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NBA Player Prop Tuesday, Oct 25 2022

NBA Player Prop from ASA – OVER 9.5 rebounds Pistons – Isaiah Stewart

ASA PLAY ON: OVER 9.5 REBOUNDS Player Prop: Isaiah Stewart Detroit Pistons – Stewart is averaging 10.67 rebounds per game this season and is the 8th highest rebounder among centers this season. Going back to last season he has had double-digit rebounds in 6 of his last ten games. When it comes to Centers specifically, the Wizards were one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA a year ago. This season the Wiz rank 24th in rebounds allowed per game to Centers at 17.40. Stewart’s minutes are up this season as is his rebounding numbers after averaging an impressive 8.7 boards per game a season ago in 71 games played. The Pistons are one of the highest possessions per game teams in the NBA which also helps our cause here with Stewart’s Over the total NBA Player Prop.

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NBA Player Prop bets – Oct 18

ASA NBA Predictions or Player Prop bets for Tuesday, October 18th 2022

We have a few NBA Player props for you on opening night in the NBA. We will tread lightly to start the season with our NBA predictions and get more indepth as the year goes on. Be sure to check out all of ASA’s BASKETBALL PACKAGES online here!

Philadelphia 76ers – James Harden OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS

James Harden averaged 7.7 rebounds per game during the regular season and 5.7 in the postseason. For his career, he is averaging 5.6RPG. The Celtics are going to pay a lot of attention to Embiid, Harrell, Tucker and Harris on the boards which will give Harden plenty of opportunities to snag easy rebounds. Harden was 3rd in the NBA last season in rebounds per game among shooting guards.

Boston Celtics – Marcus Smart OVER 12.5 POINTS

The 76ers will have to pay a lot of attention to the Celtics “big 2” of Tatum and Brown which means a few extra open looks for Smart who has shot it extremely well in camp according to our reports. Smart has averaged 12.1PPG, 13.1PPG and 12.9PPG in his last three seasons overall. In 7 of his last ten games a season ago in the playoffs he scored more than 12.5-points. He averaged 15PPG in his last ten games and that was against Golden State and Miami two of the better defensive teams in the NBA. In four games against the 76ers last season Smart averaged 12PPG and one of those games was a blowout in which he played just 12 minutes.

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NBA predictions by ASA for 2022-23

ASA’s NBA predictions Total Win bet, Futures and NBA wagers!

NBA predictions 2022-23

By ASAwins

Let’s break down the NBA and get our Future Bets or NBA predictions made before the season tips off on Tuesday. First off, we are coming off a record-breaking NBA season a year ago with over 90-Net Units of profit for the year. Our NBA wagers were 141-95 on the year when you include the free bets we posted here, and we finished with 28-14 STREAK in the post-season.

Typically, we don’t like to tie up a lot of money with future bets and would rather invest it during the regular season, but we do make an exception on a few wagers or these NBA predictions.

EASTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL WIN BET

UNDER 53.5 BOSTON CELTICS – “The hunters become the hunted!”

Boston won 51-games in the regular season a year ago but will have a tough time getting to that number in 2022-23. We still like the Celtics to be one of the best teams in the East but after getting to the NBA Finals a year ago they will have a target on their backs and get everyone’s best game night in and night out. Not to mention, the Eastern Conference is absolutely loaded this year. The Nets are healthy and will have a full complement of players this year including Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant and also get Joe Harris back from injury along with wild-card Ben Simmons. The Heat won 53-games last season and return their core of key personnel in Butler, Adebayo, Herro and Lowry, plus a healthy Oladipo. Milwaukee has one of the MVP favorites in Giannis Antetokounmpo and will be a contender again to win it all in 2023. Philadelphia has their own MVP candidate in Joel Embiid and James Harden. Any one of the previously mentioned teams can win the East this year. Now throw in a group of teams that will be mid-40 win teams: Raptors, Bulls, Cavaliers (added Donovan Mitchell) and you can see how tough every game in Conference play will be. Even some of the bottom teams in the East will be better than they were a season ago.

The Celtics have a fantastic core with Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, Al Horford, the Williams duo and recently added Malcolm Brogdon. The bench has depth with Derrick White, Payton Pritchard and 2nd year sniper Sam Hauser. We feel it will be tough though for the Celtics to duplicate last season’s impressive efficiency stats of 1.144-points per possession scored and .966-points allowed given the circumstances.

Yes, the Celtics are a serious title contender this season, but they’ll get everyone’s best this season and will slip slightly in the win column.

WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL WIN BET

OVER 49 DENVER NUGGETS – “The Joker gets help!”

