MLB free bet from Nelly Sports – Friday #953/954 UNDER 10.5 St. Louis Cardinals/Cincinnati Reds 6:40 PM ET
Even in a lost season the Cardinals are still playing hard, taking two of three with Atlanta this week while 5-3 in the past eight games. St. Louis has experienced a recent uptick in production at the plate, scoring five or more runs in seven of those eight games but the Cardinals also scored a total of four runs in four games just prior to that. On the season St. Louis has a .735 team OPS vs. left-handers for a significant decline compared to pairings vs. right-handers and over the past 10 games the Cardinals have averaged just 4.0 runs per nine vs. southpaw pitching, batting .229. Andrew Abbott poses a difficult matchup for St. Louis as the rookie left-hander has excellent numbers in 17 starts as just a 24-year old, drafted in the 2nd round in 2021. Abbott had incredible strikeout numbers in the minors and has delivered a 9.9 K/9 in his 95 MLB innings with a 3.22 ERA. Drew Rom is only 23 years old and his ascension to the MLB level has not produced as strong of results, though he has only made three starts. His ERA is 7.24 to boost tonight’s total but his FIP is nearly two runs lower and he has made two adequate starts since an ugly MLB debut in which he allowed eight runs while getting 11 outs. Rom had a 10.5 K/9 in AAA with the Orioles before being dealt to St. Louis and in two starts at AAA for the Cardinals he had a 14.7 K/9 and an 0.82 ERA as he earned an opportunity and could start to put things together. While the Reds have decent numbers vs. left-handers for the season, they have hit just .203 with 1.1 runs per nine in the past 10 games vs. lefties and Cincinnati has been held to four or fewer runs in seven of the past 10 games overall. Neither bullpen has been in ideal form of late, but the Reds did have an off day Thursday while the Cardinals managed to use only two relievers for short outings last night. St. Louis lost 8-5 yesterday after winning two games in Atlanta but there were only 18 hits in the game and the Cardinals hit .429 with runners in scoring position, scoring five runs in a game they had just one extra-base hit in. 16 of the past 20 Cincinnati home games have featured 10 or fewer runs despite a high scoring reputation for the ballpark and the recent elevated scoring trends for both teams.
ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025
ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals. Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s… Read more: NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025
ASA NHL free bet on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the… Read more: NHL Free Bet Daily | Hurricanes vs Canadiens Prediction | 4-16-25
NHL Free pick today – Kings vs Kraken prediction Seattle hosts the Kings tonight, and we like the Kraken to win at home. Los Angeles, locked into their playoff spot after beating Edmonton last night, may rest players in this back-to-back. The Kings are 20-21-3 on the road, scoring 2.95 goals per game while allowing… Read more: NHL Free pick today | April 15 | Kings vs Kraken
ASA NHL play on UNDER 5.5 GOALS Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames, 10pm ET The Wild and Flames are set for a low-scoring battle tonight, and I’m all over the Under 5.5 goals. Goaltending: Filip Gustavsson (Wild): Rocking a 2.54 GAA and .915 save percentage, he’s been lights-out, with a .922 save percentage in his… Read more: NHL Free Pick | Wild vs. Flames | April 11 2025
Free pick – #969 Philadelphia Phillies (Wheeler) -110 over Toronto Blue Jays (Kikuchi) 6:07 PM CT
Enjoy this MLB free bet from Nelly today. The lack of production over the weekend for Philadelphia was shocking, scoring just one run Saturday and Sunday in losses at home following a run of ten straight games with at least four runs. The Phillies have still averaged 5.6 runs per game in August while +23 in scoring as this is an elite NL contender that has a chance to repeat as NL champions, even if will again have to come through a wild card path. Philadelphia is 40-22 since June 3 and Zack Wheeler remains one of the best pitchers in the NL. His FIP of 3.06 is the fourth best in all of MLB among qualified starters even if he isn’t getting much attention in the Cy Young race, after finishing second in 2021 for the award. Yusei Kikuchi is having his best MLB season, but his FIP is 4.52 compared to his 3.53 ERA as a lot has gone right. His home run rate remains very high and while his run of starts since the All-Star break has been excellent, it seems like a significant outlier stretch against his career numbers. The Blue Jays do have excellent relief pitching numbers in recent weeks, but the unit was taxed over the weekend getting only one start of six innings over the past four games. In the past 10 games Philadelphia has averaged 7.8 runs per nine while batting .277 vs. left-handers, while posting a 21-16 record on the season vs. left-handed starters as this should be a favorable matchup for the Phillies to deliver, after being shutdown by quality right-handers over the weekend. The Blue Jays are just 34-42 vs. winning teams this season as Toronto hasn’t looked like the serious contender most expected to see this season.
ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025
ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals. Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s… Read more: NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025
ASA NHL free bet on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the… Read more: NHL Free Bet Daily | Hurricanes vs Canadiens Prediction | 4-16-25
NHL Free pick today – Kings vs Kraken prediction Seattle hosts the Kings tonight, and we like the Kraken to win at home. Los Angeles, locked into their playoff spot after beating Edmonton last night, may rest players in this back-to-back. The Kings are 20-21-3 on the road, scoring 2.95 goals per game while allowing… Read more: NHL Free pick today | April 15 | Kings vs Kraken
ASA NHL play on UNDER 5.5 GOALS Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames, 10pm ET The Wild and Flames are set for a low-scoring battle tonight, and I’m all over the Under 5.5 goals. Goaltending: Filip Gustavsson (Wild): Rocking a 2.54 GAA and .915 save percentage, he’s been lights-out, with a .922 save percentage in his… Read more: NHL Free Pick | Wild vs. Flames | April 11 2025
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NBA playoff bets – Pistons to win this series and why! Plus a bonus bet below. Alright, let’s dive into this betting preview for the Detroit Pistons to take down the New York Knicks in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series. This matchup is shaping up to be a gritty battle, with the Pistons’ youth… Read more: NBA Playoff bets | Pistons vs Knicks prediction | 2025
NBA Playoff Series Prediction: Houston Rockets +1.5 Games vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction: The Houston Rockets will win at least three games (+1.5 games @Draftkings) in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series against the Golden State Warriors. This prediction is based on the Rockets’ superior defensive efficiency, rebounding dominance, and ability to compete in a… Read more: NBA Playoffs Series Prediction | Warriors vs Rockets | 2025
NBA prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves (+175) to Win Series vs. LA Lakers: Betting Prediction The Minnesota Timberwolves at +175 offer compelling value to win their first-round playoff series against the LA Lakers. Statistical trends and recent performance strongly favor the Wolves, despite their underdog status. Statistical Support for the Timberwolves Minnesota’s superior efficiency on both offense… Read more: NBA prediction | Timberwolves vs Lakers | Series Prediction
ASA breaks down the 2025 WNBA draft and offers Rookie of the Year Longshots We have a quick breakdown of the first-round draft in the WNBA from Tuesday night as we prepare for our second season of handicapping women’s professional basketball. Last season we destroyed the Books with a +40-Net Unit season in the WNBA… Read more: WNBA predictions | 2025 Draft Breakdown | Rookie of the Year bets
2025 Masters Betting Preview by ASA The 2025 Masters Tournament, set to tee off on Thursday, April 10 at Augusta National Golf Club, promises to deliver another thrilling chapter in golf’s most prestigious event. With a star-studded field, a $20 million purse, and the coveted green jacket on the line, bettors have plenty of options… Read more: Masters Betting Preview | 2025 | April 10th
The 2024-25 NBA MVP Prediction: Nikola Jokić, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Giannis Antetokounmpo Battle for Supremacy NBA MVP Predictions: As the 2024-25 NBA regular season nears its conclusion, the race for the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award has crystallized into a thrilling showdown among three of the league’s brightest stars: Nikola Jokić of the Denver Nuggets,… Read more: NBA MVP Predictions | NBA Bets | April 2nd 2025
Welcome to our 2025 MLB Futures Predictions! As the new season approaches, we’re diving into the American and National Leagues to break down each team’s outlook. From win totals to key roster changes, our ASA Analysis digs into pitching, bullpens, and batting to give you the edge on what to expect. Whether you’re eyeing bets… Read more: MLB Future Bets | Win Totals 2025 | MLB free predictions
March Madness Prediction | National Champion Bet | Picking the 2025 NCAA Champ using KenPom Numbers March Madness 2025 is kicking off, and everyone’s hyped about brackets and who’s gonna take it home. The NCAA Tournament is a total rollercoaster, but KenPom ratings give us some dope hints. We’re digging into offensive efficiency, defensive efficiency,… Read more: NCAA Tournament Prediction | National Champions | 2025
We are breaking down the brackets for the NCAA tournament and making moneyline predictions. We looked back at last year and ran the numbers on the 10-14 Seeds and what the results would have been if you blanket bet all of those higher seeds on the moneyline. Here are the results for the 2024 1st… Read more: March Madness Moneyline picks | Bracket predictions | 2025
Daytona 500 Preview for 2025 The 67th running of the iconic Daytona 500 is set to kick off the NASCAR Cup Series season on Sunday, February 16, 2025, at the Daytona International Speedway in Daytona Beach, Florida. Known as “The Great American Race,” this event promises high speeds, thrilling pack racing, and the unpredictable nature… Read more: Daytona 500 Betting Preview | Feb 10th 2025
Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo will be sidelined through the next week due to a mild calf strain and will miss the NBA All-Star Game next Sunday, sources tell ESPN. Antetokounmpo, out since Feb. 2, is expected to return to action shortly after All-Star break.