ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET
The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with an injury. A closer look shows that the Bucks Offensive Net rating of 120.1 over their last 15 games is the 6th best number in the league. Indiana’s defense has improved this season, but they still play at the 3rd fastest pace so we should get a high possession game. Milwaukee has an EFG% of 59.3% over their last 15 games, 2nd best in the NBA, and are making over fourteen 3-Pointers per game in that same stretch. The Bucks have eclipsed this O/U number in 8 of the last nine meetings with the Pacers. Bet OVER.
ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025
ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals. Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s… Read more: NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025
ASA NHL free bet on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the… Read more: NHL Free Bet Daily | Hurricanes vs Canadiens Prediction | 4-16-25
NHL Free pick today – Kings vs Kraken prediction Seattle hosts the Kings tonight, and we like the Kraken to win at home. Los Angeles, locked into their playoff spot after beating Edmonton last night, may rest players in this back-to-back. The Kings are 20-21-3 on the road, scoring 2.95 goals per game while allowing… Read more: NHL Free pick today | April 15 | Kings vs Kraken
ASA NHL play on UNDER 5.5 GOALS Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames, 10pm ET The Wild and Flames are set for a low-scoring battle tonight, and I’m all over the Under 5.5 goals. Goaltending: Filip Gustavsson (Wild): Rocking a 2.54 GAA and .915 save percentage, he’s been lights-out, with a .922 save percentage in his… Read more: NHL Free Pick | Wild vs. Flames | April 11 2025
NBA playoff bets – Pistons to win this series and why! Plus a bonus bet below.
Alright, let’s dive into this betting preview for the Detroit Pistons to take down the New York Knicks in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series. This matchup is shaping up to be a gritty battle, with the Pistons’ youth and momentum clashing against the Knicks’ experience. Here’s why Detroit could pull off the upset and wrap it up in six.
The Pistons have been a different beast since January 2025, showing serious growth under coach J.B. Bickerstaff. From January 1 onward, they played 37 games, finishing with a 23-14 record—a 62% win rate. They averaged 116.8 points per game while holding opponents to 113.2, giving them a +3.6 point differential. Their offensive rating sat at 115.2 (13th in the league), and their defensive rating was 111.8 (9th), showing they can score efficiently and lock down when it matters. Cade Cunningham has been the engine, averaging 27.4 points, 9.3 assists, and 6.2 rebounds against all teams since January, while shooting 36.1% from deep. Against the Knicks specifically, he’s been a nightmare, dropping 30.8 points, 8.3 assists, and 5 rebounds per game across the season series, including a 36-point, 10-assist outburst on January 13. Malik Beasley has been a flamethrower, hitting 41.6% from three on the season and averaging 16.3 points, with a historic 300 three-pointers made. Jalen Duren’s been a force inside, averaging 10.5 rebounds per game, though he dipped to 8.25 against the Knicks—but his recent rhythm suggests he’ll be closer to 11 boards in this series.
Now, let’s look at the Knicks’ struggles against playoff-caliber teams this season. They went a dismal 6-16 against teams with top-10 point differentials, including 0-8 against the East’s top two seeds, Cleveland and Boston, and 4-8 against the West’s top six. Their last win against a team with a better record than them was back on February 3 against the Rockets—over two months ago. The Pistons, since mid-December, have the ninth-best point differential in the league, meaning they qualify as one of those “good teams” the Knicks struggle with. New York’s offense is legit, ranking fifth in offensive rating at 117.3, but their defense (113.3, 13th) has been exposed by dynamic guards like Cunningham, who’s torched them repeatedly. Jalen Brunson, averaging 28.3 points and 7.8 assists against Detroit, is coming off an ankle injury that sidelined him for 15 games late in the season, and he might not be at his playoff best yet
The Pistons’ momentum since January, their regular-season dominance over the Knicks, and New York’s struggles against playoff teams make Detroit a live underdog. They’ve got the guard play, shooting, and rebounding to stretch this to six and win it on their home court.
