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NHL free pick | Senators vs Canadians prediction | March 18 2025

ASA NHLfree pick on OVER 5.5 GOALS Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadians, 7:07pm ET

For the Ottawa Senators, through 66 games, they’ve scored 194 goals and allowed 185 goals or 2.94 GF/GP and 2.80 GA/GP. For the Montreal Canadiens, through 66 games, they’ve scored 195 goals and allowed 214 goals: 2.95 GF/GP and 3.24 GA/GP.

In a head-to-head scenario, we typically model it as each team’s offense versus the other’s defense and factor in the efficiency rates for both teams. In this matchup our model is projecting 5.88 total goals being scored.

These two teams have met twice already this season with the Canadians winning both 4-1 and 5-2. In the last eight meetings one of the two teams has scored 4+ goals and all eight have finished with 5 or more total goals being scored.

Ottawa has played in three straight higher scoring games with 7, 8 and 6 total goals being scored. Montreal’s last three games have finished with 4, 9 and 6 total goals. Bet this Senators vs Canadians prediction OVER the total as today’s NHL free pick.

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NHL Free Bet | Lightning vs Bruins | March 14th 2025

ASA NHL Free play on OVER 5.5 GOALS Tampa Bay at Boston – 7:07pm ET

Boston has scored 3 or more goals in 4 of their last five games and they’ve allowed 6 goals in 2 of their last five. Tampa Bay has had some issues defensively allowing 4 or more goals in four straight games. The Lightning have also produced 3 or more goals in 3 of their last five and put up 6 goals twice. Tampa Bay is 2nd in the NHL in Goals for per game at 3.49, Boston is 25th a 2.72. Boston is allowing 3.15 goals against, the Lightning allow 2.69. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league is shots against so both should get plenty of opportunities to put shots on goal. In the last seven head-to-head meetings one of the two teams has scored 3 goals. In the last three meetings one team has put up 4 or more goals.  We are betting 6 or more goals get scored in this one.

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NHL Free Bet | Red Wings vs Sabres | March 12th 2025

ASA NHL Free Bet on Detroit Red Wings -135 vs. Buffalo Sabres, 7:35pm ET

The Red Wings are in a desperate situation here coming off 6 straight losses and slipping to 12th in the Eastern Conference. Five of those six losses are excusable as they came to good teams above them in the standings.

Tonight they face a Buffalo team that is 25-32 SU on the season, the 4th fewest wins on the year. Buffalo won the first meeting of the season between these two teams but the Wings have won the last two 2-1 and 6-5 in a shootout.

Detroit has a clear advantage defensively allowing 3.19 goals against compared to the Sabres who rank 30th in GA/G at 3.48. Buffalo has struggled on the road with a 9-18-3 SU record away from home and are coming off a big home win over Edmonton on Monday night.

In Detroit’s most recent loss they peppered Ottawa goaltender Ullmark with 49 shots but were unlucky producing just one goal.

We expect the offense to have another high-volume of shot attempts tonight which will lead to a solid home win and snap this losing streak. NHL Free bet on Detroit Red Wings

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NFL free bet Sunday | Cardinals vs Panthers Prediction | 12-22-24

NFL FREE BET – #109 ASA FREE PLAY ON Arizona Cardinals -4 over Carolina Panthers, Sunday at 1 PM ET

Carolina had played a few decent games in a row and had a chance to prove themselves last week as a small favorite vs a bad Dallas team playing their back up QB. 

That didn’t go as planned as the Cowboys dominated on the road with Dallas winning 30-14 and outgaining Carolina by +1.2 YPP.  It was a clean sweep for Dallas in the key stats as they outgained the Panthers YPP, YPC, and yards per pass attempt. 

Carolina’s 3 wins this year have come vs the Raiders, Giants, and Saints who have a combined record of 9-33 and 2 of those wins came by 3 points or less.  They’ve been non-competitive in a number of their losses this season as their 11 setbacks have come by an average of 16 points. 

Arizona is in a must win spot here if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive.  The Cards have played the most difficult strength of schedule in the NFL this year yet they still have a YPP margin of +0.3 (9th best in the NFL) while Carolina is -0.8 YPP on the season. 

The Cardinals love to run the ball and should have a huge advantage doing so as they average 141 YPG (7th in the NFL) and they are facing the worst rush defense in the league with the Panthers allowing 173 YPG rushing on 5.0 YPC. 

Carolina is getting outscored by an average of 10 PPG at home this season and we like Arizona to win this one by at least a TD.   

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NFL FREE BET | Steelers vs Eagles Prediction | Dec 15 2024

#469/470 ASA PLAY ON Under 43 Points – Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET

Two high level defenses rule the day here.  The Eagles lead the NFL allowing only 4.7 YPP and since their bye in week 5, they have allowed only 1.29 points per drive which is tops in the NFL during that time.  They also limit explosive plays giving up an average of just 2 plays per game of more than 20 yards since their bye which is also best in the NFL. 

They haven’t allowed a single team to top 23 points since week 5 and are allowing just 15 PPG over their last 9.  During that span they’ve held some high level offensive teams in check giving up 19 points vs Baltimore, 17 vs Cincinnati, and 18 vs Washington. 

We think the Steelers struggle on offense here with their top playmaker at WR Pickens who is out with a hamstring issue.  Last week without Pickens, Pittsburgh was only able to put up 267 total yards vs Cleveland and QB Wilson only had 158 yards passing. 

The Philly offense has been all that spectacular as of late failing to top 300 total yards in each of their last 2 games vs Baltimore and Carolina.  Their overall offensive numbers are decent (11th in YPP) but let’s keep in mind they have not faced a top 10 defense the entire season.  Not one.  In fact, not only have they not taken on a high level defense this year, they’ve already faced 7 of the 8 worst defenses (total defense) this season. 

The Steelers stop unit is top 10 in total defense, YPP allowed, and rush defense.  These 2 offense rank #1 and #2 in rush attempts per game which eats clock.  They are both slow tempo teams ranking 20th & 22nd in plays per second.  Lastly, both defense are fantastic on 3rd down (#2 and #3 in opponents 3rd down conversion rate) which limits scoring drives.  We like this one to stay Under the total.  

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