Tag: NBA free bet

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NBA Prop Bets by ASA for Feb 3rd

ASA NBA Player Prop bets are REMARKABLE 97-56 YEAR TO DATE! CHECK BACK DAILY FOR PAY AND FREE NBA PROP BETS!

ASA Player Prop OVER 32.5 POINTS– LaMelo Ball – Charlotte Hornets

LaMelo is coming off a stretch of games against teams that defend the point guard position well. The teams that don’t (Toronto, Milwaukee), he’s had big games against. Tonight the Hornets face a Detroit team that allows the 5th most points to PG’s on the season at 25.2. Ball has scored 24 or more points in 5 of his last nine games. Detroit is allowing over 55-points per game in the paint this season which is one of the highest averages in the NBA so expect Ball to get deep into the Pistons defense and score at will.

ASA Player Prop OVER 38.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSIST – James Harden – Philadelphia 76ers

Harden will be out to prove a point tonight after his recent All-Star snub. He’s got the perfect opportunity to stuff his stat sheet against a Spurs team that is one of the worst in the NBA. San Antonio ranks last in defensive efficiency allowing 1.207-points per possession. The Spurs give up the 6th most points to PG’s this season at 25.2PPG, they allow an average of 8.4 assists per game and 5.8 rebounds per game. Harden is averaging 38.79Pts+Rebs+Ass this season and has topped 40 in 6 of his last ten games.

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NBA free wager – Suns vs. Wolves, Nov 9th

NBA free wager by ASA – UNDER 223 Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves

ASA play on: #547/548 UNDER 223 Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves, 8:10PM ET

ASA NBA pick. In the first week of the NBA season, scoring was up with games averaging 228 total points per game. That has trended back to the norm with games averaging 224.8-total points per game currently. In other words, this game has to be slightly lower scoring than an average game, which is what our model is predicting. Let’s start with the fact these two teams are a combined 6-15 to the Under this season. The addition of Rudy Gobert to the Wolves lineup is taking time for the team to adjust to. Last year the Wolves were the highest scoring team in the league at 115.4PPG but this year they are down to 113.7PPG which ranks 12th. Those numbers should be considerably higher given the fact that the Wolves have played the Spurs three times who are last in the league in points allowed per game at 120.6. They’ve also faced the Rockets and Knicks who are bottom 10 in PPG given up. Now they face a Suns team that is 2nd in points allowed per game at 103.5PPG, and rank 3rd in defensive efficiency. Another key factor is pace. Minnesota has faced several fast tempo teams this season, but the Suns are the 3rd slowest in pace of play at 95.7 possessions per game. The presence of Gobert (multiple defensive player of the year awards) has made the T-Wolves better defensively. Minnesota is 9th in defensive efficiency ratings at 1.105-points per possession allowed. Phoenix was 5th overall in scoring a year ago at 113.8PPG but are currently 15th at 112.4PPG. This game is shaping up to be very similar to the Bucks/Wolves game the other night which finished with 217 total points. Bet UNDER for this NBA pick!

ASA player prop OVER 24.5 Pts+Rebs – Jusuf Nurkic, Portland Trailblazers

The Hornets are one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the NBA so Nurkic should get plenty of opportunities for offensive rebounds and putbacks. Charlotte also ranks 23rd in the league in points in the paint allowed at 52. Nurkic is averaging 13PPG and 11.2RPG but we expect him to exceed those expectations given the opponent they Blazers are facing tonight. On average, Charlotte allows 42.91 Pts+Rebs per game which is the second highest total in the NBA. To similar centers to Nurkic (Valancunius, Capela, Sabonis, Vucevic, Adams and Porzingis) the Hornets have allowed an average of 30.33 Pts+Rebs. Nurkic has had two straight lower output games but they came against the Suns and Heat who are better than the Hornets defensively when it comes to centers. Easy Over call here.