NBA playoff bets – Pistons to win this series and why! Plus a bonus bet below. Alright, let’s dive into this betting preview for the Detroit Pistons to take down the New York Knicks in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series. This matchup is shaping up to be a gritty battle, with the Pistons’ youth… Read more: NBA Playoff bets | Pistons vs Knicks prediction | 2025
NBA Playoff Series Prediction: Houston Rockets +1.5 Games vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction: The Houston Rockets will win at least three games (+1.5 games @Draftkings) in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series against the Golden State Warriors. This prediction is based on the Rockets’ superior defensive efficiency, rebounding dominance, and ability to compete in a… Read more: NBA Playoffs Series Prediction | Warriors vs Rockets | 2025
NBA prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves (+175) to Win Series vs. LA Lakers: Betting Prediction The Minnesota Timberwolves at +175 offer compelling value to win their first-round playoff series against the LA Lakers. Statistical trends and recent performance strongly favor the Wolves, despite their underdog status. Statistical Support for the Timberwolves Minnesota’s superior efficiency on both offense… Read more: NBA prediction | Timberwolves vs Lakers | Series Prediction
ASA breaks down the 2025 WNBA draft and offers Rookie of the Year Longshots We have a quick breakdown of the first-round draft in the WNBA from Tuesday night as we prepare for our second season of handicapping women’s professional basketball. Last season we destroyed the Books with a +40-Net Unit season in the WNBA… Read more: WNBA predictions | 2025 Draft Breakdown | Rookie of the Year bets
2025 Masters Betting Preview by ASA The 2025 Masters Tournament, set to tee off on Thursday, April 10 at Augusta National Golf Club, promises to deliver another thrilling chapter in golf’s most prestigious event. With a star-studded field, a $20 million purse, and the coveted green jacket on the line, bettors have plenty of options… Read more: Masters Betting Preview | 2025 | April 10th
NBA Playoff Series Prediction: Houston Rockets +1.5 Games vs. Golden State Warriors
Prediction: The Houston Rockets will win at least three games (+1.5 games @Draftkings) in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series against the Golden State Warriors. This prediction is based on the Rockets’ superior defensive efficiency, rebounding dominance, and ability to compete in a physical, low-scoring series, despite the Warriors’ playoff experience and offensive firepower led by Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler.
Rationale and Supporting Statistics:
Defensive Efficiency:
Houston Rockets: Ranked 4th in the NBA in defensive efficiency for the 2024-25 season, allowing 109.6 points per 100 possessions. Their physical defensive identity, led by players like Amen Thompson and Dillon Brooks, has proven effective against elite guards like Stephen Curry. For instance, in their April 6, 2025, matchup, Thompson held Curry to 1-of-10 shooting, contributing to a 10-point Rockets victory.
Golden State Warriors: Ranked 8th in defensive efficiency with 111.2 points allowed per 100 possessions. While Draymond Green remains a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and Jimmy Butler adds versatility, the Warriors’ defense is less consistent against teams with strong interior presence and rebounding, areas where Houston excels.
Analysis: Houston’s top-tier defense is tailored to disrupt Golden State’s motion offense. Thompson’s ability to shadow Curry, combined with Brooks’ tenacity, gives the Rockets an edge in slowing down the Warriors’ perimeter game. The Rockets’ +10.1 net defensive rating differential with Thompson on the floor further underscores their defensive advantage.
Offensive Efficiency:
Houston Rockets: Ranked 12th in offensive efficiency with 114.2 points per 100 possessions. While not as potent as Golden State, Houston’s offense is bolstered by Alperen Şengün’s interior scoring and playmaking, alongside Jalen Green’s scoring outbursts. The Rockets’ ability to generate second-chance points through offensive rebounds (see below) compensates for their inconsistent three-point shooting (only Dillon Brooks shot above 36% from deep on significant volume).
