Tag: NBA predictions

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NBA Free Bet | Clippers vs Bulls | 3-14-24

ASA NBA free pick on LA Clippers -6 at Chicago Bulls, 8PM ET

We are on the Clippers as our NBA free bet for Thursday. The Clippers are coming off an ugly home loss to the T’Wolves on Tuesday night and look to get back into the win column at the Bulls expense. Chicago played last night in Indianapolis making this the second night of a back-to-back for the Bulls. Not only that, but this is their 3rd game in four days and 4th in six days.

Chicago is not a deep team to begin with and has the 18th worst Net Rating for their bench. The Bulls bench has the 24th rated EFG% in the NBA at 52.1%. With the added rest the Clippers starters should see extended minutes in this one and have a healthy Paul George and Kawhi Leonard for this contest. The Clippers starters have the 6th best Net Rating differential in the NBA at +4.6. Los Angeles has the 4th best offensive efficiency rating and the 13th best DEFF. In comparison the Bulls rate 18th in defensive efficiency and 22nd in OEFF.

The Clippers are 12-10 ATS as a road chalk this season with an average +/- of +7.5PPG. The Bulls are 8-6-1 ATS as a home underdog but they own a negative differential of minus -2.9PPG. The Clippers start their road trip with a double digit win here.

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NBA Free Bet | March 12th 2024 | Bucks vs Kings prediction

ASA Free NBA bet on OVER 236 Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings, 10PM ET

These two teams met in Milwaukee in mid-January and produced 285 total points in OT. The oddsmakers had set an O/U number of 247 on that game. Both teams shot 52% overall, and 41% (Kings), 47% (Bucks) from beyond the arc which are also well above season each team’s season average.

That seems to be a reoccurring trend when these two teams get together as they’ve gone Over the Total in 10 straight meetings. The last seven meetings have averaged 257 points scored.

The Bucks defense has certainly improved since Doc Rivers took over but they have given up 125, 123 and 117 in their last three games against similar offensive teams to the Kings. The Bucks rank 5th in offensive efficiency at 1.195PPP and play at the 4th highest rate in the league.

The Kings are 12th in pace of play at 99.7 possessions per game and have the 13th best offensive efficiency rating at 1.175-points per possession. Milwaukee is the 8th best 3PT shooting team in the NBA at 37.6% and the Kings are last in defending the 3PT line allowing 39.8%. The Kings rely on volume shooting to score with the 5th highest FG attempts per game and the 10th best shooting percentage. Granted the NBA has been on an Under trend but we like Over here and today’s NBA free bet. Bucks vs Kings prediction for Tuesday, March 12th.

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NBA Free picks | Bucks vs Mavs | Warriors vs Hawks | 2-3-24

ASA NBA FREE BETS or NBA PICKS – PLAYER PROP BETS FOR FEBRUARY 3RD, 2024

ASA Player Prop – Khris Middleton Milwaukee Bucks OVER 19.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS

We will start with the Vegas betting lines on this game and the Over/Under which is set at 246. That tells us this is potentially going to be a very high scoring game for both teams with plenty of possessions, shots taken and rebound opportunities.

Middleton is inline for a big game today versus this Mavs defense that is 22nd in defensive efficiency rating allowing 1.182PPP.

K-Midd has seen his minutes go up gradually with each passing game and has basically played 30+ minutes in 5-straight games.

In his last six games he has totaled 22 or more Points+Rebounds and is averaging 21 in his last ten games.

The Mavericks allow the 6th most points to SF at 23.6PPG and the 4th most rebounds at 8.3RPG.

ASA Player Prop – Steph Curry Golden State Warriors OVER 5.5 ASSISTS

Both teams are coming off games last night, but the Warriors had a comfortable win in Memphis while the Hawks were in a dogfight with Phoenix.

Curry played 32+ minutes which is less than his average per game so his usage should be normal tonight in this second night of a back-to-back.

The O/U on this game is 244 which means a ton of possessions for both teams and more opportunities for points and assists.

Curry may have a harder time scoring with the longer defender of DeJounte Murry guarding him but that should open up more opportunities to create scoring chances for teammates.

Curry is averaging 6.3APG over his last ten games and has been over 5.5 in 8 of his last nine games.

The Hawks give up the 5th most APG to PG’s on the season at 9.2APG and when these same two teams squared off a few weeks ago, Curry finished with 8 assists.

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NBA free bet | 76ers vs Jazz prediction | Feb 1st

ASA Free Bet – Utah Jazz UNDER 122.5 Team Total

The Jazz average 117PPG at home on the season and recently put up 120-total points in a game against this Sixers team in Philly. In the earlier meeting between these two teams the Jazz shot 58% overall which is WELL above their season average of 47% which is 19th in the NBA. The 76ers have the 8th lowest defensive efficiency rating which will make it tough for the Jazz to get to this number. Utah is coming off a long 6-game road trip and teams typically don’t perform well in their first games back home in this situation. The Sixers have held the Jazz to 120 or less points in 5-straight meetings.

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NBA free bet | 1-28-24 | Raptors vs Hawks prediction

ASA play on Toronto Raptors +7 at Atlanta Hawks, 6PM

The Atlanta Hawks shouldn’t be laying this many points to anyone in the NBA not named the Pistons, Spurs, Wizards or Hornets. This team is lacking effort on the defensive end of the court that is obvious to a casual observer, let alone statisticians. For the season the Hawks rank 27th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.204-points per possession. They just gave up 73-points to Luka Doncic and 148 to the Mavericks as a team. They have allowed 122, 134 and 148 in their last three games. Part of the problem seems to be several trade rumors involving this team which are impacting their on the court chemistry. Atlanta is 8-13 SU at home with a negative differential of minus -3.4PPG.  Toronto made their trade when they shipped Siakam to the Pacers for Bruce Brown who should start for the injured Quickly in this one. The Raptors have lost 4 straight games they came against a hot Bulls team, the Knicks and Clippers. The one bad loss in that stretch was at home to the Grizzlies by 8-points. The Raptors were recently +7.5-points at New York and the Knicks are far superior to this Hawks team. Atlanta was an -8.5-point favorite at home against the 10-36 Spurs and the Raptors rate more than 2.5-points better than San Antonio. These two teams have similar offensive efficiency ratings but the Raptors are much better defensively. Grab the points.

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