Tag: NBA predictions

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NBA free prediction | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns | 4-3-24

ASA NBA free bet on Phoenix Suns (-) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 10PM ET

Scheduling has a lot to do with this NBA free prediction as the Cavs are in a tough spot here having played in Utah last night. Not only that, but the Cavaliers are playing their 3rd game in four days and 4th game in six days. The Suns are rested as their last game came on April 1st, a win in New Orleans.

Phoenix is facing a brutal 3-game stretch coming up against Western Conference contenders which makes this game extremely important.

The Suns are also 14-6 SU with an average +/- of +6.4PPG when they hold a rest advantage over their opponents. Cleveland is 5-7 ATS when playing without rest and has a negative point differential in those games of minus -3.2PPG.

When we evaluate each teams last ten games we find the Suns have a +3.0 Net differential, the Cavs are minus -5.2 AND the Suns have faced a much tougher schedule over that 10-game span. In this must-win situation we like the Suns by double-digits as this NBA free pick.

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NBA Free Prediction | Celtics vs Hawks | 3-25-24

ASA free NBA bet on: BOSTON CELTICS -7 1ST HALF vs ATLANTA HAWKS – 7PM ET

If you have been betting the Celtics in the 1st half this this you have basically been printing money. Boston is 52-18 ATS in the first halves of games this season

The Cetlics Average Point Differential in the 1st half is best in the NBA at +8.2PPG overall & +7.4PPG on the road.

The Hawks are decimated with injuries right now with starters Trae Young (26.4PPG) and Jalen Johnson (16.1PPG) out here.

Atlanta’s average +/- in the first half ithis season s +1.4PPG.

In two meetings this season the Celtics have led by 4-points (ATL had both Young and Johnson in the lineup) and 13 points (no Johnson) versus the Hawks at the break.

You may want to consider OVER 116 in the 1st half of this game also as a NBA bet. In two meetings they scored 138 and 125 total points and both average more than this number for the season with games involving the Celtics averaging 118.4PPG in the 1st H and games involving the Hawks average 119.4PPG.

ASA’s NBA Free prediction – BOSTON CELTICS (-7) 1st Half / BOSTON/ATLANTA OVER 116 TOTAL POINTS FIRST HALF

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NBA Free Bet | Clippers vs Bulls | 3-14-24

ASA NBA free pick on LA Clippers -6 at Chicago Bulls, 8PM ET

We are on the Clippers as our NBA free bet for Thursday. The Clippers are coming off an ugly home loss to the T’Wolves on Tuesday night and look to get back into the win column at the Bulls expense. Chicago played last night in Indianapolis making this the second night of a back-to-back for the Bulls. Not only that, but this is their 3rd game in four days and 4th in six days.

Chicago is not a deep team to begin with and has the 18th worst Net Rating for their bench. The Bulls bench has the 24th rated EFG% in the NBA at 52.1%. With the added rest the Clippers starters should see extended minutes in this one and have a healthy Paul George and Kawhi Leonard for this contest. The Clippers starters have the 6th best Net Rating differential in the NBA at +4.6. Los Angeles has the 4th best offensive efficiency rating and the 13th best DEFF. In comparison the Bulls rate 18th in defensive efficiency and 22nd in OEFF.

The Clippers are 12-10 ATS as a road chalk this season with an average +/- of +7.5PPG. The Bulls are 8-6-1 ATS as a home underdog but they own a negative differential of minus -2.9PPG. The Clippers start their road trip with a double digit win here.

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NBA Free Bet | March 12th 2024 | Bucks vs Kings prediction

ASA Free NBA bet on OVER 236 Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings, 10PM ET

These two teams met in Milwaukee in mid-January and produced 285 total points in OT. The oddsmakers had set an O/U number of 247 on that game. Both teams shot 52% overall, and 41% (Kings), 47% (Bucks) from beyond the arc which are also well above season each team’s season average.

That seems to be a reoccurring trend when these two teams get together as they’ve gone Over the Total in 10 straight meetings. The last seven meetings have averaged 257 points scored.

The Bucks defense has certainly improved since Doc Rivers took over but they have given up 125, 123 and 117 in their last three games against similar offensive teams to the Kings. The Bucks rank 5th in offensive efficiency at 1.195PPP and play at the 4th highest rate in the league.

The Kings are 12th in pace of play at 99.7 possessions per game and have the 13th best offensive efficiency rating at 1.175-points per possession. Milwaukee is the 8th best 3PT shooting team in the NBA at 37.6% and the Kings are last in defending the 3PT line allowing 39.8%. The Kings rely on volume shooting to score with the 5th highest FG attempts per game and the 10th best shooting percentage. Granted the NBA has been on an Under trend but we like Over here and today’s NBA free bet. Bucks vs Kings prediction for Tuesday, March 12th.

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NBA Free picks | Bucks vs Mavs | Warriors vs Hawks | 2-3-24

ASA NBA FREE BETS or NBA PICKS – PLAYER PROP BETS FOR FEBRUARY 3RD, 2024

ASA Player Prop – Khris Middleton Milwaukee Bucks OVER 19.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS

We will start with the Vegas betting lines on this game and the Over/Under which is set at 246. That tells us this is potentially going to be a very high scoring game for both teams with plenty of possessions, shots taken and rebound opportunities.

Middleton is inline for a big game today versus this Mavs defense that is 22nd in defensive efficiency rating allowing 1.182PPP.

K-Midd has seen his minutes go up gradually with each passing game and has basically played 30+ minutes in 5-straight games.

In his last six games he has totaled 22 or more Points+Rebounds and is averaging 21 in his last ten games.

The Mavericks allow the 6th most points to SF at 23.6PPG and the 4th most rebounds at 8.3RPG.

ASA Player Prop – Steph Curry Golden State Warriors OVER 5.5 ASSISTS

Both teams are coming off games last night, but the Warriors had a comfortable win in Memphis while the Hawks were in a dogfight with Phoenix.

Curry played 32+ minutes which is less than his average per game so his usage should be normal tonight in this second night of a back-to-back.

The O/U on this game is 244 which means a ton of possessions for both teams and more opportunities for points and assists.

Curry may have a harder time scoring with the longer defender of DeJounte Murry guarding him but that should open up more opportunities to create scoring chances for teammates.

Curry is averaging 6.3APG over his last ten games and has been over 5.5 in 8 of his last nine games.

The Hawks give up the 5th most APG to PG’s on the season at 9.2APG and when these same two teams squared off a few weeks ago, Curry finished with 8 assists.

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