Tag: Giannis

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Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction – Oct 26th

NBA free bet on: Philadelphia 76ers +6 at Milwaukee Bucks, 7:30PM ET

ASA’s 76ers vs. Bucks prediction. Clearly this is a big marquee match up of two of the favorites to come out of the Eastern Conference this season and both have made big news in the offseason. The Bucks made a blockbuster trade and brought in Damian Lillard, the 76ers were dealing with distractions in James Harden. A great side story to this game is the new head coaches for both teams. The 76ers brought in former Raptors coach Nick Nurse (I desperately wanted the Bucks to hire him) while the Bucks hired first time head coach Adrian Griffin. Griffin was an assistant under Nurse in Toronto and won a ring in 2019. In regard to tonight’s game. The Bucks may have an adjustment period with Dame in the lineup with Giannis as you have two Alpha males that averaged over 31PPG a season ago. The 76ers though played without Harden enough though so they really won’t have a tough time adjusting in this opener. The Bucks were 33-11 SU at home a season ago with an average +/- of +5.9PPG. Philadelphia had the second-best road record a year ago at 29-18 SU with a plus/minus of +2.9PPG. The Underdog covered 3 of four last year in this series as every game but one was close. In fact, the dog won 3 of the four outright. This Sixers roster is still very good with a budding star in Maxey, an MVP candidate in Embiid and solid vets as a supporting cast in Beverley, Harris and Tucker. A sneaky good addition to the roster is Kelly Oubre Jr who can be a game changer when motivated. We like the veteran coach to have the upper hand tonight in what should be a close game throughout. Grab the points.

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NBA predictions by ASA for 2022-23

ASA’s NBA predictions Total Win bet, Futures and NBA wagers!

NBA predictions 2022-23

By ASAwins

Let’s break down the NBA and get our Future Bets or NBA predictions made before the season tips off on Tuesday. First off, we are coming off a record-breaking NBA season a year ago with over 90-Net Units of profit for the year. Our NBA wagers were 141-95 on the year when you include the free bets we posted here, and we finished with 28-14 STREAK in the post-season.

Typically, we don’t like to tie up a lot of money with future bets and would rather invest it during the regular season, but we do make an exception on a few wagers or these NBA predictions.

EASTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL WIN BET

UNDER 53.5 BOSTON CELTICS – “The hunters become the hunted!”

Boston won 51-games in the regular season a year ago but will have a tough time getting to that number in 2022-23. We still like the Celtics to be one of the best teams in the East but after getting to the NBA Finals a year ago they will have a target on their backs and get everyone’s best game night in and night out. Not to mention, the Eastern Conference is absolutely loaded this year. The Nets are healthy and will have a full complement of players this year including Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant and also get Joe Harris back from injury along with wild-card Ben Simmons. The Heat won 53-games last season and return their core of key personnel in Butler, Adebayo, Herro and Lowry, plus a healthy Oladipo. Milwaukee has one of the MVP favorites in Giannis Antetokounmpo and will be a contender again to win it all in 2023. Philadelphia has their own MVP candidate in Joel Embiid and James Harden. Any one of the previously mentioned teams can win the East this year. Now throw in a group of teams that will be mid-40 win teams: Raptors, Bulls, Cavaliers (added Donovan Mitchell) and you can see how tough every game in Conference play will be. Even some of the bottom teams in the East will be better than they were a season ago.

The Celtics have a fantastic core with Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, Al Horford, the Williams duo and recently added Malcolm Brogdon. The bench has depth with Derrick White, Payton Pritchard and 2nd year sniper Sam Hauser. We feel it will be tough though for the Celtics to duplicate last season’s impressive efficiency stats of 1.144-points per possession scored and .966-points allowed given the circumstances.

Yes, the Celtics are a serious title contender this season, but they’ll get everyone’s best this season and will slip slightly in the win column.

WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL WIN BET

OVER 49 DENVER NUGGETS – “The Joker gets help!”

This NBA wager is on the Over the projected win total for the Denver Nuggets. Last season the Nuggets finished 6th in the Western Conference and did it on the back of Nikola Jokic who put up 27.1PPG, 13.8RPG and 7.9APG with a 32.94 Player Efficiency Rating (best in the NBA). This season they get All-Star level guard Jamal Murray back along with instant scorer Michael Porter Jr. They also have power forward Aaron Gordon on the roster who is coming off a solid 15PPG/5.9RPG season. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is another key addition to this roster. Denver owned the 12th best average Margin of Victory in the NBA last season at +2.5PPG. They were 6th overall in offensive efficiency, 15th in DEFF. It certainly helps when the Nuggets play in the Northwest Division with a pair of bad teams in the Thunder and Jazz who may not win 49 games combined. The Nuggets have the easiest schedule in the NBA based on our metrics which include: 7 road games playing the 2nd night of a back-to-back and 5 home games the second night of a B2B. Both of those rank top 11 fewest in the NBA. The Nuggets have enjoyed one of the best home courts in the NBA in recent years where they win 70% of their games.

If Joker does what he does, and Murray/Porter Jr. can stay healthy this team could very well come out of the Western Conference.

NBA MVP LONGSHOT

Ja Morant – Memphis Grizzlies +1400

The Grizzlies finished 56-26 SU in the regular season a year ago and finished 2nd overall in the Western Conference standings. Memphis had the 5th best offensive efficiency rating at 1.147-points per possession and were 4th in DEFF allowing 1.090PPP. They were also 4th in net scoring differential at +5.7PPG. Memphis has an MVP candidate in Ja Morant who is clearly capable of taking over games by himself after averaging 32.1-points per 36-minutes. Morant is going to have to do more this season with Jaren Jackson Jr sidelined for 4-6 months. Morant was 18th in assists per game last season at 6.7 and was 4th in rebounds per game for guards at 5.7. He gets a ton of media attention with his high-flying style of play, will be on a playoff team and could be a league leader in several different categories. Ja Morant is worth a shot at +1400.

NBA Champion – Milwaukee Bucks +800

Other NBA wagers – Division Over/Under win totals

Atlantic Under 53.5 Boston Celtics

Southeast Over 35.5 Washington Wizards

Central Over 41.5 Chicago Bulls

Northwest Over 49 Denver Nuggets

Southwest Over 48.5 Memphis Grizzlies

Pacific Under 45.5 LA Lakers

MVP Winners

Favorite – Giannis Antetokounmpo +550

Mid-Range – Ja Morant +1400

Longshot – Devin Booker +2800