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NBA Player Prop bets – Oct 18

ASA NBA Predictions or Player Prop bets for Tuesday, October 18th 2022

We have a few NBA Player props for you on opening night in the NBA. We will tread lightly to start the season with our NBA predictions and get more indepth as the year goes on. Be sure to check out all of ASA’s BASKETBALL PACKAGES online here!

Philadelphia 76ers – James Harden OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS

James Harden averaged 7.7 rebounds per game during the regular season and 5.7 in the postseason. For his career, he is averaging 5.6RPG. The Celtics are going to pay a lot of attention to Embiid, Harrell, Tucker and Harris on the boards which will give Harden plenty of opportunities to snag easy rebounds. Harden was 3rd in the NBA last season in rebounds per game among shooting guards.

Boston Celtics – Marcus Smart OVER 12.5 POINTS

The 76ers will have to pay a lot of attention to the Celtics “big 2” of Tatum and Brown which means a few extra open looks for Smart who has shot it extremely well in camp according to our reports. Smart has averaged 12.1PPG, 13.1PPG and 12.9PPG in his last three seasons overall. In 7 of his last ten games a season ago in the playoffs he scored more than 12.5-points. He averaged 15PPG in his last ten games and that was against Golden State and Miami two of the better defensive teams in the NBA. In four games against the 76ers last season Smart averaged 12PPG and one of those games was a blowout in which he played just 12 minutes.

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🏀 NBA Player Prop Bet Alert! Today, Feb 22, 2025, Nikola Vucevic and the Chicago Bulls face the Phoenix Suns. We're betting on Vucevic to dominate with Points + Rebounds. Will he go OVER his line? Check out this free pick and let’s cash in! #NBA #PropBet #BullsVsSuns Smash that like button, subscribe for daily NBA free picks, and let’s cash these betting tickets together! 🔑 Keywords: NBA player props, NBA free pick, Bulls vs Suns, NBA picks 2/22/25 NBA betting, NBA predictions, basketball betting tips, NBA odds, sports betting, Suns game, Bulls game. 🔔 Subscribe for daily NBA free bets, betting advice, and game previews! Hit the like button if you enjoy this NBA player prop free pick and let us know your thoughts in the comments below. #NBA #NBAfreePicks #PelicansvsMavericks #FreePick #BettingTips #NBAPredictions #SportsBetting #Basketball #nbapropbetstoday #nbaprops #nbafreepick #bestplayerprops #nbaplayerpropbets #freenbabetstoday #freenbapickstoday ASA's NBA BEST BETS daily can be found at https://asawins.com Get other FREE NBA picks at https://asawins.com/free-picks Other betting picks can be found at https://asawins.com/shop-asawins Try ASA out with a FREE $60 betting coupons online - no sales pitch or hassles, just a free $60 at https://www.asawins.com/asawins-free-60-online-credit-giveaway Follow us on Twitter at https://twitter.com/asawins

🏀 NBA Player Prop Bet Alert! Today, Feb 22, 2025, Nikola Vucevic and the Chicago Bulls face the Phoenix Suns. We're betting on Vucevic to dominate with Points + Rebounds. Will he go OVER his line? Check out this free pick and let’s cash in! #NBA #PropBet #BullsVsSuns

Smash that like button, subscribe for daily NBA free picks, and let’s cash these betting tickets together!

🔑 Keywords: NBA player props, NBA free pick, Bulls vs Suns, NBA picks 2/22/25 NBA betting, NBA predictions, basketball betting tips, NBA odds, sports betting, Suns game, Bulls game.

🔔 Subscribe for daily NBA free bets, betting advice, and game previews! Hit the like button if you enjoy this NBA player prop free pick and let us know your thoughts in the comments below.

