ASA free bet on: #142 South Carolina -2 vs Florida, 3:30PM ET
South Carolina is in a good situation here coming off a bye week and playing with revenge from a blowout loss a year ago to Florida 6-38. The big difference between these two teams on paper is their defenses as the Gators rank in the top half of the country in most categories and the Gamecocks don’t. But Florida is over-rated in our opinion and was recently exposed by Kentucky who gashed them for 329 rushing yards on 36 carries. Even a bad Vanderbilt team averaged 6.4 yards per play against the Gators last week, which is well above their season average of 5.5YPP. South Carolina is better than their 2-3 SU record as the three losses this season have come against ranked teams with a combined 15-1 SU record. SC QB Rattler is completing over 72% of his pass attempts (10th) for 312 passing yards per game which is 14th best in the nation. Florida has some impressive pass defense statistics but those comes against a weak-passing schedule with three of their games versus teams that rank 108th or worse in passing YPG. The Gators are ‘average’ on offense ranking 59th in total YPG, 63rd in rushing YPG and 55th in passing YPG. We can’t see this Florida team keeping up with the Gamecocks in this one. We are backing the revenge minded host here.
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