Tag: NBA predictions

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NBA Prediction | OKC Thunder NBA Champions 2025

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ASA NBA Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder: Champions of the 2024-25 NBA Season +700

The Oklahoma City Thunder, coming off an impressive season, have set the stage for what many are predicting to be their championship year in 2024-25. Here’s why the Thunder are not just contenders but our bet to lift the Larry O’Brien Trophy:

Statistical Dominance in 2023-24:

Net Scoring Margin: The Thunder ranked second only behind the Boston Celtics in Net Scoring Margin with a +7.3-scoring margin. This team could not only score at will but also was suffocating opponents defensively.

Offensive and Defensive Efficiency: Finishing third in offensive efficiency, the Thunder’s system under Coach Mark Daigneault has evolved into a machine with great playmaking, shooting, and dynamic scoring. Their fourth-place finish in defensive efficiency highlights a roster that’s not just about flashy plays but also about stifling defense, with the 3rd best Effective Field Goal Percentage D at 52.7%. The Thunder were also tough to score on in the paint, allowing the 6th fewest points per game in the lane at 46.3ppg.

Home Court Advantage:

Record: A staggering 33-8 at home with an average scoring differential of +12.3 points per game speaks volumes. This Thunder team is in line for another 30+ win season on their home court which is one of the best in the NBA. Oklahoma City was 24-17 SU on the road in the regular season with an average plus/minus of +2.3ppg.

Strategic Additions:

Alex Caruso: Known for his defensive prowess and hustle, Caruso’s addition brings a level of tenacity and versatility that’s invaluable. His impact goes beyond stats, often being the catalyst for momentum shifts with his energy and basketball IQ. Caruso hit 40.8% of his 3-point attempts last season in 71 games for the Bulls while scoring 10.1ppg.

Isaiah Hartenstein: Hartenstein’s arrival addresses depth in the front court, adding size, rebounding, and a new dimension to the Thunder’s offensive sets with his passing out of the post. His fit next to Holmgren could revolutionize their defensive schemes, offering versatility against various offensive looks. Hartenstein averaged 8.3 rebounds per game last season with the Knicks and 1.1 blocks per game.

Core Continuity and Growth:

With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, and Chet Holmgren returning, the Thunder maintain their core that’s both young and experienced. Gilgeous-Alexander, after narrowly missing the MVP last season, seems poised for a leap, potentially securing the award this year with the added support.

The Oklahoma City Thunder, with their depth, star power, and unparalleled efficiency, are not just poised to make noise in the playoffs; they’re positioned to end the season as NBA Champions. Their journey this year is not just about potential but about realizing it, making 2024-25 the year the Thunder claim their rightful place at the top of the NBA mountain.

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WNBA Free Bet | Mercury at Storm | June 4th 2024

ASA’s WNBA play on OVER 166.5 Phoenix Mercury at Seattle Storm, 10PM ET

The Storm are the much better team when it comes to defense, ranking 3rd in defensive efficiency versus a Mercury team that ranks 11th. Offensively both teams average over 1.000-points per possession with the Storm averaging 84.5PPG, the Mercury score 80.4PPG.

A big influence for the Over wager on this game will be the pace of play as the Storm are the 2nd fastest paced team in the WNBA at 80.2 possessions per game, the Mercury are 3rd at 80.

Phoenix scores the majority of their points from beyond the 3-point line with 38.1 3PA per game, most in the league. Seattle does their offensive damage from inside the Arc with the 5th best 2PT% in the WNBA and also crash the O-boards hard with the 4th most OREB per game at 12.2. The Mercury allow 84.4PPG on the season, the Storm allow 80.3PPG.

The pace of play should be frenetic and the added scoring opportunities for both teams will make this a very high scoring game.  

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WNBA Free Bet | June 2nd, 2024 | Liberty vs Fever

ASA Free WNBA bet on New York Liberty -14.5 vs Indiana Fever, 7PM ET

The Fever are in a tough scheduling situation here after playing a physical game yesterday against the Sky. Indiana won 71-70 and are now playing the second leg of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four days. Indiana has played one of, if not the toughest schedule thus far in the league and were in this same situation a few weeks ago in Vegas. They lost that game by 19-points. New York is rested and playing their last home game before a 3-game road trip. The Liberty have the 3rd best Net Differential in the WNBA at +8.4 with the 3rd best ONR and 4th best DNR. This will be the 3rd meeting of the season for these two teams with the Liberty winning by 36 and 11 -points already. In the most recent clash, the Liberty were favored by -13-points and the Fever weren’t in this horrible schedule situation. Lay the points with New York.

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WNBA Free Bet today | May 24th 2024

ASA WNBA Free play on LA Sparks +1.5 vs Indiana Fever, 10PM ET

Our model as the Sparks favored at home here so we will gladly take the points with the better team. Indiana is 0-5 SU on the season, the Sparks are 1-2 SU. Los Angeles was recently a 2-point favorite at home in their most recent game, which was a win over Washington, who we grade slightly better than the Fever.

L.A.’s two losses have come against an improved Atlanta team and the Champs from a season ago on the road in Las Vegas. Indiana has faced a tough early season slate themselves and have lost two straight close games to Connecticut and Seattle.

The Sparks will have the two best players on the floor in Derica Hamby who is averaging 22PPG, 13.7 RPG and 2.0SPG and has a pair of double-doubles this season. Kia Nurse is averaging 16.3PPG on 54.5% shooting overall and 45% from beyond the Arc. Her 3PT% is second best in the league among players with 6 or more 3PT attempts per game.

L.A. has won 8 of the last ten meetings outright with the Fever and we like them to get a W at home tonight.

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NBA Playoffs Prop Bet | May 22nd 2025

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP BET ON: UNDER 12.5 POINTS – PJ WASHINGTON – DALLAS MAVERICKS

Washington comes into this game averaging 14.2PPG in his last ten, but that is with him exploding for 29, 27 and 21 points in three games against the Thunder.

His usage was up significantly as the Thunder focused their defensive effort on Luka and Kyrie. Washington attempted 18, 23 and 19 field goals in those games which are much higher than his regular season average of 11 FGA’s per game.  

On the season he averages 13.06PPG.

Minnesota has one of, if not the best defense in the NBA. The Wolves allowed 1.09 points per possession this season which was best in the NBA. They faced the Suns and Nuggets in the playoffs who were both top 9 in offensive efficiency ratings this season and still allowed just 1.095PPP.

The Mavs have gone from attempting 89.7 field goals per game in the regular season to 83.7 in the Playoffs and we know Luka and Kyrie are both going to dominate FGA’s in this one.

Minnesota allowed the second fewest points to power forwards on the season and have several player they can defend Washington win.

Under 12.5 points PJ Washington.

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