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NBA FREE BET | Suns vs Jazz prediction | Dec 13 2024

ASA Free NBA play on Over 233.5 Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz – Friday 9:40PM ET

When these two teams have gotten together, they have scored 230+ points in 5 straight games dating back to the start of last season, including a 232 total earlier this season.

The Suns just faced two top 11 defenses in the Heat and Magic and will now take advantage of a Jazz defense that isn’t good. Utah is 29th out of 30 teams in Defensive Efficiency rating allowing 1.199-points per possession. Utah has allowed 133 and 141 in two of their last three games.

The Jazz offense has struggled at times but should  put up points in this game too against a Suns defense that has holes. Phoenix started the season playing well defensively but have now slipped to 21st in DEFF.

The Suns have allowed 121 or more points in two of their last 3 games. With the history of high scoring games between these two teams we like another one on Friday night.

BONUS – PLAYER PROP – OVER 24.5 Devin Booker scoring prop. The Jazz allow the 5th most points to PG’s this season and the 7th most to SG’s and in the first meeting this season Booker went off for 31. Booker who has topped 25-points in 7 of his last 8 games.

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NBA Free Bets today | Pistons vs Knicks Prediction | Dec 7 2024

ASA NBA free bet on NY Knicks -9.5 vs Detroit Pistons, 7:40PM ET

The young Pistons have been competitive this season as an underdog with a 5-3-1 ATS record and an average differential of minus -2.2ppg. The Knicks though have been crushing teams of late with an overall 6-3-1 ATS record as a home favorite this season +15.2ppg.

New Yorks last five home games have been decided by +24, +15, +33, +28 and +10-points. They have been double-digit chalks in 5 straight home games and are 4-0-1 ATS in that stretch.

This Detroit team is heading in the right direction, but they’ve just played two similar opponents to the Knicks in the Bucks and Celtics. They lost by 19 at home to Milwaukee in a must win NBA Cup playoff game, then lost to the Celtics by 10-points in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score. Detroit made 20 3-pointers against the Celtics and shot 51% from Deep.

Do not expect the Pistons to have another great shooting night like they did against the C’s as they are a 35.8% 3PT shooting team on the season with an average of 13.1 makes per game.

New York has been one of the best offensive teams in the NBA this entire season, shooting a hair under 50% as a team which is 2nd best in the league. They have the best Offensive Efficiency rating at 1.223-points per possession.

Defensively the Knicks uncharacteristically rank 17th in DEFF for the season but in their last five games we are starting to see the Knicks D show up. In their most recent 5 games the Knicks have the 4th best DEFF allowing just 1.071PPP.

Watch for the starting lineups in this game as Brunson is listed as questionable. Either way we like the Knicks by more than 10-points.

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ASA NBA free bet | Orlando Magic -5 at Charlotte Hornets | Nov 25

NBA FREE BET TODAY – MAGIC vs HORNETS Prediction – November 25th 2024

We have learned our lesson of fading the Magic and will back them here against the Hornets as a road favorite. Looking at the Hornets recent schedule we see they were +2-point home dog to the Piston and +4 at home against the Bucks.

Neither the Pistons or Bucks rank as high as the Magic in our power rankings. Orlando has the 3rd best Efficiency Differential in the NBA at +4.1.

The biggest difference between these two teams is defensively as the Magic allow just 1.061-points per possession (3rd) compared to the Hornets who allow 1.160PPP (19th). Charlotte is a few spots ahead of the Magic in terms of OEFF but it’s marginal.

Orlando has won 8 of their last nine games overall with 6 of those wins coming by double digits.

Charlotte will be without starting PF Grant Williams tonight, which is significant considering the multiple injuries they already have.

These two teams met earlier in November and the Magic won, going away 114-89. We like the Magic by 10+ tonight.

