Tag: NBA predictions

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NBA Player Prop Bets | 1/18/24 | Free Bets

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 13.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Harrison Barnes – Sacramento Kings

Barnes is facing an Indiana team that allows the most points to Scoring Forwards in the NBA at 25.8PPG. This will be a faster paced game with plenty of possessions for both teams which means more opportunities for a big stat line here for Barnes. He has totaled 14 or more PRA’s in 4 of his last eight games. In the games he didn’t get to this total he either sat extended minutes in blowouts or faced much better defenses. We expect Harrison Barnes to score more than this number but will add in Rebounds and Assists as a precaution.  

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 19.5 POINTS – Jalen Williams – Oklahoma City Thunder

This game has an Over/Under of 244 which means plenty of scoring opportunities for everyone involved. We like Williams to do some damage tonight on the offensive end of the court against a Jazz team that allows the 3rd most points to Power Forwards on the season at 26.2PPG. Overall the Jazz own the 21st worst defensive efficiency rating in the NBA allowing 1.176-points per possession. Williams is averaging 20.1PPG over his last ten games and has scored more than this total in 6 of his last eight games. He is shooting at a very high percentage over his last ten games at 62.9% overall and 56% from beyond the arc. The Thunder are one of the best scoring teams in transition and the Jazz are one of the worst in the league in stopping opponents fast breaks. Williams is a fantastic finisher and runs the floor well.

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NBA free bet | Wednesday 1/17/24 | Bucks vs Cavs

ASA free play on #503 Milwaukee Bucks -4 @ Cleveland Cavaliers, 7:40PM ET

The Cavs have won 5 straight games, but they’ve come against 19-23 Bulls, 16-23 Nets, 7-32 Spurs and two wins against the 7-32 Wizards. So, let’s not be fooled by this current Cavaliers stretch of wins. The Bucks on the other hand have won 3 straight against the Celtics, Warriors and Kings. Milwaukee is the superior team here offensively ranking 3rd compared to the Cavs ranking 20th. Cleveland does hold the advantage defensively with the 5th best overall rating compared to the Bucks at 15th. Milwaukee has the 3rd best 3-point percentage in the league while the Cavs rank 10th in 3PT% defense. The Cavs are 26th in the NBA in 3PT% shooting and won’t make many against the Bucks defense that is 2nd in the league in defending the 3-point line. In fact, in the most recent meeting between these two teams the Bucks held the Cavs to 6 of 43 on 3-point field goals. The Cavaliers are still without dynamic PG Garland and starting Center Mobley and simply don’t have the depth to hang with Milwaukee at near full strength. Lay the points on the road.

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NBA Free Bet | Grizzlies vs Hawks prediction | Dec 23rd

ASA’s NBA FREE BET play on Memphis Grizzlies +1 vs Atlanta Hawks, 7:40PM ET

The Grizzlies are significantly better with Ja Morant on the floor as evidenced by their two wins with him back in the lineup. Today they face a Hawks team off a game last night in Miami. Atlanta is 5-13 SU their last 18 when playing without rest and they’ve lost those games by an average of minus -2.7PPG. Going back to the start of last season the Grizzlies have an average point differential of +5.1PPG when holding a rest advantage over their opponents and a 16-12 record. Atlanta took a hit when they lost up-and-coming Jalen Johnson and have just 3 wins in their last ten games. This is the Hawks 3rd game in four nights and 4th in six days so fatigue will be a factor. Memphis has two quality wins over the Pelicans and Pacers in their last two games and the numbers have not caught up with them yet.

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NFL FREE BET | GIANTS vs SAINTS prediction | December 17th

POINT TRAIN New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints – 1PM ET

WAGER – GIANTS +5.5

  • Tommy DeVito and the Giants find themselves in a 3-game winning streak and fresh off a convincing win over a Packers team that was surging up the standings.
  • A newfound ground game has made life much easier for DeVito and the passing game which makes their offense that much tougher to defend. NY is averaging 5.0-Yards Per Rush in their last three games, up from their season average of 4.1.
  • DeVito has been efficient and a game manager. In 3 games he’s 52/73 for 595 total yards with 5 TD’s to 0 INT’s.
  • The Saints defense has been in a steady decline allowing 5.3-Yards Per Play in their last three games. Prior to facing the pathetic Panthers offense last week, the Saints had allowed 27, 24 and 33 points in the three previous games.
  • The Giants defense has held 5 of their last eight opponents to 19 or less points.  
  • The Saints don’t enjoy much of a home field advantage with a 3-3 record and an average point differential of +0.2ppg.
  • Grab the points with the G-Men

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    NBA Prop Bets – Monday, Nov 27th

    ASA’s 2 NBA Players Prop bets in the NBA for Monday, November 27th

    WASHINGTON WIZARDS TYUS JONES – OVER 11.5 POINTS

    Jones is coming off a 4-point outing against the Hawks but should get right in this match up versus the Pistons. Jones is averaging 10.8PPG over his last ten games but in three of those games he managed just 6-total points. In the other seven games over that ten game stretch he has averaged 14.5PPG. Tonight, the Wiz face a Detroit team that allows the most points to Point Guards this season at 28.5PPG. Detroit is 24th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.178 points per possession on the season and allow opponents to shoot 50.3% on the season which is 30th or last in the league. Tyus Jones is coming off a poor shooting night against the Hawks, but he had shot 64.3%, 46.2%, 69.2%, 57.1% and 85.7% in his previous five games. Lastly, the Total on this game is 236 total points which means a high scoring game for both teams with more than average scoring opportunities for both teams.

    PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS MALCOLM BROGDON – OVER 19.5 POINTS

    What we know about Malcolm Brogdon going back to his Virginia days is that he likes to get his. Brogdon is working hard this season to put up numbers to showcase his skills before the trade deadline. He is second on the teams in field goal attempts at 15.8 and averages 17.7PPG on the season. In the last three games he has scored 18, 20 and 19 points. He has scored 18+ in 7 of his last ten games and will have a great opportunity to put up a big scoring night against the Pacers. Indiana averages the most possessions per game at 104.1 and attempt 95.1 field goals per game which is also first. That means this is going to be a faster paced game with plenty of scoring opportunities for the Blazers and more specifically Malcolm Brogdon. Brogdon is shooting 36.5% from beyond the Arc this season and the Pacers defense allows opponents to shoot 39.1% from the 3-point line which is 3rd worst in the league. Brogdon should put up a big scoring night against a Pacer defense that is 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and allow the 4th most points to Point Guards in the league.

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