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NBA Prediction or FREE BET | Suns vs Heat | Jan 29th 2024

ASA FREE NBA BET on Miami Heat -3 vs Phoenix Suns, 7:30PM ET

This is the ‘fishy’ line of the day as the Heat are favored despite losing 6-straight games against a Suns team that is 7-2 SU their last nine games.

The scheduling advantage for the Heat is clear as they are rested for this game while the Suns come off a game last night versus the Magic. Not only is this the Suns 2nd of a back-to-back, but also their 3rd game in four nights and 6th game in nine days.

In the loss last night to the Magic the Suns starters logged heavy minutes with Booker, Beal and Durant all playing 35+ minutes. The Heat have lost extended minutes to multiple starters this season but are now finally getting healthy with a full complement of players tonight.

Phoenix as a road underdog this season is 4-4 ATS with an average margin of victory in those games of minus -5.1PPG. Miami is below .500 as a home favorite at 8-9 ATS but they do have a positive differential of +2.6PPG AND have also covered 5 of their last seven at home as a favorite.

HOUSTON ROCKETS – FRED VANVLEET OVER 14.5PTS

VanVleet is averaging over 17PPG on the season and 17.2PPG in his last ten games. He has totaled more than 14.5 points in 6 of his last ten games. Tonight VanVleet should have a big scoring night against a Lakers team that allows the 4th most points to PG’s on the season at 26.6PPG. The Lakers have been especially bad defending Point Guards in the last two weeks allowing 30.5PPG in that stretch.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS – TYUS JONES OVER 20.5 POINTS+ASSISTS

Jones is inline for a solid game tonight against a Spurs defense that has issues containing opposing Point Guards. San Antonio allows the most points to PG’s this season at 27.5PPG and the 6th most Assists per game at 9.1. In Washington’s last ten games they have faced teams that rank top 12 in fewest points allowed to PG’s and his average in that stretch of games is still 20.8. Jones recently faced the Spurs and his brother Tre and he put up 19 Points+Assists. In two recent games against a Pistons team that is similar to the Spurs defensively he finished with 21 and 29 P&A’s.

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