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Similar to our NFC prediction about the Falcons, scheduling plays a crucial role in our longshot pick for the AFC Champion, the Cincinnati Bengals. According to our metrics, the Bengals will face the 5th easiest schedule this season, a stark contrast to the tough schedule they had last year. Despite QB Joe Burrow being less than 100% for much of the season, the Bengals still managed to secure a 9-8 SU record. In 2023, they ranked 11th in total DVOA with an average point differential of -1.1 PPG.

We believe this season’s Bengals could resemble the 2022 team that went 12-4 SU in the regular season and narrowly lost to the Chiefs 20-23 in the AFC Championship game. That year, the Bengals were 4th in offensive DVOA and 7th in defensive DVOA. In today’s NFL, where offense reigns supreme, the Bengals have the firepower to challenge the Chiefs for the AFC title. With QB Burrow back from injury and two top-tier WRs in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, the Bengals’ offense is a formidable force. Zack Moss, who rushed for 794 yards with the Colts last season, will take charge in the backfield.

While the Bengals’ defense regressed in 2023, much of that can be attributed to their tough schedule, with 11 of their 17 games against teams in the top half of the league in scoring. Despite this, they allowed just 22.6 PPG, below the combined average of 25.1 PPG of the league’s top 15 teams. Cincinnati made a few significant improvements on the defensive side of the football including a revamped secondary and should be a top 13 unit in 2024.

The Bengals’ primary challenge in winning the AFC North will be the Ravens, who won 13 games last season under John Harbaugh. However, within the division, both the Browns and Steelers have significant quarterback concerns and may struggle to maintain winning records. While the Chiefs, Bills, and Dolphins are serious contenders, the Bengals can match their offensive prowess if Burrow stays healthy. The Bengals have a legitimate shot at representing the AFC in the Super Bowl.

• NFL Prediction | NY Jets vs SF 49ers Preview | Sept 9 2024September 9, 2024
  New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview for Monday Night Football – By ASA Game Overview: The NFL kicks off its 2024 season with a compelling matchup as the New York Jets visit the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football. This game not only marks the beginning of the season but also… Read more: NFL Prediction | NY Jets vs SF 49ers Preview | Sept 9 2024
• NFC South Prediction | Atlanta Falcons | 9-5-2024September 5, 2024
  ASA’s NFC SOUTH PREDICTION – WIN TOTAL PROJECTION NFC South Prediction – Atlanta Falcons – OVER 9.5 Wins (-130) The Falcons won just 7 games last season yet their win total this year has jumped to 9.5.  We believe that is warranted and even a bit light as our projections have them winning at least… Read more: NFC South Prediction | Atlanta Falcons | 9-5-2024
• Ravens vs Chiefs Preview | Sept 5th 2024 | By ASASeptember 5, 2024
  ASA breaks down the Ravens vs Chiefs game Thursday, Sept 5th 2024 Game Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs Date: Thursday, September 4, 2024 Kickoff: 8:20 PM EDT Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO Broadcast: NBC, Peacock, Universo BetMGM NFL Odds: Chiefs by 3 Series Record: Chiefs lead 8-5 Last Meeting:… Read more: Ravens vs Chiefs Preview | Sept 5th 2024 | By ASA
• NFC North Prediction | Minnesota Vikings | 9-5-2024September 5, 2024
  ASA’s NFC NORTH WIN TOTAL PROJECTION NFC North Prediction – Minnesota Vikings – Under 7.5 Wins (-150) The Vikings lost 6 of their final 9 games last season after losing QB Cousins for the season with an Achilles injury.  Two of their three wins after Cousins injury came by a FG and they were outgained… Read more: NFC North Prediction | Minnesota Vikings | 9-5-2024
• AFC West Prediction | Denver Broncos Under 5.5 |September 5, 2024
  ASA’s AFC WEST WIN TOTAL PROJECTION ASA AFC West Prediction – Denver Broncos – UNDER 5.5 Wins (-115) How are the Broncos going to score enough points to keep up in games?  They might have the worst group of skill position players in the NFL and it starts at QB.  Jarred Stidham, Zach Wilson, and… Read more: AFC West Prediction | Denver Broncos Under 5.5 |