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MLB Free bet | Nelly Sportsline | Aug 15th

Free pick – #969 Philadelphia Phillies (Wheeler) -110 over Toronto Blue Jays (Kikuchi) 6:07 PM CT

Enjoy this MLB free bet from Nelly today. The lack of production over the weekend for Philadelphia was shocking, scoring just one run Saturday and Sunday in losses at home following a run of ten straight games with at least four runs. The Phillies have still averaged 5.6 runs per game in August while +23 in scoring as this is an elite NL contender that has a chance to repeat as NL champions, even if will again have to come through a wild card path. Philadelphia is 40-22 since June 3 and Zack Wheeler remains one of the best pitchers in the NL. His FIP of 3.06 is the fourth best in all of MLB among qualified starters even if he isn’t getting much attention in the Cy Young race, after finishing second in 2021 for the award. Yusei Kikuchi is having his best MLB season, but his FIP is 4.52 compared to his 3.53 ERA as a lot has gone right. His home run rate remains very high and while his run of starts since the All-Star break has been excellent, it seems like a significant outlier stretch against his career numbers. The Blue Jays do have excellent relief pitching numbers in recent weeks, but the unit was taxed over the weekend getting only one start of six innings over the past four games. In the past 10 games Philadelphia has averaged 7.8 runs per nine while batting .277 vs. left-handers, while posting a 21-16 record on the season vs. left-handed starters as this should be a favorable matchup for the Phillies to deliver, after being shutdown by quality right-handers over the weekend. The Blue Jays are just 34-42 vs. winning teams this season as Toronto hasn’t looked like the serious contender most expected to see this season. 

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MLB free pick | Cubs vs. Guardians | June 30th

ASA has a MLB FREE BET for you today in baseball

ASA Free Play ON Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+105) over Cleveland Guardians @ 2:20 ET – We were a dealt a tough loss with our premium pick yesterday when Cleveland, known for strong bullpen, blew a late 2-0 lead and lost in extra innings at Kansas City despite a huge 13-6 edge in hits in the game. That is a tough defeat for a team to bounce back from and now the Guardians are at Chicago a for a day game after that heart-breaking loss. The Cubs should roll here as the pitching edge of Steele (8-2, 2.62 ERA) over Quantrill (2-4, 5.61 ERA) also gives them a big edge here. Look for the home team to win big as the Cubs have seen 30 of their 37 wins this season come by at least a 2-run margin and this one should be no different. FREE PLAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+105)

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MLB free pick Mariners vs A’s – Sept 22

Scott Rickenbach MLB free pick on Thursday September 22nd 2022

MLB free pick Thursday Free Pick Seattle Mariners Run Line -1.5 -130 @ Oakland A’s @ 3:37 ET – Just do not see the Mariners getting swept by the lowly A’s. Yes, anything can happen but I am backing Seattle here to get a big win at Oakland to close out this series. Regardless of pitchers, payback time for the Mariners here. Action on pitchers is the way to play this one but I will mention that the expected starting pitchers here also help the cause! Martinez has been roughed up badly in consecutive starts plus got hammered by the Mariners earlier this season. As for Kirby, he is having a fantastic season and also has a very low ERA both on the road and in day games. Very comfortable laying the 1.5 runs with the road team here. Mariners had won 11 of 16 road games heading into this series. Also, 18 of last 20 M’s wins have been by 2 or more runs! Free Pick SEATTLE -1.5 -130. All the best Scott Rickenbach

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ASA MLB free bets Guardians vs White Sox

ASA MLB free bets or player prop: OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Shane Bieber – Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox, 6:10PM ET

ASA MLB free bets for August 20th. In his last ten starts, Bieber is averaging 6.5 K’s per game. He has been especially good of late with 30 K’s in his last four starts. His pitch-count is typically in the high 90’s so he’ll get plenty of opportunities today in this MLB game. Bieber has a high strikeout to innings pitched ratio in his career and currently sits at 140 K’s in 138.7 innings this season. The White Sox are 7th best in baseball in the fewest strikeouts per game at (7.90). If we look at recent results though this lineup has struggled in August. In the last 15-days the White Sox have struck out 118 times in 476 plate appearances. That is 10th most in the league over that stretch of MLB games. In their last ten games against righties, they have averaged 6.6 K’s per game. Clearly, we have favorable trends working in our favor here with a hot pitcher and a team swinging and missing. ASA’s MLB free bets is on Over 5.5 K’s for Bieber in this MLB game.


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Scott Rickenbach free MLB June 3

Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach MLB Friday Free Pick OVER 7 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:10 ET – We are getting line value here because the Rays have McClanahan on the mound for this one. Yes he is a solid pitcher but still this is keeping this total too low as he should be reached for at least a couple runs here and Velasquez likely to get rocked. The Chicago starter has a 7.20 ERA last 3 starts and a 6.75 ERA on the road this season. McClanahan gave up 7 hits in 5 innings when he faced the White Sox last season. Velasquez has been hit hard in each of last two starts versus Rays. The over is 4-0 in Chicago’s 4 games entering this one. TB not known for scoring a lot of runs but this is good match-up for them and there have been only 3 unders in last 9 meetings between these teams. Free Pick OVER 7 in Tampa Bay Rays.