#NBA #NBAfreePicks #PelicansvsMavericks #FreePick #BettingTips #NBAPredictions #SportsBetting #Basketball #nbapropbetstoday #nbaprops #nbafreepick #bestplayerprops #nbaplayerpropbets #freenbabetstoday #freenbapickstoday

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NBA Player prop bet | Nikola Vucevic Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns

ASAwins4U 4 hours ago

College Basketball Free pick today - Alabama vs. Kentucky College Basketball Free Pick | Feb 22, 2025 | Sports Betting Preview Get ready for an electrifying SEC showdown as the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide take on the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats on February 22, 2025, at Coleman Coliseum! In this video, we break down the latest odds, key player matchups, and betting trends to deliver our expert college basketball free pick for this high-stakes college basketball clash. Can Alabama’s high-powered offense overpower Kentucky’s gritty defense, or will the Wildcats pull off an upset on the road? We’ve got you covered with: Current Betting Odds: Alabama -7.5, O/U 178.5 (via SportsLine consensus as of Feb 21, 2025) Team Insights: Alabama’s explosive scoring (90.5 PPG, #1 nationally) vs. Kentucky’s balanced attack (85.8 PPG, #3 nationally) X-Factors: Mark Sears’ scoring prowess for Alabama and Otega Oweh’s two-way impact for Kentucky Betting Trends: Alabama’s 7-8-1 ATS as a 7.5+ point favorite vs. Kentucky’s 1-0 ATS as a 7.5+ point underdog this season Final Prediction: Our data-driven pick to help you cash in! Whether you’re betting the spread, total, or moneyline, this preview will give you the edge you need. Drop your thoughts in the comments—do you agree with our pick? Subscribe for more college basketball betting breakdowns, and let’s cash some tickets together! ASA's NBA BEST BETS daily can be found at https://asawins.com Get other FREE NBA picks at https://asawins.com/free-picks Other betting picks can be found at https://asawins.com/shop-asawins Try ASA out with a FREE $60 betting coupons online - no sales pitch or hassles, just a free $60 at https://www.asawins.com/asawins-free-60-online-credit-giveaway Follow us on Twitter at https://twitter.com/asawins #collegebasketballfreepicks #collegebasketballpicks #collegebasketballpredictions #collegebasketballbettingtips #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #AlabamaVsKentucky #FreePick #NCAABetting 00:00 Introduction 00:15 SEC showdown - subscribe 00:28 College free pick 00:39 College free pick Breakdown 02:31 Exit message

College Basketball Free pick today - Alabama vs. Kentucky College Basketball Free Pick | Feb 22, 2025 | Sports Betting Preview

Get ready for an electrifying SEC showdown as the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide take on the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats on February 22, 2025, at Coleman Coliseum! In this video, we break down the latest odds, key player matchups, and betting trends to deliver our expert college basketball free pick for this high-stakes college basketball clash. Can Alabama’s high-powered offense overpower Kentucky’s gritty defense, or will the Wildcats pull off an upset on the road?

We’ve got you covered with:
Current Betting Odds: Alabama -7.5, O/U 178.5 (via SportsLine consensus as of Feb 21, 2025)

Team Insights: Alabama’s explosive scoring (90.5 PPG, #1 nationally) vs. Kentucky’s balanced attack (85.8 PPG, #3 nationally)

X-Factors: Mark Sears’ scoring prowess for Alabama and Otega Oweh’s two-way impact for Kentucky

Betting Trends: Alabama’s 7-8-1 ATS as a 7.5+ point favorite vs. Kentucky’s 1-0 ATS as a 7.5+ point underdog this season

Final Prediction: Our data-driven pick to help you cash in!

Whether you’re betting the spread, total, or moneyline, this preview will give you the edge you need. Drop your thoughts in the comments—do you agree with our pick? Subscribe for more college basketball betting breakdowns, and let’s cash some tickets together!