Golden State Warriors: Ranked 16th in offensive efficiency with 113.7 points per 100 possessions. Despite Curry’s brilliance (e.g., 52, 37, and 36-point games against Houston earlier in the season), the Warriors’ offense can falter when Curry is contained, as seen in their April 6 loss where he scored just three points. Jimmy Butler’s addition helps, but his assist-to-turnover ratio (3.73) is down from his Miami days, suggesting integration challenges.
Analysis: Houston’s offense is less reliant on three-point volume, which is critical given their 16-13 record in games where they were outscored from deep. Golden State, conversely, struggles (7-16) when outscored from three, making Houston’s defensive focus on Curry a key factor.
Rebounding and Second-Chance Points:
Houston Rockets: Lead the NBA with a 31.7% offensive rebounding percentage, significantly ahead of the second-place Portland Trail Blazers (29%). This dominance translates to second-chance points, where Houston outscores opponents consistently. Their physicality, emphasized by coach Ime Udoka, allows them to control the glass against smaller lineups like Golden State’s.
Golden State Warriors: Rank in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive rebounding percentages, outscoring opponents by 43 points on second chances over their last three games before the playoffs. However, Draymond Green (6’6”) faces a size disadvantage against Şengün (6’11”), which could limit their ability to contain Houston’s interior presence.
Analysis: Houston’s rebounding edge is a critical factor in a series expected to be “physical and ugly,” with both teams combining for just 1 point per possession over their last four meetings. The Rockets’ ability to extend possessions will keep games close and increase their chances of stealing games.
Series Context and Head-to-Head Performance:
The Rockets and Warriors split their five-game season series, with Houston winning the most recent matchup on April 6, 2025, by 10 points at Golden State. Houston’s 15-2 finish to secure the No. 2 seed in the West demonstrates their late-season surge, compared to Golden State’s play-in tournament qualification as the No. 7 seed after a 124-119 overtime loss to the Clippers.
Houston’s 52-30 record and top-four rankings in both offensive and defensive efficiency make them the objectively better team, despite Golden State’s playoff pedigree. The Rockets’ youth (Jalen Green, Şengün, Thompson) is offset by veterans like Fred VanVleet and Brooks, providing balance.
Golden State’s experience, with Curry, Green, and Butler, is a factor, but their reliance on Curry’s offensive output makes them vulnerable if Houston’s defense continues to limit him. The Warriors’ 3-2 series edge is mitigated by Houston’s home-court advantage and
Conclusion: The +1.5 games spread implies Houston needs to win at least three games or lose the series 4-3, which aligns with their statistical advantages. Their elite defensive efficiency, league-leading offensive rebounding (31.7%), and ability to contain Stephen Curry with defenders like Amen Thompson give them a strong chance to win at least three games or this series outright. While Golden State’s experience and offense make them dangerous, Houston’s physicality and home-court advantage tip the scales. The Rockets were 29-12 SU at home this season with an average MOV of +6.7ppg. The Warriors did own an impressive road record of 24-17 SU with an average +/- of +4.4ppg but this is going to be a tough series to win against a Rockets team built to beat them.