This NBA wager is on the Over the projected win total for the Denver Nuggets. Last season the Nuggets finished 6th in the Western Conference and did it on the back of Nikola Jokic who put up 27.1PPG, 13.8RPG and 7.9APG with a 32.94 Player Efficiency Rating (best in the NBA). This season they get All-Star level guard Jamal Murray back along with instant scorer Michael Porter Jr. They also have power forward Aaron Gordon on the roster who is coming off a solid 15PPG/5.9RPG season. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is another key addition to this roster. Denver owned the 12th best average Margin of Victory in the NBA last season at +2.5PPG. They were 6th overall in offensive efficiency, 15th in DEFF. It certainly helps when the Nuggets play in the Northwest Division with a pair of bad teams in the Thunder and Jazz who may not win 49 games combined. The Nuggets have the easiest schedule in the NBA based on our metrics which include: 7 road games playing the 2nd night of a back-to-back and 5 home games the second night of a B2B. Both of those rank top 11 fewest in the NBA. The Nuggets have enjoyed one of the best home courts in the NBA in recent years where they win 70% of their games.

If Joker does what he does, and Murray/Porter Jr. can stay healthy this team could very well come out of the Western Conference.

NBA MVP LONGSHOT

Ja Morant – Memphis Grizzlies +1400

The Grizzlies finished 56-26 SU in the regular season a year ago and finished 2nd overall in the Western Conference standings. Memphis had the 5th best offensive efficiency rating at 1.147-points per possession and were 4th in DEFF allowing 1.090PPP. They were also 4th in net scoring differential at +5.7PPG. Memphis has an MVP candidate in Ja Morant who is clearly capable of taking over games by himself after averaging 32.1-points per 36-minutes. Morant is going to have to do more this season with Jaren Jackson Jr sidelined for 4-6 months. Morant was 18th in assists per game last season at 6.7 and was 4th in rebounds per game for guards at 5.7. He gets a ton of media attention with his high-flying style of play, will be on a playoff team and could be a league leader in several different categories. Ja Morant is worth a shot at +1400.

NBA Champion – Milwaukee Bucks +800

Other NBA wagers – Division Over/Under win totals

Atlantic Under 53.5 Boston Celtics

Southeast Over 35.5 Washington Wizards

Central Over 41.5 Chicago Bulls

Northwest Over 49 Denver Nuggets

Southwest Over 48.5 Memphis Grizzlies

Pacific Under 45.5 LA Lakers

MVP Winners

Favorite – Giannis Antetokounmpo +550

Mid-Range – Ja Morant +1400

Longshot – Devin Booker +2800



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Rickenbach NFL free bet Sept 11 2022

This is a solid free bet from Scott but certainly not his STRONGEST by any means. Get a TOP GAME here at ASAwins.com which is GUARANTEED with a pay after you win promise. Check it out.

Scott Rickenbach NFL free bet Sunday: Play Indianapolis Colts -7 @ Houston Texans @ 1 ET – Might seem tough to lay a full TD on the road to open up the NFL season but the Colts will be on a mission here. They lost key late-season games as big favorites against Raiders and Jaguars and then missed the post-season as a result of that. Indianapolis will not take the Texans lightly here as they do not want to make the same mistake. Look for veteran QB Matt Ryan to thrive in the Indy offense and the Colts have swept Houston each of the past two seasons and last year’s wins were by an average margin of 29.5 points each! We just need a win by more than a TD here and I fully expect Indy will get it. The Colts have a good recent history as an away favorite and the Texans have a bad recent history ATS in home openers. You saw the hunger the Bills had in the Thursday night NFL opener after their season ended in disappointing fashion last year in the post-season. The way Indianapolis ended their season so disappointingly last year and now making the QB change from Wentz to Ryan, I feel that you are going to see a similar hunger from the Colts here. Keep in mind, Ryan is thrilled to be away from a sinking Falcons franchise in Atlanta and now on a high-level playoff-caliber Indy team. All signs point to a road rout here as Houston is a disappointing 8-25 SU last two seasons and Colts were on a 20-11 SU run last two seasons before that disgusting 0-2 finish last year. This is simply a case of two teams at opposite ends of the NFL spectrum right now. This Colts team comes out with fire and wins big on the road here. Play INDIANAPOLIS -7


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​Point Train college football FREE OPINION PLAY Sept 3

​Mississippi State -16.5 vs. Memphis – 7:30PM ET – college football winner

  • The loss in line value (opened -12) is keeping us off this game as a rated wager but we still lean to the side of the Bulldogs.
  • Miss State was favored by 3-points at Memphis last year and lost 29-31 after a late game 2-point conversion failed. 
  • Mississippi State lost last year’s game despite outgaining the Tigers by 212 total yards. A fumble return for a touchdown and 94 yard punt return for a TD were the difference. 
  • The Bulldogs return a ton of their production from a year ago and rest assured they haven’t forgotten last year’s loss.