Tag: NBA predictions

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NBA player prop bet by ASA – March 4th

ASA 103-69 on all NBA player prop bets this season!

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – Darius Garland – Cleveland Cavaliers

With All-Star guard Donovan Mitchell less than 100% here we expect Garland to carry more of the scoring burden against a Pistons team that is one of the worst in the NBA. When in comes to defensive efficiency the Pistons rank 28th only slightly higher than the Rockets and Spurs. They also give up on average 24.7PPG to Point Guards on the season which is 8th worst in the league. Garland has scored 22 or more in 4 of his last five games.

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Free NBA Basketball Bet – Thursday, Mar 2nd

ASA free bet is on Indiana Pacers -6 vs San Antonio Spurs, 8:30PM ET

The Spurs had lost 16 straight games prior to a win in Utah in their last game out. We expect them to return to their losing ways again tonight versus a surging Pacers team vying for a Playoff spot. Not only did San Antonio go on a straight up losing streak they also have just 3 covers in their last seventeen games. Indiana has won 3 of four including an impressive win over the Mavericks last time out as a +8.5 point underdog. The Spurs are bad on both ends of the court ranking last in defensive efficiency, last in points allowed per game, last in overall FG% defense and 3PT% D. It’s not much better for them on the offensive end of the court where they rank 29th in offensive efficiency and 20th or worse in PPG allowed, FG% D and  3PT% defense. The Pacers should take advantage of the Spurs defense with their 11th ranked 3PT shooting offense that hit’s 36.4% of their attempts. San Antonio has failed to cover in 4 straight home games and the Pacers are on a 4-0 spread streak on the road against sub .400 teams. The Pacers have also covered 4 straight in San Antonio. 

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NBA Player Prop free bets – Feb 24th

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS – Jordan Poole – Golden State Warriors

Poole is coming off rough shooting night against the Lakers but will get ‘well’ tonight versus the Rockets. Houston is one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA allowing 118PPG. They allow opponents to shoot 36.8% from beyond the arc which ranks 25th. When it comes to Point Guards they allow 3.3 made 3-pointers per game which is the 2nd most in the league. Shooting guards make on average 3.8 3-pointers which is the highest number in the NBA. The last time Poole faced this Rockets team he made 5 3’s.

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 31.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Deandre Ayton Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are coming off a game in Utah last night and the Jazz starting Center, Walker Kessler, had a monster rebound game with 17 rebounds along with 7-points. The Thunder allow the 5th most rebounds to Centers in the NBA at 16 per game and Ayton is one of the best rebounders in the league at 10.1 per game. In this scenario we like the combination of points + rebounds as Ayton is averaging 33.8 pts+rebs per game over his last ten games. The Big Man for the Suns has a BIG game tonight.

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College Basketball Free bet – Feb 23rd

ASA is currently on a 23-9 HOT STREAK IN COLLEGE BASKETBALL! CHECK OUT NIGHTLY WINNERS ONLINE HERE!

#795/796 ASA PLAY ON Under 136 Points – Michigan vs Rutgers, Thursday at 8:30 PM ET

Rutgers is a great defensive team overall (4th nationally in efficiency) but especially so at home where they allow only 54 PPG.  At home this team allows opponents to shoot only 36% from the field and 26% from beyond the arc.  They have played 16 home games thus far and only 3 opponents have reached 60 points.  Their most recent home game was one of their worst defensive performances of the year allowing Nebraska to score 82 points on 1.21 points per possessions which is way above Rutgers season defensive average of 0.90 PPP allowed.  We expect them to play very well on that end of the court tonight.  Rutgers will be without starter Caleb McConnell tonight and they lost starting big man Mawot Mag a few weeks ago.  They are not a deep team to begin with and will benefit by keeping this game at a very slow pace which they prefer.  Michigan likes to play fast, but that won’t happen on the road tonight.  The Wolverines have been solid offensively at home this year but on the road they are averaging only 67 PPG and will land below that tonight vs one of the top defenses in the nation.  Defensively Michigan ranks 7th in the Big 10 in efficiency but shouldn’t need to be great on that end tonight vs a Rutgers offense that ranks dead last in the league in eFG%.  Four of Michigan’s last six road game have totaled less than 120 points and their average point total on the road this year is 137 points.  Rutgers home games this season are averaging just 128 total points and 7 of the last 9 meetings between these 2 have resulted in 135 or fewer points.  Take the Under.

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NBA Free bets Thursday, Feb 16th

ASA Player Prop OVER 23.5 POINTS Kristaps Porzingis – Washington Wizards

Porzingis gets a favorable match up here against a Timberwolves team that allows the 3rd most points in the league to Power Forwards at 23.6PPG. The Unicorn has averaged 25.9PPG in his last ten games and is averaging just under this total for the season at 22.96PPG. Porzingis has scored more than 23.5 points in 5 of his last seven games. In an earlier meeting between these two teams Porzingis had a monster 41-point game.

ASA play on UNDER 221.5 LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns, 10PM ET

These are two of the slower paced teams in the NBA as the Clippers average 97.3 possession per game which is 5th slowest. The Suns rank 9th slowest at 98 possessions per game. These are also two of the best defenses in the NBA ranking top 10 in defensive efficiency. These two teams have already met twice this season and produced 207 and 206 total points. The O/U’s on those two games were 219.5 and 218.5. Now we get an inflated number of 224 to work with and will bet Under again. Both teams have favored Unders this entire season and historically they’ve stayed below the number in 6 straight and 8 of the last ten meetings. Bet Under