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NBA free bet | 1-28-24 | Raptors vs Hawks prediction

ASA play on Toronto Raptors +7 at Atlanta Hawks, 6PM

The Atlanta Hawks shouldn’t be laying this many points to anyone in the NBA not named the Pistons, Spurs, Wizards or Hornets. This team is lacking effort on the defensive end of the court that is obvious to a casual observer, let alone statisticians. For the season the Hawks rank 27th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.204-points per possession. They just gave up 73-points to Luka Doncic and 148 to the Mavericks as a team. They have allowed 122, 134 and 148 in their last three games. Part of the problem seems to be several trade rumors involving this team which are impacting their on the court chemistry. Atlanta is 8-13 SU at home with a negative differential of minus -3.4PPG.  Toronto made their trade when they shipped Siakam to the Pacers for Bruce Brown who should start for the injured Quickly in this one. The Raptors have lost 4 straight games they came against a hot Bulls team, the Knicks and Clippers. The one bad loss in that stretch was at home to the Grizzlies by 8-points. The Raptors were recently +7.5-points at New York and the Knicks are far superior to this Hawks team. Atlanta was an -8.5-point favorite at home against the 10-36 Spurs and the Raptors rate more than 2.5-points better than San Antonio. These two teams have similar offensive efficiency ratings but the Raptors are much better defensively. Grab the points.

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NBA Player Prop Bets | 1/18/24 | Free Bets

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 13.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Harrison Barnes – Sacramento Kings

Barnes is facing an Indiana team that allows the most points to Scoring Forwards in the NBA at 25.8PPG. This will be a faster paced game with plenty of possessions for both teams which means more opportunities for a big stat line here for Barnes. He has totaled 14 or more PRA’s in 4 of his last eight games. In the games he didn’t get to this total he either sat extended minutes in blowouts or faced much better defenses. We expect Harrison Barnes to score more than this number but will add in Rebounds and Assists as a precaution.  

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 19.5 POINTS – Jalen Williams – Oklahoma City Thunder

This game has an Over/Under of 244 which means plenty of scoring opportunities for everyone involved. We like Williams to do some damage tonight on the offensive end of the court against a Jazz team that allows the 3rd most points to Power Forwards on the season at 26.2PPG. Overall the Jazz own the 21st worst defensive efficiency rating in the NBA allowing 1.176-points per possession. Williams is averaging 20.1PPG over his last ten games and has scored more than this total in 6 of his last eight games. He is shooting at a very high percentage over his last ten games at 62.9% overall and 56% from beyond the arc. The Thunder are one of the best scoring teams in transition and the Jazz are one of the worst in the league in stopping opponents fast breaks. Williams is a fantastic finisher and runs the floor well.

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NBA free bet | Wednesday 1/17/24 | Bucks vs Cavs

ASA free play on #503 Milwaukee Bucks -4 @ Cleveland Cavaliers, 7:40PM ET

The Cavs have won 5 straight games, but they’ve come against 19-23 Bulls, 16-23 Nets, 7-32 Spurs and two wins against the 7-32 Wizards. So, let’s not be fooled by this current Cavaliers stretch of wins. The Bucks on the other hand have won 3 straight against the Celtics, Warriors and Kings. Milwaukee is the superior team here offensively ranking 3rd compared to the Cavs ranking 20th. Cleveland does hold the advantage defensively with the 5th best overall rating compared to the Bucks at 15th. Milwaukee has the 3rd best 3-point percentage in the league while the Cavs rank 10th in 3PT% defense. The Cavs are 26th in the NBA in 3PT% shooting and won’t make many against the Bucks defense that is 2nd in the league in defending the 3-point line. In fact, in the most recent meeting between these two teams the Bucks held the Cavs to 6 of 43 on 3-point field goals. The Cavaliers are still without dynamic PG Garland and starting Center Mobley and simply don’t have the depth to hang with Milwaukee at near full strength. Lay the points on the road.

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NBA Free Bet | Grizzlies vs Hawks prediction | Dec 23rd

ASA’s NBA FREE BET play on Memphis Grizzlies +1 vs Atlanta Hawks, 7:40PM ET

The Grizzlies are significantly better with Ja Morant on the floor as evidenced by their two wins with him back in the lineup. Today they face a Hawks team off a game last night in Miami. Atlanta is 5-13 SU their last 18 when playing without rest and they’ve lost those games by an average of minus -2.7PPG. Going back to the start of last season the Grizzlies have an average point differential of +5.1PPG when holding a rest advantage over their opponents and a 16-12 record. Atlanta took a hit when they lost up-and-coming Jalen Johnson and have just 3 wins in their last ten games. This is the Hawks 3rd game in four nights and 4th in six days so fatigue will be a factor. Memphis has two quality wins over the Pelicans and Pacers in their last two games and the numbers have not caught up with them yet.

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NBA free bet – Ivica Zubac – Player Prop Oct 27th

ASA NBA Player Prop bet – OVER 10.5 POINTS – Ivica Zubac – LA Clippers

Zubac is coming off a solid 20-point game in the Clippers opener against the Blazers and while we doubt he’ll get to 20 tonight, we do expect him to eclipse 11. Against the Blazer Zubac had 10 field goal attempts with 5 offensive rebounds. The Jazz struggled to defend centers last season allowing the 7th most points to that position at 23.8PPG. Last season the Jazz allowed the 5th most offensive rebounds to opponents which means Zubac should get a few easy put-backs here. In all four meetings last season, Zubac managed 12+ points in every meeting. Bet OVER 10.5 POINTS Ivica Zubac.

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