Tag: NBA predictions

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NBA Free Player Prop – Dec 18

ASA player prop OVER 18.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Mitchell Robinson – NY Knicks

This is a great spot to back the Knicks center in what is a very favorable match up. Nobody in the NBA allows more points to Centers than the Pacers at 26.4PPG. They aren’t much better in the rebounding category as they allow the 6th most rebounds to Centers. Robinson has recently faced some solid defenses when it comes to these specific stats and has still managed 18 or more Pts+Rebs in 4 of his last five games. The Over is the way to go here.

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NBA FREE BETS – Dec 13th

ASA NBA free bets for Tuesday December 13th

ASA Player Prop OVER 27.5 POINTS – Zion Williamson – New Orleans Pelicans

Williamson is averaaging 24.95PPG on the season and 26.5PPG in his last ten games. Most recently he has scored 29 or more points in 5 of his last six. The Pelicans are again without Brandon Ingram which means more opportunities for Zion here. Not to mention, the Jazz don’t defend ‘bigs’ well as they allow Power Forwards and Centers to score a ton.

ASA Play on: OVER 235 Boston Celtics @ LA Lakers, 10PM ET

The Celtics are the #1 offensive team in the NBA in terms of scoring at 120PPG and efficiency at 1.194PPP. Boston is the best 3-point shooting team in the NBA at 39.7% and rank 8th in 3PT attempts per game. The Lakers are 26th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 116.3PPG. The Lakers are 19th in defensive efficiency giving up 1.127PPP. In the Lakers most recent 5-game stretch they have allowed 122.2PPG which is the highest in the NBA. But, in that same stretch of 5-games they are 6th in scoring at 118.2PPG. Pace of play is important here as the Lakers are the 2nd fastest paced team in the NBA. The Celtics are 15th. Boston has the best Over record in the NBA when playing without rest at 15-4-1 since the start of last season and those games have gone Over by an average of +12.2PPG. 

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ASA NBA Player Prop Bets – Dec 12th

ASA INSANE START to the NBA season with a 41-17 Player Prop record!

ASA Player Prop OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS – T Haliburton – Indiana Pacers

Haliburton is averaging 2.9 made 3-pointers per game this season and has made 3 or more in 6 of his last seven games. His 3-point attempts have been up in recent games too with 8 or more in 3 of his last four games. Believe it or not, but the Heat allow point guards to make 3.8 3-pointers per game which is the highest number in the NBA. In the lone meeting this season between these two teams he was 3 of 8 from beyond the arc.

ASA Player Prop OVER 30.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Bam Adebayo – Miami Heat

The Pacers allow the most points in the NBA to Centers at 28.1PPG. They allow the 4th most rebounds per game at 16.8. That’s some basic math or 44.9 combined Points+Rebounds per game. Adebayo is averaging 30.04 Pts+Rebs on the season but has been even better in his last ten games at 32.9. He is coming off a lower scoring game against the Spurs and should bounce back here. Indiana is one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA.

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NBA Prop Bet – James Harden – Dec 9th

ASA Players Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – James Harden – Philadelphia 76ers

Harden is working his way back into shape after being off for a month with an injury. He scored 21-points against the Rockets in his first game back but had a horrendous shooting night going 4 of 19 from the field or 21.1%. Let’s not forget that Harden shoots well over 40% for his career and has averaged 21 or more points per game for 13 seasons. Nobody in the NBA allows more points to PG’s than the Lakers do at 27.6PPG. Even in the last two weeks when they have been playing better, they are still giving up an average of 24.8PPG. Harden will bounce back with a much better shooting game tonight in this marquee matchup with the Lakers.

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NBA Free Bet – Dec 8th

ASA has a FREE NBA BET for you December 8th

ASA play on UNDER 227.5 Denver Nuggets at Portland Trailblazers, 10:10PM ET

The Blazers used to be an up-tempo team but that has changed as they rank 28th in the league in possessions per game. Denver also prefers to play as a slower pace as they rank 20th in the NBA at 98.3 possessions per game. The Nuggets are coming off a 231-total point game the other night with the Mavericks, but both teams shot exceptionally well. Combined the two teams attempted just 150 field goals which is significantly lower than the league average of 172 FGA per game. Speaking of field goal attempts per game, the Blazers average 83.8 per game which is 27th in the NBA. The last time these teams met (October) they produced 245 total points, but the Blazers shot an insane 58% from the field and 46% from beyond the arc.