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#collegebasketballfreepicks #collegebasketballpicks #collegebasketballpredictions #collegebasketballbettingtips #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #AlabamaVsKentucky #FreePick #NCAABetting
00:00 Introduction
00:15 SEC showdown - subscribe
00:28 College free pick
00:39 College free pick Breakdown
02:31 Exit message

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College Basketball Free pick Alabama vs Kentucky prediction

ASAwins4U 22 hours ago

NBA Free pick today - 2 NBA bets included for your Friday Parlay! Get in on the action with tonight’s ASAwins NBA free pick! We’re riding the OVER/UNDER for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks (8:30pm ET) and tonight's NBA free bet. These teams lit it up on Jan 29th with 273 combined points, both shooting over 53% and raining threes (Mavs 20/43, Pelicans 15/31). Can these two NBA teams duplicate that hot shooting and cash the OVER? Or will they shoot below expectations and stay UNDER the total? Find out what NBA bet ASA has made on tonight's Western Conference showdown. PLUS, we’re loving NBA player prop bet on Jordan Poole of the Washington Wizards. Is Poole primed for a big night? He’s dropped 40+ points in 2 of his last 4, averages 20.7 PPG, and already torched Milwaukee for 26 and 31 this season. Can the Milwaukee Bucks keep Jordan Poole UNDER his NBA player prop bet total tonight? Smash that like button, subscribe for daily NBA free picks, and let’s cash these betting tickets together! 🔑 Keywords: NBA free pick, Pelicans vs Mavericks, NBA picks 2/21/25 NBA betting, New Orleans Pelicans, Dallas Mavericks, NBA predictions, basketball betting tips, NBA odds, game preview, sports betting, Pelicans game, Mavericks game, NBA analysis. 🔔 Subscribe for daily NBA free bets, betting advice, and game previews! Hit the like button if you enjoy this NBA free pick and let us know your thoughts in the comments below. #NBA #NBAfreePicks #PelicansvsMavericks #FreePick #BettingTips #NBAPredictions #SportsBetting #Basketball #nbapropbetstoday #nbaprops #nbafreepick #bestplayerprops #nbaplayerpropbets #freenbabetstoday #freenbapickstoday ASA's NBA BEST BETS daily can be found at https://asawins.com Get other FREE NBA picks at https://asawins.com/free-picks Other betting picks can be found at https://asawins.com/shop-asawins Try ASA out with a FREE $60 betting coupons online - no sales pitch or hassles, just a free $60 at https://www.asawins.com/asawins-free-60-online-credit-giveaway Follow us on Twitter at https://twitter.com/asawins 00:00 Introduction 00:21 Like and subscribe today 00:39 NBA free bet #1 02:29 NBA player prop bet 03:25 Exit message

NBA Free pick today - 2 NBA bets included for your Friday Parlay!

Get in on the action with tonight’s ASAwins NBA free pick! We’re riding the OVER/UNDER for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks (8:30pm ET) and tonight's NBA free bet. These teams lit it up on Jan 29th with 273 combined points, both shooting over 53% and raining threes (Mavs 20/43, Pelicans 15/31). Can these two NBA teams duplicate that hot shooting and cash the OVER? Or will they shoot below expectations and stay UNDER the total? Find out what NBA bet ASA has made on tonight's Western Conference showdown.

PLUS, we’re loving NBA player prop bet on Jordan Poole of the Washington Wizards. Is Poole primed for a big night? He’s dropped 40+ points in 2 of his last 4, averages 20.7 PPG, and already torched Milwaukee for 26 and 31 this season. Can the Milwaukee Bucks keep Jordan Poole UNDER his NBA player prop bet total tonight?

Smash that like button, subscribe for daily NBA free picks, and let’s cash these betting tickets together!

🔑 Keywords: NBA free pick, Pelicans vs Mavericks, NBA picks 2/21/25 NBA betting, New Orleans Pelicans, Dallas Mavericks, NBA predictions, basketball betting tips, NBA odds, game preview, sports betting, Pelicans game, Mavericks game, NBA analysis.

🔔 Subscribe for daily NBA free bets, betting advice, and game previews! Hit the like button if you enjoy this NBA free pick and let us know your thoughts in the comments below.

