Tag: Nascar predictions

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Daytona 500 Betting Preview | Feb 10th 2025

Daytona 500


Daytona 500 Preview for 2025

The 67th running of the iconic Daytona 500 is set to kick off the NASCAR Cup Series season on Sunday, February 16, 2025, at the Daytona International Speedway in Daytona Beach, Florida. Known as “The Great American Race,” this event promises high speeds, thrilling pack racing, and the unpredictable nature that makes it a favorite among fans and bettors alike.

Race Overview:

  • Date: February 16, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV: FOX
  • Track: Daytona International Speedway, a 2.5-mile tri-oval
  • Laps: 200 (500 miles)

Betting Insights:

The Daytona 500 often defies expectations, with longshots frequently crossing the finish line first. Here’s a look at the current betting odds for the drivers, based on recent performances, history at Daytona, and the overall market sentiment:

Top Favorites:

  • Kyle Busch (+1100): Despite never clinching the Daytona 500, Busch has shown consistent performance at Daytona and is a perennial threat due to his experience and skill.
  • Brad Keselowski (+1100): With a knack for superspeedway racing, Keselowski’s odds reflect his potential to break through with another Daytona victory.
  • Denny Hamlin (+1200): Hamlin is one of the few active drivers with multiple Daytona 500 wins, making him a strong contender again this year.
  • Joey Logano (+1200): A Daytona 500 winner in 2015, Logano’s experience in pack racing makes him a solid pick.
  • Ryan Blaney (+1300): Blaney, coming off a championship season, has the momentum to potentially claim his first Daytona 500 win.

Contenders:

  • Kyle Larson (+1400): Larson’s versatility across tracks makes him a dark horse, though Daytona hasn’t been his strongest venue.
  • Chase Elliott (+1500): Elliott’s consistent top performances at Daytona make him a constant threat for the win.
  • Chris Buescher (+1700): Buescher has shown strong performances on superspeedways, which could translate into a win.
  • William Byron (+1800): Defending champion Byron looks to achieve a rare back-to-back victory.

Longshots with Potential:

  • Bubba Wallace (+2200): With multiple top finishes at Daytona, Wallace could surprise.
  • Austin Cindric (+2400): The 2022 Daytona 500 winner, Cindric’s odds suggest he’s not to be overlooked despite the competition.
  • Noah Gragson (+4000): A new team might just be the boost Gragson needs to make a statement in his Daytona debut.
  • Michael McDowell (+4000): After his surprising 2021 win, McDowell remains a longshot with the capability to repeat.

Dark Horses:

  • Zane Smith (+7000): Young talent with solid performances in the lower series at Daytona.
  • Helio Castroneves (+6500): An IndyCar legend, Castroneves brings an intriguing element to NASCAR’s premier event.

Betting Strategy:

  • Race Winner: Betting on the outright winner can be risky due to the race’s chaotic nature. Consider diversifying your bets across a few drivers.
  • Place Betting: Given the high crash rate, betting on a driver to place in the top 3 or top 5 can offer good returns with less risk.
  • Head-to-Head Matchups: These can be more predictable, focusing on which of two drivers will finish higher, regardless of their overall position.
  • Prop Bets: Look for bets on specific outcomes like leading the most laps or being the first to crash out.

Final Thoughts:

The Daytona 500 is as much about luck as it is about skill, making it one of the most exciting races for betting. With a field full of talented drivers, strategic bets can lead to significant wins. Remember, the nature of speedway racing at Daytona means that anyone can win, so keep an eye on the longshots and prepare for an unpredictable race day.

Good luck, and may your bets be as thrilling as the race itself!

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Nascar bets | Verizon 200 | Brickyard Indianapolis

ASA’s Nascar free bet – August 13th

TOP 3 FINISHER – Michael McDowell +$700 – This is tremendous value for the #34 Ford and McDowell who will start in the second row on today’s road course. McDowell has been one of the best in field when it comes to road courses and with the 3rd best driver rating, average running position and average finish. Front Row Motorsports easily had the best cars in the practice rounds with McDowell posting the fastest lap at 99.881mph. In the overall practice rounds the #34 was the best car on the track and we like McDowell’s chances for a Top 3 finish.

TOP 10 FINISHER – Michael McDowell -$115 – We are also planning on a small wager on the #34 car for a Top 10 finish.

Other free picks

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Nascar Cup race – Firekeepers Casino 400 – 8/6/23

ASA’s Nascar Cup race predictions for Sunday, August 6th 2023

FIREKEEPERS CASINO 400 – MICHIGAN

TOP 3 FINISH – #12 RYAN BLANEY – +$280 – We expect the #12 Ford and Blaney to be in contention for a win today in Michigan for several good reasons. A Ford has won on this track the last 8 races with Blaney capturing the Checkered flag in 2021. In last season’s race at Michigan Speedway Blaney finished 5th overall with Ford’s finishing with 3 cars in the top 5 overall. Blaney has four Top 3 finishes this season including a win in Charlotte earlier this season. The #12 is 6th overall on the season in laps led and this car has been especially fast with this specific tire setup this season. Our money is on Blaney to have a great race today.

