in this game.  The Jags will also be without their top 2 RB’s in this game, Etienne and Robinson.  Jacksonville was a disaster last year under head coach Urban Meyer who treated his players like college kids and had very little respect in the locker room.  They went 3-14 last year and had the worst point differential in the NFL at -204.  We expect a much improved Jacksonville squad and that’s what the oddsmakers feel as well with their win total set at 6.5 after just 3 wins last year.  They will take the field with a new head coach Doug Pederson who had solid success as Philadelphia’s head man, including a Super Bowl win in the 2017/18 season.  We think Pederson, who has been very good with QB’s, will do wonders for Lawrence this season.  Look for his numbers to improve drastically.  As far as the pre-season is concerned, Pederson has an 8-8 overall record as a head coach but in his first year at the helm for the Eagles he was 4-0 in NFLX telling us he may put some extra emphasis on winning in his first year in Florida.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS NOTES – In this NFLX game specifically, the Raiders should have the edge at QB.  No announcement yet on whether starter Derek Carr will play but his back ups are fairly experienced.  Nick Mullens has made a number of NFL starts in his career and has attempted over 600 passes.  Jarrett Stidham will also play and started a few games for the Patriots back in 2020.  Like the Jags, the Raiders also have a new head coach in Josh McDaniels, who has 2 years of head coaching experience with the Broncos in 2009 & 2010.  The Raiders were 10-7 last year and made the playoffs but their numbers didn’t support a team with that type of success.  They actually had a negative point differential of -65 which was 4th worst in the AFC despite their 10 win season.  Seven of their ten wins were by 4 points or fewer or in OT.  The Raiders actually were a perfect 4-0 in overtime games last season.  By our metrics they were probably closer to a .500 type team rather than a playoff squad.  McDaniels is a solid offensive mind who has always adapted very well to his QB strengths be it Tom Brady, Cam Newton, or Mac Jones.  The offense has added a few key pieces including GB WR Davante Adams and QB Carr is one of the underrated signal callers in the league.  The Raiders should be very good on that side of the ball.  In regards to the pre-season, Josh McDaniels had a 2-6 lifetime record but as with most 1st year head coaches, we expect him to want to win in the pre-season.   

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Texans vs Jets NFL Pick & Predictions and #playerpropbetting |10-31-24 NFL Week 9 betting picks

ASAwins4U October 30, 2024 7:32 pm

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ASAwins4U October 30, 2024 6:47 pm

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