#NBA #NBAfreePicks #PelicansvsMavericks #FreePick #BettingTips #NBAPredictions #SportsBetting #Basketball #nbapropbetstoday #nbaprops #nbafreepick #bestplayerprops #nbaplayerpropbets #freenbabetstoday #freenbapickstoday

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00:00 Introduction
00:21 Like and subscribe today
00:39 NBA free bet #1
02:29 NBA player prop bet
03:25 Exit message

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NBA Free pick today | 2 NBA bets on Friday, Feb 21st

ASAwins4U February 21, 2025 11:40 am

Get ready for an epic showdown as Team USA takes on Team Canada in the 4 Nation Faceoff Finals on Thursday, February 20, 2025! In this video, we break down the matchup and give you the best NHL free picks today, including our expert analysis on the Over/Under total for this high-stakes international battle. The rivalry between USA and Canada is one of the most intense in hockey, and this game is expected to be a thriller. Will the offenses take over, or will the goaltenders steal the show? We analyze key stats, betting trends, and free NHL picks to help you make the smartest bets. Our in-depth preview includes free picks on the game line, total goals prediction, and insights into how this game could play out. If you're looking for free NHL picks today, you've come to the right place! 🔥 Free NHL Picks Today: Expert analysis on the USA vs. Canada game. 🏒 Over/Under Prediction: Will we see a high-scoring affair or a defensive battle? 💰 Best Free Picks & Betting Advice: Get expert insight to help you cash in on NHL free picks and smart wagers. 👉 Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more NHL free picks and betting predictions all season long! #NHLFreePicks #FreePicks #USAvsCanada #4NationFaceoff #NHLBetting #HockeyPredictions #SportsBetting ASA's BEST bets daily or Premium picks can be found at https://asawins.com Get other FREE picks at https://asawins.com/free-picks Other betting picks can be found at https://asawins.com/shop-asawins Try ASA out with a FREE $60 betting coupons online - no sales pitch or hassles, just a free $60 at https://www.asawins.com/asawins-free-60-online-credit-giveaway Follow us on Twitter at https://twitter.com/asawins

Get ready for an epic showdown as Team USA takes on Team Canada in the 4 Nation Faceoff Finals on Thursday, February 20, 2025! In this video, we break down the matchup and give you the best NHL free picks today, including our expert analysis on the Over/Under total for this high-stakes international battle.

The rivalry between USA and Canada is one of the most intense in hockey, and this game is expected to be a thriller. Will the offenses take over, or will the goaltenders steal the show? We analyze key stats, betting trends, and free NHL picks to help you make the smartest bets. Our in-depth preview includes free picks on the game line, total goals prediction, and insights into how this game could play out. If you're looking for free NHL picks today, you've come to the right place!

🔥 Free NHL Picks Today: Expert analysis on the USA vs. Canada game.
🏒 Over/Under Prediction: Will we see a high-scoring affair or a defensive battle?

💰 Best Free Picks & Betting Advice: Get expert insight to help you cash in on NHL free picks and smart wagers.

👉 Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more NHL free picks and betting predictions all season long!

#NHLFreePicks #FreePicks #USAvsCanada #4NationFaceoff #NHLBetting #HockeyPredictions #SportsBetting

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NHL Free bet 4 Nations Faceoff Final USA vs Canada 2/20/25

