Tag: nfl predictions

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NFL PLAYER PROP BETS – Jan 1

ASA NFL PLAYER PROPS – Jan 1st 2022

Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers) Over 27.5 Rec Yards (Even)

Lenny had his best performance in quite some time last week, putting up 9 catches for 90 yards as the Bucs top receiver. Tom Brady was strictly looking to dink and dunk and has found recent success getting the ball out quickly. Using the short passes as an extension of the run game will help Tampa to avoid negative plays with an increasingly injured offensive line. 

David Montgomery (Bears) Over 49.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Detroit was abused by the Panther’s rushing attack last week for an astonishing 320 yards on the ground. With Montgomery seeing the majority of the backfield carries, he is in for a big day after Chuba Hubbard and D’onte Foreman both amassed 100+ yards against the Lions. Chicago will look to get the ground game going with the dynamic duo of Montgomery and Fields. 

Aaron Rodgers (Packers) Over 254.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Green Bay is riding a three game winning streak and needs to win out to have a chance at the playoffs. Healthy weapons have helped the Packers become more explosive in the passing game and Minnesota bringing the league’s worst passing defense to Lambeau Field bodes well this week. Rodgers has not surpassed 300 yards all season, but will need to turn back the clock in a must win game. 

Aaron Rodgers (Packers) OVER 2.5 RUSHING YARDS

All we need is one scramble from Rodgers here to cash this ticket. He’s going up against one of, if not the worst defense in the NFL. Minnesota is 31st in total yards per game allowed, 32nd against the pass and 19th versus the run. In a must win situation we know Rodgers will do everything he can to win this game and even though he doesn’t run as much as he used to, he will here when forced from the pocket. On the season he is averaging 2.7 rushing yards per game.

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NBA Free Bet – Dec 8th

ASA has a FREE NBA BET for you December 8th

ASA play on UNDER 227.5 Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers, 10:10PM ET

The Blazers used to be an up-tempo team but that has changed as they rank 28th in the league in possessions per game. Denver also prefers to play as a slower pace as they rank 20th in the NBA at 98.3 possessions per game. The Nuggets are coming off a 231-total point game the other night with the Mavericks, but both teams shot exceptionally well. Combined the two teams attempted just 150 field goals which is significantly lower than the league average of 172 FGA per game. Speaking of field goal attempts per game, the Blazers average 83.8 per game which is 27th in the NBA. The last time these teams met (October) they produced 245 total points, but the Blazers shot an insane 58% from the field and 46% from beyond the arc.

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NFL Player Props – Nov 20th

ASA’s NFL player props for Sunday November 20th

Darnell Mooney Over 44.5 Rec Yards (-114)

Chicago has turned their offense around thanks to the rushing ability of Justin Fields. This has helped Mooney see more single coverage, allowing him to surpass his yardage total the previous seven weeks. With the Falcons ranking dead last in passing yards allowed per game, Mooney will have ample opportunity to once again pay dividends. 

Patrick Mahomes Over 292.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Mahomes leads the league in passing yards in 2022, currently riding a four game heater where he’s averaging 384 yards per game. Mecole Hardman and JuJu Smith-Schuster will be missing but Kadarius Toney is a nice addition to provide Mahomes more game breaking ability. Until we see anything different, expect Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to continue scorching NFL defenses. 

Tyler Higbee Over 42.5 Rec Yards (-130)

Cooper Kupp is an immeasurable loss for the Rams (ankle), yet the show must go on with Matthew Stafford back from injury. Stafford has lacked chemistry with Allen Robinson in their first year together, leaving Tyler Higbee one of the few options in this offense. With an increase in targets expected, the Rams tight end will be called upon to produce in the passing game. Higbee has a good chance to lead the Rams in yards as he did last week in Cupp’s absence. 

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NFL free wager – Raiders vs. Saints Over/Under

#255/256 ASA PLAY ON Over 48.5 Points – Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

#255/256 ASA PLAY ON Over 48.5 Points – Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Two of the higher scoring teams in the NFL squaring off here with Vegas ranking 3rd at 27 PPG and New Orleans 7th at 25 PPG.  They both rank in the top 7 in the NFL in YPP offense as well.  Saints games are averaging 53 total PPG and Raider games are averaging 52 total PPG.  The Saints defense has struggled this season as they have allowed 28 PPG and they have allowed 6 of their 7 points to reach or eclipse their team totals.  The Raider defense is also among the worst in the NFL allowing every opponent to reach at least 20 points including Tennessee, Houston, and Denver who rank 21st, 28th and 32nd in scoring this season.  The Raiders have scored points on 55% of their offensive possessions this year which is the highest rate in the league and should have plenty of success in this one.  On the other side of the ball the Las Vegas defense has allowed TD’s on 15 of opponents 20 red zone appearances which his the 3rd worst rate in the NFL.  The New Orleans offense has scored a TD on nearly 30% of their red zone plays which is 2nd in the league.  The Saints have combined with their opponent to score at least 50 points in 5 of their 7 games this season and the Raiders have combined with their opponent to score at least 50 points in 4 of their 6 games.  These 2 have combined to go 9-4 to the OVER this season and we have this one getting to at least 50 points.  Take the OVER.

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NFL Player Prop Bets – Oct 30th – By ASA

ASA 4 NFL Player Props for Sunday, October 30th 2022

Miami Dolphins – Jaylen Waddle Over 64 Rec Yards (-119)

Last week Waddle turned 4 catches into 88 yards with only 5 targets. Detroit is giving up roughly 250 passing yards per game this season making it a salivating matchup for the Miami speedster. If Detroit can regain some of its early season offensive output, we may see a shootout at Ford Field. Set at the highest O/U of the weekend (50.5), Waddle could easily double his yardage total without surprising anyone. 

Atlanta Falcons – Marcus Mariota Under 161.5 Pass Yards (-117)

Atlanta has been dead set on running the football no matter the score in 2022. In week seven, the Bengals scored 21 unanswered points on their first three drives, yet Mariota only threw 13 times the entire game while trailing. He has not surpassed 150 passing yards once in his previous four games. Additionally, Carolina’s defense played great against the Bucs, holding them to three total points. 

New Orleans Saints – Alvin Kamara Over 38.5 Rec Yards (-117)

Andy Dalton was named the starter once again for week 8. This bodes well for Kamara as he has collected six or more passes in the three games they have both started. Las Vegas ranks 27th in passing yards allowed per game. With how involved the Saints stud running back is in the passing game, expect there to be plenty of room for Kamara to operate. Volume alone will make him a valuable bet. 

NY Giants Saquon Barkley Over 84.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Barkley is averaging 103.71 rushing yards per game and this Seattle defense will be the worst rush D they have faced this season. The Seahawks give up 147.9 Rushing Yards Per game which ranks 29th in the NFL. The Hawks D-line ranks 19th in “Hog Index”. The Giants rank 10th in O-Line “Hog Index”. Let’s do some simple math here: Seattle gives up 4.9-Yards Per Rush. Barkley averages 20.43-Rush Attempts Per Game. Barkley averages 5.1-Yards Per Rush. If it’s an “average” game Barkley should rush for over 102.15 rushing yards.  

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