Recommended Bet: Houston Rockets +1.5 games in the series
NBA playoff bets – Pistons to win this series and why! Plus a bonus bet below. Alright, let’s dive into this betting preview for the Detroit Pistons to take down the New York Knicks in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series. This matchup is shaping up to be a gritty battle, with the Pistons’ youth… Read more: NBA Playoff bets | Pistons vs Knicks prediction | 2025
NBA Playoff Series Prediction: Houston Rockets +1.5 Games vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction: The Houston Rockets will win at least three games (+1.5 games @Draftkings) in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series against the Golden State Warriors. This prediction is based on the Rockets’ superior defensive efficiency, rebounding dominance, and ability to compete in a… Read more: NBA Playoffs Series Prediction | Warriors vs Rockets | 2025
NBA prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves (+175) to Win Series vs. LA Lakers: Betting Prediction The Minnesota Timberwolves at +175 offer compelling value to win their first-round playoff series against the LA Lakers. Statistical trends and recent performance strongly favor the Wolves, despite their underdog status. Statistical Support for the Timberwolves Minnesota’s superior efficiency on both offense… Read more: NBA prediction | Timberwolves vs Lakers | Series Prediction
ASA breaks down the 2025 WNBA draft and offers Rookie of the Year Longshots We have a quick breakdown of the first-round draft in the WNBA from Tuesday night as we prepare for our second season of handicapping women’s professional basketball. Last season we destroyed the Books with a +40-Net Unit season in the WNBA… Read more: WNBA predictions | 2025 Draft Breakdown | Rookie of the Year bets
2025 Masters Betting Preview by ASA The 2025 Masters Tournament, set to tee off on Thursday, April 10 at Augusta National Golf Club, promises to deliver another thrilling chapter in golf’s most prestigious event. With a star-studded field, a $20 million purse, and the coveted green jacket on the line, bettors have plenty of options… Read more: Masters Betting Preview | 2025 | April 10th
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ASA NBA PLAYER PROP BET ON: UNDER 12.5 POINTS – PJ WASHINGTON – DALLAS MAVERICKS
Washington comes into this game averaging 14.2PPG in his last ten, but that is with him exploding for 29, 27 and 21 points in three games against the Thunder.
His usage was up significantly as the Thunder focused their defensive effort on Luka and Kyrie. Washington attempted 18, 23 and 19 field goals in those games which are much higher than his regular season average of 11 FGA’s per game.
On the season he averages 13.06PPG.
Minnesota has one of, if not the best defense in the NBA. The Wolves allowed 1.09 points per possession this season which was best in the NBA. They faced the Suns and Nuggets in the playoffs who were both top 9 in offensive efficiency ratings this season and still allowed just 1.095PPP.
The Mavs have gone from attempting 89.7 field goals per game in the regular season to 83.7 in the Playoffs and we know Luka and Kyrie are both going to dominate FGA’s in this one.
Minnesota allowed the second fewest points to power forwards on the season and have several player they can defend Washington win.
ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025
ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals. Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s… Read more: NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025
ASA NHL free bet on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the… Read more: NHL Free Bet Daily | Hurricanes vs Canadiens Prediction | 4-16-25
NHL Free pick today – Kings vs Kraken prediction Seattle hosts the Kings tonight, and we like the Kraken to win at home. Los Angeles, locked into their playoff spot after beating Edmonton last night, may rest players in this back-to-back. The Kings are 20-21-3 on the road, scoring 2.95 goals per game while allowing… Read more: NHL Free pick today | April 15 | Kings vs Kraken
ASA NHL play on UNDER 5.5 GOALS Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames, 10pm ET The Wild and Flames are set for a low-scoring battle tonight, and I’m all over the Under 5.5 goals. Goaltending: Filip Gustavsson (Wild): Rocking a 2.54 GAA and .915 save percentage, he’s been lights-out, with a .922 save percentage in his… Read more: NHL Free Pick | Wild vs. Flames | April 11 2025
ASA NBA free bet on Phoenix Suns (-) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 10PM ET
Scheduling has a lot to do with this NBA free prediction as the Cavs are in a tough spot here having played in Utah last night. Not only that, but the Cavaliers are playing their 3rd game in four days and 4th game in six days. The Suns are rested as their last game came on April 1st, a win in New Orleans.
Phoenix is facing a brutal 3-game stretch coming up against Western Conference contenders which makes this game extremely important.
The Suns are also 14-6 SU with an average +/- of +6.4PPG when they hold a rest advantage over their opponents. Cleveland is 5-7 ATS when playing without rest and has a negative point differential in those games of minus -3.2PPG.
