Tag: NBA predictions

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NBA Player Props Dec 19th

ASA has destroyed the Books this season with NBA prop bets. Enjoy the winners below.

ASA player prop OVER 19.5 POINTS Domantas Sabonis – Sacramento Kings

Sabonis is inline for a big game tonight against a Hornets team that struggles to contain opposing Centers. On average the Hornets allow a league leading 26.7PPG to Centers. Sabonis has scored 20+ points in four straight games and 5 of his last six.

ASA player prop OVER 23.5 POINTS De’Aaron Fox – Sacramento Kings

The Charlotte Hornets are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA allowing 1.154-points per possession which ranks 27th. They are 28th in PPG allowed and 23rd in opposing teams FG%. Sacramento scored 117.8PPG (2nd) and are 4th in team FG%. The Hornets are the 5th worst team in points allowed per game to PG’s and they’ll be worse with LaMelo Ball back in the lineup. Fox is averaging 22.6PPG on the season and has put up 27 and 24 in his last two games.

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NBA Free Player Prop – Dec 18

ASA player prop OVER 18.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Mitchell Robinson – NY Knicks

This is a great spot to back the Knicks center in what is a very favorable match up. Nobody in the NBA allows more points to Centers than the Pacers at 26.4PPG. They aren’t much better in the rebounding category as they allow the 6th most rebounds to Centers. Robinson has recently faced some solid defenses when it comes to these specific stats and has still managed 18 or more Pts+Rebs in 4 of his last five games. The Over is the way to go here.

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NBA FREE BETS – Dec 13th

ASA NBA free bets for Tuesday December 13th

ASA Player Prop OVER 27.5 POINTS – Zion Williamson – New Orleans Pelicans

Williamson is averaaging 24.95PPG on the season and 26.5PPG in his last ten games. Most recently he has scored 29 or more points in 5 of his last six. The Pelicans are again without Brandon Ingram which means more opportunities for Zion here. Not to mention, the Jazz don’t defend ‘bigs’ well as they allow Power Forwards and Centers to score a ton.

ASA Play on: OVER 235 Boston Celtics @ LA Lakers, 10PM ET

The Celtics are the #1 offensive team in the NBA in terms of scoring at 120PPG and efficiency at 1.194PPP. Boston is the best 3-point shooting team in the NBA at 39.7% and rank 8th in 3PT attempts per game. The Lakers are 26th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 116.3PPG. The Lakers are 19th in defensive efficiency giving up 1.127PPP. In the Lakers most recent 5-game stretch they have allowed 122.2PPG which is the highest in the NBA. But, in that same stretch of 5-games they are 6th in scoring at 118.2PPG. Pace of play is important here as the Lakers are the 2nd fastest paced team in the NBA. The Celtics are 15th. Boston has the best Over record in the NBA when playing without rest at 15-4-1 since the start of last season and those games have gone Over by an average of +12.2PPG. 

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ASA NBA Player Prop Bets – Dec 12th

ASA INSANE START to the NBA season with a 41-17 Player Prop record!

ASA Player Prop OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS – T Haliburton – Indiana Pacers

Haliburton is averaging 2.9 made 3-pointers per game this season and has made 3 or more in 6 of his last seven games. His 3-point attempts have been up in recent games too with 8 or more in 3 of his last four games. Believe it or not, but the Heat allow point guards to make 3.8 3-pointers per game which is the highest number in the NBA. In the lone meeting this season between these two teams he was 3 of 8 from beyond the arc.

ASA Player Prop OVER 30.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Bam Adebayo – Miami Heat

The Pacers allow the most points in the NBA to Centers at 28.1PPG. They allow the 4th most rebounds per game at 16.8. That’s some basic math or 44.9 combined Points+Rebounds per game. Adebayo is averaging 30.04 Pts+Rebs on the season but has been even better in his last ten games at 32.9. He is coming off a lower scoring game against the Spurs and should bounce back here. Indiana is one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA.

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NBA Prop Bet – James Harden – Dec 9th

ASA Players Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – James Harden – Philadelphia 76ers

Harden is working his way back into shape after being off for a month with an injury. He scored 21-points against the Rockets in his first game back but had a horrendous shooting night going 4 of 19 from the field or 21.1%. Let’s not forget that Harden shoots well over 40% for his career and has averaged 21 or more points per game for 13 seasons. Nobody in the NBA allows more points to PG’s than the Lakers do at 27.6PPG. Even in the last two weeks when they have been playing better, they are still giving up an average of 24.8PPG. Harden will bounce back with a much better shooting game tonight in this marquee matchup with the Lakers.