TOP 10 FINISH – #12 RYAN BLANEY -$170 – We expect the #12 Ford and Blaney to be in contention for a win today in Michigan for several good reasons. A Ford has won on this track the last 8 races with Blaney capturing the Checkered flag in 2021. In last season’s race at Michigan Speedway Blaney finished 5th overall with Ford’s finishing with 3 cars in the top 5 overall. In the last four races on this track he has finished in the Top 10 three of four times. The #12 is 6th overall on the season in laps led and this car has been especially fast with this specific tire setup this season. Blaney has finished in the Top 10 in nearly half the races this season with ten.

TOP 10 FINISH – #20 Christopher Bell – -$180 – Bell in the Joe Gibb’s Toyota grabbed the pole for Sunday’s Cup race and is in a strong position for a Top 10 finish. Bell had a top speed of 193.282mpg in qualifying while covering the 2-mile track in just 37.232 seconds. Bell has been especially good at this track/car setup which was evident in the qualifier. Last year he started 2nd at Michigan Speedway, led for 31 laps but finished 26th after a wreck. In 22 races this season, Bell has finished Top 10 eleven times which is tied for 3rd most. He’s a bit of a chalk here but we like him in this scenario for a Top 10.

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Nascar Cup Highpoint 400 predictions

ASA breaks down the Pocono Raceway Highpoint 400 Sunday, July 23rd

This weekend the Cup series heads to Pocono Raceway and the Highpoint 400. Also known as the Tricky Triangle, this superspeedway is a 2.5-mile, triangular flat track. Last year here, Denny Hamlin won with Kyle Busch coming in second, but both drivers were disqualified after post-race inspection, leading to Chase Elliott claiming the victory instead. Speaking of Elliot, he is one of the big-name drivers that is on the outside looking in for the playoffs sitting 23rd in the standings. Can he get a win this Sunday? Will Martin Truex Jr. continue his winning ways? Denny Hamlin in the #11 Toyota has dominated at the track in recent years but he didn’t make our betting ticket this weekend. Find out who ASA likes to win and finish Top 3.

RACE WINNER #8 Kyle Busch +$650 – We like the experienced drivers at the 2.5 mile triangular Pocono Raceway this weekend. Veteran driver Kyle Busch has 35 career starts here with 11 Top 5’s and 18 Top 10’s. He has 4 career wins here including victories here in 2018, 2019 and most recently 2021. Last year he finished 2nd overall, led for 63 laps but was disqualified after failing a post-race inspection. In the last five races run at Pocono no driver has more laps led than Kyle Busch with 125. We like the #8 car at +$650 to notch a win here Sunday.

TOP 3 FINISH #4 Kevin Harvick +$400 – The Fords have run well on tracks with long straightaways (reduced drag) and Pocono fits the bill with the longest in the Series. The #4 Stewart-Haas Racing driver has five finishes of 8th or better in the last six Pocono races, including one win and 3 Top 5’s. In 43 career starts on this track he has 15 Top 5’s and 22 Top 10’s so he knows this track well. In 21 races this season he has 5 Top 5’s and we expect him to be in the running to win on Sunday.

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Nascar predictions | Quaker State 400 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

ASA has a few Nascar wagers to make on Sunday, July 9th.

NASCAR is heading to Atlanta Speedway this weekend for the Quaker State 400. This track has undergone some reconstruction this season with new pavement and higher banked turns. The other big change was the narrowing of the straights which makes for much tighter racing conditions. Last week Nascar had a shocker when Shane Van Gisbergen won the street race in Chicago in his debut on the Cup series. We expect to see some familiar faces back in the front of the pack on the Atlanta Motor Speedway this Sunday.

TOP 10 – #2 Austin Cindric +$125 – You will see a reoccurring theme with our Nascar bets this week and that’s the support of Fords. This will be the second race run at Atlanta Motor Speedway this season and in the first race here Fords finished 1st, 2nd 7th and 11th. In four career Cup races in Atlanta, Cindric for the Roger Penske team, has a pair of solid runs with a 3rd and 11th place finish. The benefit for Cindric this weekend is strong support from his Penske teammates who should have strong showings on this large quad -oval Speedway.

RACE WINNER – #12 Ryan Blaney +$1200 – In our opinion, Blaney is a fantastic longshot this weekend to win in Atlanta. The Ford’s ran extremely well on this track earlier this race season with four cars in the top 11. One of those drivers was Ryan Blaney who finished 7th for the Roger Penske team. The #12 with Blaney behind the wheel has 5 top 10’s on this track, 4 top 5’s and a win in 2021. Blaney also had a dominating win earlier this season in Charlotte, where he led for 163 laps, which is a similar track to Atlanta’s. I’ll also have Blaney as a Top 3 finisher at +$320.

TOP 3 – #6 Brad Keselowski +$400 – Keselowski had a 2nd place finish here earlier this year and ran 1st for 47 laps which was second most behind Joey Logano. The #6 car and Keselowski have yet to win a race this season, but he does have 3 top 5 finishes and 6 top 10’s. The Atlanta track has a redesign, but Keselowski has 17 Cup races here with 10 top 10’s. Keselowski has raced 250 times on a 1-2 mile Speedway in his career and has 18 wins, 72 top 5’s and 129 top 10’s. The Ford’s have an aerodynamic advantage here and we like the #6 car to be in the running all race long.