When we evaluate each teams last ten games we find the Suns have a +3.0 Net differential, the Cavs are minus -5.2 AND the Suns have faced a much tougher schedule over that 10-game span. In this must-win situation we like the Suns by double-digits as this NBA free pick.
ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with an injury. A closer look shows that the Bucks Offensive… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025
ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals. Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s minus-6.5 GSAA and Reimer’s recent seven-goal outing highlighting their struggles.… Read more: NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025
ASA NHL free bet on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the Chicago Wolves to get key contributors rest heading into the… Read more: NHL Free Bet Daily | Hurricanes vs Canadiens Prediction | 4-16-25
NHL Free pick today – Kings vs Kraken prediction Seattle hosts the Kings tonight, and we like the Kraken to win at home. Los Angeles, locked into their playoff spot after beating Edmonton last night, may rest players in this back-to-back. The Kings are 20-21-3 on the road, scoring 2.95 goals per game while allowing 2.89. Seattle, out of the playoffs, is 22-17-4 at home,… Read more: NHL Free pick today | April 15 | Kings vs Kraken
ASA NHL play on UNDER 5.5 GOALS Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames, 10pm ET The Wild and Flames are set for a low-scoring battle tonight, and I’m all over the Under 5.5 goals. Goaltending: Filip Gustavsson (Wild): Rocking a 2.54 GAA and .915 save percentage, he’s been lights-out, with a .922 save percentage in his last ten starts. Gustavsson has allowed just one goal each… Read more: NHL Free Pick | Wild vs. Flames | April 11 2025
ASA play on LA Clippers -12.5 vs. San Antonio Spurs, 10:40pm ET The Clippers are hot right now, having won 14 of 17, while covering 12 of their last 13 and 6 of their last 7. Los Angeles has also covered 9 of their last twelve at home. The Spurs’ longshot playoff hopes have ended after losing seven of their last eight games as injuries… Read more: NBA free bet today | Clippers vs Spurs | April 8 2025
ASA play on Montreal Canadiens -162 vs. Philadelphia Flyers, 7pm ET The Canadiens are in a must-win situation, desperately needing two points to keep their playoff hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Flyers have already been eliminated from postseason contention, giving them little motivation. Montreal has been strong at home with a 20-12-5 record this season and an impressive 5-1 mark as a home favorite. In contrast,… Read more: NHL Free pick | Flyers vs Canadiens | April 5th 2025
ASA play on Vancouver Canucks -155 vs. Seattle Kraken, 10:30pm ET The Canucks are in a must-win situation, as they sit in the middle of the crowded Western Conference Wild Card race. They sit 6 points behind the St Louis Blues for the final Wild Card spot and must get 2-points here to have a better shot of qualifying for the playoffs. Vancouver plays six… Read more: NHL Free Pick | Kraken vs Canucks Prediction | April 2 2025
ASA NBA free bet today play on UNDER 225.5 Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets, 7:10pm ET This game will have a playoff vibe with the Rockets currently the #2 seed in the Western Conference, the Nuggets are 3rd, 2 games back of Houston. Denver will be without MVP Nikola Jokic and his 29.1ppg and 10.3 assists per game. Denver’s offensive efficiency numbers have fallen off… Read more: NBA free bet today | Nuggets vs Rockets prediction | March 23 2025
NHL free bet today Hurricanes vs. Kings – UNDER 5.5 Goals – By ASAwins.com Tonight’s matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Los Angeles Kings presents a strong case for betting the UNDER 5.5 goals, driven by elite defensive play and recent low-scoring trends from both teams. The Hurricanes rank 5th in the NHL in goals allowed per game at 2.60, while the Kings sit… Read more: NHL free bet today | Hurricanes vs Kings prediction | March 22 2025
Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo will be sidelined through the next week due to a mild calf strain and will miss the NBA All-Star Game next Sunday, sources tell ESPN. Antetokounmpo, out since Feb. 2, is expected to return to action shortly after All-Star break.