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NBA Predictions Future Bets | Western Conference | 2025

WesternConfArticle

NBA Predictions – WESTERN CONFERENCE OVER/UNDER WIN TOTALS

OVER 49.5 DALLAS MAVERICKS – Dallas won 50 games a year ago and finished the season 10th in Offensive Efficiency, 13th in DEFF. The Mavs should be better this season with a full season of PJ Washington on the roster after coming over from Charlotte at the trade deadline. With Washington in the lineup the Mavs finished the regular season on a 20-9 run.

Dallas also got great play from Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively at the Center position who combined for an average of 10PPG and 6.9 RPG.

They added depth with Spencer Dinwiddie and Klay Thompson. Both of those players are more than capable of putting up big offensive numbers, especially Klay who has a career average of 19.6PPG and he made 3.5 3-pointers last season, 5th in the NBA.

Let’s not forget, the Mavs have one of the most dynamic backcourts with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. Doncic led the league in scoring last season at 33.9PPG and was 2nd in assists at 9.8 per game. Kyrie made 3.0 3-pointers per game last season and hit over 41% from Deep. This is a deep roster and very capable of winning 50+ even if they sustain an injury or two.

UNDER 47.5 MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES – The Grizzlies won just 27-games a year ago but played 73-games without Ja Morant. Morant is back this season but this roster is not good enough to get to 48-wins.

Memphis was 30th in Offensive Efficiency rating, 12th Defensively. The starting lineup looks like Morant, Marcus Smart, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr and rookie Zach Edey.

Smart played in just 20-games last season and is clearly not the player he once was after 10 seasons in the league. Desmond Bane is a solid #2 but should see a decline in his usage with Morant back in the lineup. Jaren Jackson Jr has been limited to 63 and 66 games the past two season and clearly has injury concerns.

One big concern for Memphis is their rebounding as they ranked 25th in Rebound Rate a year ago. Will rookie Zach Edey help in that category? Two years ago this team had a much better roster and they won 51-games to finish second in the West, this roster isn’t going to get to 48.

OVER 47.5 PHOENIX SUNS – The Suns have the luxury of having three guys on their roster that can literally go for 40-points on any given night.

Kevin Durant is still a premier scorer in this league and is coming off a 27.1ppg season. Durant remained healthy for most of the season, playing in 75-games. The second option, or first for that matter is Devin Booker who also scored 27.1ppg last year and averaged a career high in assists at 6.9 per game. Bradley Beal played in 53 games last season, shot 43% from beyond the arc and scored 18.2ppg.

If we look at Efficiency ratings this team was 9th in OEFF, 14th in DEFF with the 11th best Efficiency Differential.

The Suns got better in the offseason with the addition of Tyus Jones and they still have depth with Grayson Allen, and Royce O’Neal off the bench.

The Suns were a top 10 team in Rebound Rate and Effective Field goal percentage.  Phoenix won 49 games a year ago and should get to that number again in 2025.

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NBA Free Bet Today | Knicks vs Celtics Prediction | Oct 22 2024

ASA NBA Free Bet on UNDER 222.5 NY Knicks at Boston Celtics, 7:30PM ET

Last year these two teams opened the season off with an Under and 212 total points on opening night. That really doesn’t have anything to do with tonight’s wager, but here’s what does.

These two teams were both top 11 in defensive efficiency with the Celtics 3rd, allowing 1.078-points per possession, the Knicks ranked 11th at 1.104PP allowed. The other key factor here is pace of play. The Knicks were the slowest paced team in the league last season at 95.2 possessions per game. Contrary to what you might think, the Celtics were also slower paced at 97.1 possessions per game which ranked 7th slowest.

If the preseason is any indication of what New York plans to do this season we can expect great defense tonight. The Knicks held 4 of five opponents to 110 or less points in the preseason. The Celtics also showed their defensive prowess in the exhibition season allowing 111 or less in 4 of five games.

With the Celtics coming off a Championship they may be slow to start tonight. The Knicks have several new pieces and it could take time for the starters to jell. In this opening night game we like UNDER the total.

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