ASAwins4U February 19, 2025 5:53 pm

Looking for the best NBA free bets Thursday, February 20, 2025 - Lakers vs Blazers prediction Don't miss a free bet ever when you SUBSCRIBE to our YT Channel. Click here https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCtfnUkLzhiv_v6jDrP0IQ-A Get ready for an exciting Western Conference showdown with our NBA free bet for the Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trail Blazers game on February 20, 2025! In this video, we break down the latest odds, key player stats, and expert predictions for this matchup at Moda Center. Will LeBron James and the Lakers dominate, or can the Trail Blazers pull off an upset at home? We’ve got your nba free betting preview covered with analysis on the spread, a free NBA player prop, and top trends. Don’t miss out on this NBA free bet to help you win big tonight! 🔑 Keywords: NBA free bet, Lakers vs Blazers, February 20 2025, NBA betting, LeBron James, Portland Trail Blazers, Los Angeles Lakers, NBA predictions, basketball betting tips, NBA odds, game preview, sports betting, Lakers game, Blazers game, NBA analysis. 🔔 Subscribe for daily NBA free bets, betting advice, and game previews! Hit the like button if you enjoy this NBA free pick and let us know your thoughts in the comments below. #NBA #NBAPicks #LakersVsBlazers #FreePick #BettingTips #LeBronJames #NBAPredictions #SportsBetting #Basketbal ASA's NBA BEST BETS daily can be found at https://asawins.com Get other FREE NBA picks at https://asawins.com/free-picks Other betting picks can be found at https://asawins.com/shop-asawins Try ASA out with a FREE $60 betting coupons online - no sales pitch or hassles, just a free $60 at https://www.asawins.com/asawins-free-60-online-credit-giveaway Follow us on Twitter at https://twitter.com/asawins #NBAFreePicks #FreePicks #NBAToday #NBAPlayerProps #LakersVsBlazers #LeBronJames #SportsBetting #freebet #nbafreepick #nbafreebets #freebetstoday #freenbabetstoday #freepickstoday #freebetstoday #bestnbabets #bestbetstoday #bestbetstoday #bestnbabets #freebettingpicks #nbaplayerpropstoday 00:00 Introduction 00:17 NBA free bets and player props 00:31 Get subscribed for more free bets 00:58 LeBron James prop bet 01:47 Free bet 2/20/25 03:19 Exit message

Looking for the best NBA free bets Thursday, February 20, 2025 - Lakers vs Blazers prediction

Don't miss a free bet ever when you SUBSCRIBE to our YT Channel. Click here https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCtfnUkLzhiv_v6jDrP0IQ-A

Get ready for an exciting Western Conference showdown with our NBA free bet for the Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trail Blazers game on February 20, 2025! In this video, we break down the latest odds, key player stats, and expert predictions for this matchup at Moda Center. Will LeBron James and the Lakers dominate, or can the Trail Blazers pull off an upset at home? We’ve got your nba free betting preview covered with analysis on the spread, a free NBA player prop, and top trends. Don’t miss out on this NBA free bet to help you win big tonight!

🔑 Keywords: NBA free bet, Lakers vs Blazers, February 20 2025, NBA betting, LeBron James, Portland Trail Blazers, Los Angeles Lakers, NBA predictions, basketball betting tips, NBA odds, game preview, sports betting, Lakers game, Blazers game, NBA analysis.

🔔 Subscribe for daily NBA free bets, betting advice, and game previews! Hit the like button if you enjoy this NBA free pick and let us know your thoughts in the comments below.

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#NBAFreePicks #FreePicks #NBAToday #NBAPlayerProps #LakersVsBlazers #LeBronJames #SportsBetting #freebet #nbafreepick #nbafreebets #freebetstoday #freenbabetstoday #freepickstoday #freebetstoday #bestnbabets #bestbetstoday #bestbetstoday #bestnbabets #freebettingpicks #nbaplayerpropstoday
00:00 Introduction
00:17 NBA free bets and player props
00:31 Get subscribed for more free bets
00:58 LeBron James prop bet
01:47 Free bet 2/20/25
03:19 Exit message

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NBA Free Bets Today: Lakers vs. Trail Blazers + LeBron James Prop Bet | Feb 20, 2025

