Tag: college predictions

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FREE college football bet | Sept 25

POINT TRAIN WAGER – #376 OREGON STATE +6 vs. USC @ 9:30PM ET

WAGER – OREGON STATE +6

  • Free college fotball – This is one of those games I keep going back to for one specific reason. The line on this game opened with USC a touchdown favorite and more money/tickets are being bet on the Trojans, yet the line moved off that key number.
  • My computers have USC as a 4.2-point favorite on a neutral field so you can see for yourself this number is slightly inflated.
  • Both have played Fresno State this season and won. OSU went to Fresno and won 35-32 as a 1-point dog. USC hosted the Bulldogs last week and won 45-17.
  • Oregon State was a 10-point road dog a year ago in So Cal and won 45-27 with a plus +109-yards differential.
  • USC is loaded on offense with some high-profile transfers but the Beavers aren’t far behind with an offense putting up 45.7PPG and averaging 12.6-Yards Per Point.
  • Defensively the Beavers were slightly better a year ago and the two units are about even this season.
  • There is value with the home dog in this one.
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Akron vs Miami OH prediction – ASA – Feb 12

ASA free pick Friday – #863 Akron -4 @ Miami OH, 7PM ET – Akron looks to keep pace with Toledo who leads the MAC as of this writing with an 11-2 overall record with Akron right behind them at 9-3. Miami OH is currently 6th and fading fast with a 1-3 SU record their last four games with the only win coming against 4-11 overall Western Michigan. The Redhawks own a negative scoring differential of minus -9.2PPG in that four-game stretch. The Zips come into this contest on a 5 game winning streak with a +12PPG scoring differential average in those five contests. They’ve held their last five opponents to just 40.8% shooting. Akron has one of the best players in the MAC on their roster in Loren Christian Jackson who is averaging 21.3PPG and 6.6APG. The Zips should score at will here against a Redhawks team that is 9th in the conference in defensive efficiency allowing 1.091PPP and 9th in EFG% defense allowing 54.1%. Akron ranks in the top five offensively is the same categories and have the second-best defensive efficiency rating and EFG% defense. Toledo was favored by 4-points on this floor earlier this season and won by 9-points. The Rockets though were covering the spread in that game for 90% of the minutes played. We will lean towards the Zips in this game and predict a 7-10-point win.

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ASA (ASAwins)

ASAwinslogoThe owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwin or ASA), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 55+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. They have posted a winning record on Top Games in 18 of their 25 football seasons giving them the much-earned reputation as the top BIG GAME HANDICAPPERS in the country. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season.

ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each pointspread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry.

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins!

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