Tag: NBA predictions

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NBA Player Prop Bets – Friday, April 7th

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 27.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Alperen Sengun – Houston Rockets

The Hornets are sitting a host of starters in this one so expect the Rockets starters to feast on weaker competition. Sengun is on tap for a big stat night against a Hornets team that allows the 3rd most points to Centers on average at 25.1PPG and also give up the 3rd most rebounds per game at 16.6. Sengun has totaled 28+ Pts+Rebs in 4 straight games. Easy OVER call here.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 14.5 POINTS – James Wiseman – Detroit Pistons

The Pistons are using these late season games to evaluate Wiseman and how he fits this roster moving forward. It has led to improved production and additional minutes in recent weeks. Wiseman has scored 14 or more points in 8 of his last ten games and gets a favorable matchup with the Pacers tonight. Indiana allows the 5th most average points to Centers at 24.6PPG. The Pacers allow 53.3PPG in the paint on the season which is the 26th highest number in the league. Bet OVER here.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 14.5 POINTS Jabari Smith Jr. – Houston Rockets

Smith Jr. has is averaging 14.2PPG over his last ten games and has scored 14 or more points in 6 of his last nine games. His usage and minutes have remained constant even with the Rockets season a shambles. In fact, his field goat attempts have gone up so we can bank on him getting enough looks in this game to go over his scoring total. The Hornets allow on average 24.3PPG to Power Forwards on the season which is the 2nd highest average allowed in the league.

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NBA Players Prop Bets – April 5th

ASA player prop OVER 25.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – Russell Westbrook – LA Clippers

Russ gets to face his former team tonight and we expect a big night in terms of scoring and assists. To begin with the Lakers give up the 2nd most points to PG’s on the season at 26.4PPG and rank 17th in Assists allowed per game at 8.1. Westbrook is averaging 24.8 Pts+Ass in his last ten games and is coming off a 34Pts+Ass game versus the Pelicans on Saturday. With extra rest and motivation we like a big game from Russell tonight.

ASA player prop UNDER 6.5 REBOUNDS – Brook Lopez – Milwaukee Bucks

The Bulls are the #1 team in the NBA when it comes to rebounds allowed to Centers at 13.3 per game. Lopez averages 6.66 per game on the season but has been held to 6 of less in 3 straight games and 5 of his last nine. There is a good chance the Bucks rest starters which would also limit his production tonight.

ASA player prop OVER 17.5 POINTS – Trey Murphy – New Orleans Pelicans

The Pelicans are in a must win mindset and are coming off a back loss last night to the Kings. In this setting we expect Murphy to have a big game against the Grizzlies. On the season the Grizzlies do a solid job of defending shooting guards as they allow 23.4PPG. In the last two weeks though they are giving up an average of 27.9PPG and they haven’t faced many great SG’s in that time frame. Murphy is averaging 18.3PPG in his last ten games and has scored 17 or more points in 6 of his last 8 games.

ASA NBA Player prop OVER 24.5 POINTS – Kyrie Irving – Dallas Mavericks

The Kyrie deal to the Mavs has certainly been a bust but that doesn’t enter into the equation here. The fact of the matter is the Mavericks are in a must-win situation tonight facing a Kings team locked into the 3 seed in the West. Irving should have a big scoring night against a Sacramento team that allows the 4th most points to shooting guards on the season at 24.9PPG. Irving is averaging 26.5PPG on the season.

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NBA Free Bet – Player Props bets – Friday, March 31st

ASA NBA Player Prop Bets – Friday March 31st

ASA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – Chris Paul – Phoenix Suns

We like the scenario for Paul to have a big scoring and assist game tonight against a Nuggets team that may be without Jokic, Porter Jr. and Murray. The Nuggets are also the 4th worst team in the NBA when it comes to defending point guards in scoring as they allow on average 25.5PPG. They also give up the 2nd most assists to PG’s on the year at 8.8. Chris Paul has totaled 20 or more Pts+Ass in 8 of the last ten games. Easy Over call here.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 9.5 POINTS – Cory Joseph – Detroit Pistons

This could be a big scoring night for Joseph as he faces a Rockets team that allows 26.7PPG to point guards on the season which is the highest number in the NBA. As a team the Rockets are the 2nd worst defensive efficiency team in the NBA as they allow 1.197-points per possession. Joseph has averaged 13.44PPG in his last ten games and has scored in double-digits in 8 of his last nine games. Bet OVER here.

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NBA Prop Bets – Friday, March 17th

NBA Player Prop Bets are an AMAZING 105-73 on the season when you combine pay and free bets!

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 32.5 PTS+REBS+ASS – CJ McCollum – New Orleans Pelicans

McCollum gets a favorable match up here against a Rockets team that allows the most points to Point Guards in the NBA at 26.8PPG. The Rockets also give up the 5th most assists to PG’s on the season at 8.7. McCollum could get to 32.5 with just Points+Assists so the rebounds are just a bonus. In 5 of his last seven games he has totaled 36 or more Pts+Rebs+Ass. In his last ten games he is averaging 31.8 Pts+Rebs+Ass which is slightly below tonight’s total and not he faces a bad defense in Houston.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 11.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Patrick Beverly – Chicago Bulls

This is a great spot to bet P-Bev who isn’t known for his scoring but he’ll be extra motivated tonight against his former team. The Wolves allow the 3rd most points in the league to PG’s this season at 26.2PPG. The Bulls and Beverly just faced a similar Rockets defense and P-Bev scored 16 points. We expect a double-digit scoring night for Beverly. Let’s throw in his rebounding numbers as he’s averaged 6.3RPG in his last ten games and has grabbed 10 and 11 in his last two games.

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NBA free predictions from ASA – March 7th

ASA play on: Atlanta Hawks -2.5 @ Washington Wizards, 7PM ET

The first question I asked myself when I looked at this line was, why are the Hawks favored here? Atlanta was recently a -7.5-point home favorite over the Wizards at home and lost 116-119. That tells us this line should be a pick’em which means the oddsmakers are baiting us into betting the Wiz. Washington is in a tough scheduling situation here having played last night and on March 3rd and 4th. That makes this their 4th game in six days which rarely happens in the NBA. Atlanta is off back-to-back losses in Miami and have been solid when coming off a loss with a 19-14 SU record. Washington is 15-15 SU at home on the season with a negative differential of -0.4PPG. Washington’s starters saw heavy minutes last night in Detroit and they’ll have a tough time finding their legs in this one. Lay the points with Atlanta.

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