ASAwins4U February 19, 2025 4:32 pm

🚨 Best Bet Alert! 🏀 Grab your FREE college bet for tonight's thrilling NCAA betting action on Wednesday, February 19th. Don't ever miss a free bet from ASA when you SUBSCRIBE to our YT Channel. Get an expert College Basketball free bet on the exciting clash between Illinois State and Bradley! Watch as we dive into the odds, predictions, and how you can score big with this exclusive offer. Don't miss out on this NCAA bet - tune in, bet smart, and let's see who comes out on top! #CollegeBasketball #FreeBet #illinoisstate #SportsBetting ASA's College Basketball BEST BETS daily can be found at https://asawins.com Get other FREE CBB picks at https://asawins.com/free-picks Other betting picks can be found at https://asawins.com/shop-asawins Try ASA out with a FREE $60 betting coupons online - no sales pitch or hassles, just a free $60 at https://www.asawins.com/asawins-free-60-online-credit-giveaway Follow us on Twitter at https://twitter.com/asawins #freebet #freebetstoday #freepickstoday #freebetstoday #bestbetstoday #freebettingpicks #collegebasketballbettingtips #collegebasketballpickstoday #collegebasketballfreebets #collegebasketballfreepicks #collegebasketballagainstthespread #ncaabasketball #ncaabfreepicks #ncaabbetting #ncaabpicks #ncaabets

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Free College Bet today | Feb 19 2025 | NCAAB prediction

ASAwins4U February 18, 2025 6:53 pm

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ASA NBA Champion Prediction 2022

Who’s going to win it all in 2022?

So, you’re thinking about a future wager on the NBA Championship and you’re not sure who to take? We can help you with some proven statistics that accurately predict who this year’s Champion may be and rule out the most obvious media darling pretenders.

The backbone of this research is centered around efficiency ratings/rankings compiled through the regular season.  The average overall efficiency rating this season in the NBA was 1.110 points scored/allowed per possession or 110 points per 100 possessions. The Utah Jazz were the most efficient offense in the NBA at 116.7 points per 100 possessions (1.167PPP) while the Atlanta Hawks were a close second at 1.165PPP with the Bucks (1.152), Suns (1.149) and Grizzlies (1.147PPP) rounding out the top five. The Boston Celtics own the top defensive efficiency rating in the league allowing just 107 or 1.070 points per possession this season. The other four teams that round out the top five are Golden State, Phoenix, Memphis and Miami. If history tells us anything, these numbers can be extremely useful in predicting the NBA Champion.

This trend started in 2008-09 when the Finals featured the LA Lakers with head coach Phil Jackson and HOF’er Kobe Bryant, facing the Orlando Magic and a young Dwight Howard. The Lakers won that Finals series in dominating fashion 4 games to 1.  The Lakers finished the regular season ranked 3rd in offensive efficiency ratings (OEFF) and 6th in defensive efficiency (DEFF). Orlando had efficiency numbers that ranked them 12th in OEFF and 1st in DEFF. This was the beginning of the “efficiency” Champions in the recent decades.

Below are the Finals Champions and their overall efficiency rankings for the past thirteen Championships.

NBA CHAMPIONS FROM 2008 on and OEFF/DEFF regular season efficiency rankings:

2008-09 LA Lakers (OEFF = 3rd, DEFF = 6th)

2009-10 LA Lakers (OEFF = 11th, DEFF = 4th)

2010-11 Dallas Mavericks (OEFF = 8th, DEFF = 7th)

2011-12 Miami Heat (OEFF = 8th, DEFF = 4th)

2012-13 Miami Heat (OEFF = 1st, DEFF = 9th)

2013-14 San Antonio Spurs (OEFF = 7th, DEFF = 3rd)

2014-15 Golden State Warriors (OEFF = 2nd, DEFF = 1st)

2015-16 Cleveland Cavaliers (OEFF = 3rd, DEFF = 10th)

2016-17 Golden State Warriors (OEFF = 1st, DEFF = 2nd)

2017-18 Golden State Warriors (OEFF = 3rd, DEFF = 11th)

2018-19 Toronto Raptors (OEFF = 5th, DEFF = 5TH)

2019-20 LA Lakers (OEFF = 11th, DEFF = 3rd)

2020-21 Milwaukee Bucks (OEFF = 6th, DEFF = 10th)

2022     ??????

You can see for yourself that every team that has won a Championship in the last ten years had an OEFF and DEFF in the top 11 for that season.  Using this model to predict this year’s Champion we can eliminate everyone but the following teams: Boston and Miami from the East, Phoenix, Utah and Memphis from the West. There are clearly some favorites or notable names that did not make the list. The Milwaukee Bucks are 3rd in OEFF, but rank 13th in DEFF. The Golden State Warriors have the 2nd best defensive efficiency rating but are 16th in offensive efficiency. Brooklyn who had to deal with Kyrie Irving missing half the games was 11th in OEFF, 19th in DEFF. The outlier is the Philadelphia 76ers who just missed the top eleven, ranking 12th in both OEFF/DEFF.

2021-22 Regular Season Efficiency Rankings for the Math Model “Contenders”

Boston Celtics: OEFF 7th, DEFF 1stth

Utah Jazz: OEFF 1st, DEFF 9th

Phoenix Suns: OEFF 4th, DEFF 3rd

Memphis Grizzlies: OEFF 5th, DEFF 4th

Miami Heat: OEFF 10th, DEFF 5th

If we add in another identifier of Efficiency Differential (the +/- of the Offensive/Defensive efficiency numbers) to our equation it helps narrow down the field of this year’s contenders. Going back to 2008 only one NBA Champion has had a EDIFF plus/minus of less than +5 which was the Mavericks in 2010-11 of plus +4.7. The last ten NBA Champions have produced a EDIFF +/- of 5.7 or better during the regular season. If we apply that logic to this year’s field we narrow down our potential winner to four teams.

2021-22 Effficiency Differential leaders during the regular season:

1st Phoenix Suns +7.5

2nd Boston Celtics +7.4

3rd Utah Jazz +6.2

4th Memphis Grizzlies +5.7

Using the aforementioned guidelines our Money is on…the Phoenix Suns +260

The Phoenix Suns lost to the Bucks in the NBA Finals last season, so they’ve experience what it takes to get to the Finals and tasted bitter defeat. The Suns were favored in 69 of their 82 games during the regular season and finished the year at 64-18 SU with a +/- of 7.5PPG, which was best in the league. Phoenix owns home court throughout the Playoffs, and they were 32-9 SU at home with an average Margin of Victory of +8.9PPG. If we look at Efficiency Differential, of the last eight NBA Champions, 3 have finished the regular season with the best +/- EDIFF. Phoenix was that team this season with an EDIFF of +7.5. The Suns have veteran point guard Chris Paul to guide the ship, a scoring machine in Devin Booker who is capable of carrying a team offensively and a rim protector and inside presence in Deandre Ayton. Then add in a mix of capable role players in Bridges, Crowder, Payne and Johnson and you have a team poised to win it all.

LONGSHOT: If you are looking for a better return on your investment, the UTAH JAZZ +$2500 are an intriguing long-shot proposition. The Jazz didn’t play well down the stretch of the regular season and are flying under the radar right now. But let’s look at the whole body of work or the season numbers for our prediction. The Jazz were favored in more games this season than the Suns with 74 of 82 games laying points. They own the 3rd best overall average Margin of Victory at +6PPG. The Jazz were 3rd this season in EDIFF and eight of the last thirteen NBA Champs have ranked 3rd or better in that category. Obviously, the Jazz have a similar roster to the Suns with a proven scorer in Donovan Mitchell, the best defensive center in the league in Gobert along with vets Mike Conley and Bojan Bogdanovic. Remember a few years ago when Mitchell was nearly unstoppable in the postseason? It will take a performance like that from him again along with the rest of the roster, but they clearly have the statistical support to win it all.

Overall, this shapes up to be one of the best NBA playoffs in a long time and we can’t wait! Best of luck with all your wagers.