ASA free bet on Kansas State -3.5 at Colorado, 10:15PM ET
Don’t be fooled by the Buffalos two most recent wins over vastly overrated teams in Baylor and UCF.
Colorado’s defense will be in trouble here against a K-State offense that averages 432YPG (43rd) and 6.9 yards per play (27th) and rushes it for 252YPG (8th) at a 6.9 yards per rush (2nd). The Buffs allow nearly 380YPG defensively overall, 156 rushing YPG (86th) at a 4.0 yards per carry average.
CU will be one dimensional here offensively as they can’t or won’t run the football. The Buffs rank 120th or worst in rushing YPG, rushing attempts p/game and Yards p/rush. Clearly the goal in Boulder is to throw it every down with QB Shedeur Sanders who is one of the better quarterbacks in the country but will he have enough opportunities?
The Wildcats will dominate the time of possession with their ground game.
K-State has historically been very good in conference play with a 43-29-4 ATS record dating back to 2016. More recently, they are 24-13-3 ATS in Big12 action since 2020.
We like Kansas State vs Colorado in this prediction.
Philadelphia Eagles AJ Brown OVER 78.5 Receiving yards – Brown has been over this number in 4 of his last five games and is averaging 92.17 in his last ten games. Last year in 2 meetings with the Redskins team he had 8 targets, 8 receptions for 130 yards and 9 receptions on 13 targets for… Read more: Commanders vs Eagles Predictions | 11-14-24 | Prop Bets
ASA NBA free bet on UNDER 226 Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET We like a low scoring game between these two Texas teams with a projected final of 215 total points being scored. Houston has made a commitment to the defensive end of the court under coach Udoka, currently ranking 8th in defensive… Read more: NBA Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction | 10-31-24
ASA NBA Free Bet on UNDER 222.5 NY Knicks at Boston Celtics, 7:30PM ET Last year these two teams opened the season off with an Under and 212 total points on opening night. That really doesn’t have anything to do with tonight’s wager, but here’s what does. These two teams were both top 11 in… Read more: NBA Free Bet Today | Knicks vs Celtics Prediction | Oct 22 2024
ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 43 Points – Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 PM ET Indy’s defense is a wreck right now. They’ve allowed 61 points over their last 2 weeks and rank dead last in total defense allowing 420 YPG. They’ve had 2 games where they held their opponents under 24… Read more: Colts vs Titans Prediction | Oct 13 2024
ASA free bet on Kansas State -3.5 at Colorado, 10:15PM ET Don’t be fooled by the Buffalos two most recent wins over vastly overrated teams in Baylor and UCF. Colorado’s defense will be in trouble here against a K-State offense that averages 432YPG (43rd) and 6.9 yards per play (27th) and rushes it for 252YPG… Read more: Kansas State vs Colorado Prediction | October 12
College Football Betting Preview: Miami Hurricanes vs. California Golden Bears Prediction
Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024Time: 10:30 PM PTLocation: California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
Overview by ASA:
The Miami Hurricanes, riding a wave of offensive prowess and a 5-0 record, venture to the West Coast to face the California Golden Bears, who stand at 3-1 with a defense that has been the backbone of their season. This matchup pits Miami’s high-octane offense against Cal’s stingy defense, setting the stage for what could be one of the most intriguing games of Week 6.
Miami Hurricanes’ Offensive Firepower:
Miami has been nothing short of explosive, averaging 49.4 points per game, ranking them second in the nation. Quarterback Cam Ward has been phenomenal, throwing for over 300 yards in every game this season, supported by a dynamic ground game led by backs like Damien Martinez. The Hurricanes’ ability to score from anywhere on the field has been their hallmark, often putting games out of reach early.
California’s Defensive Wall:
On the flip side, California’s defense has been the talk of the town, limiting opponents to just 4.3 yards per play, showcasing a unit that’s disciplined, aggressive, and very much in the conversation for elite defensive status. This defense hasn’t allowed more than 14 points in a game this season, a testament to their ability to stifle offenses and keep games close.
The Betting Angle:
Spread: The line has been set at Miami -10.5, which reflects the bookmakers’ confidence in Miami’s offensive dominance. However, taking Cal +10.5 might be the smarter play here. The Golden Bears’ defense hasn’t faced an offense like Miami’s, but conversely, Miami hasn’t been challenged by a defense as formidable as Cal’s all season.
Why Bet on Cal +10.5:
Defensive Matchup: Cal’s defense will be the best Miami has seen this season. Their ability to generate turnovers (10 INTs, leading the nation) and their prowess against the run (3.2 yards per rush allowed) could keep Miami’s scoring under control more than expected.
Home Advantage: Playing in Berkeley, with its historically tough environment for visiting teams, could play into Cal’s hands. Cal as a home dog dating back to 2016 is 16-7-1 ATS, nearly 70% cover rate. Conversely, the Hurricanes are 9-10 ATS as a road favorite since 2018..
Offensive Awakening: Cal’s 9-points against Florida State in their last game is very misleading as the Bears put up 410 total yards of offense at 5.5 yards per play. Prior to the FSU game the Bears had scored 31,21 and 31-points.
Prediction:
While Miami’s high-powered offense could still put points on the board, expect Cal’s defense to make significant stands, potentially leading to a lower-scoring game than anticipated. If Cal’s offense finds any rhythm, covering the spread becomes increasingly likely. Coming off a loss two weeks ago and then a bye week, we like the Bears and the double-digits.
Philadelphia Eagles AJ Brown OVER 78.5 Receiving yards – Brown has been over this number in 4 of his last five games and is averaging 92.17 in his last ten games. Last year in 2 meetings with the Redskins team he had 8 targets, 8 receptions for 130 yards and 9 receptions on 13 targets for… Read more: Commanders vs Eagles Predictions | 11-14-24 | Prop Bets
ASA NBA free bet on UNDER 226 Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET We like a low scoring game between these two Texas teams with a projected final of 215 total points being scored. Houston has made a commitment to the defensive end of the court under coach Udoka, currently ranking 8th in defensive… Read more: NBA Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction | 10-31-24
NBA Predictions – WESTERN CONFERENCE OVER/UNDER WIN TOTALS OVER 49.5 DALLAS MAVERICKS – Dallas won 50 games a year ago and finished the season 10th in Offensive Efficiency, 13th in DEFF. The Mavs should be better this season with a full season of PJ Washington on the roster after coming over from Charlotte at the… Read more: NBA Predictions Future Bets | Western Conference | 2025
ASA NBA Free Bet on UNDER 222.5 NY Knicks at Boston Celtics, 7:30PM ET Last year these two teams opened the season off with an Under and 212 total points on opening night. That really doesn’t have anything to do with tonight’s wager, but here’s what does. These two teams were both top 11 in… Read more: NBA Free Bet Today | Knicks vs Celtics Prediction | Oct 22 2024
ASA NBA Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder: Champions of the 2024-25 NBA Season +700 The Oklahoma City Thunder, coming off an impressive season, have set the stage for what many are predicting to be their championship year in 2024-25. Here’s why the Thunder are not just contenders but our bet to lift the Larry O’Brien Trophy:… Read more: NBA Prediction | OKC Thunder NBA Champions 2025
ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 43 Points – Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 PM ET Indy’s defense is a wreck right now. They’ve allowed 61 points over their last 2 weeks and rank dead last in total defense allowing 420 YPG. They’ve had 2 games where they held their opponents under 24… Read more: Colts vs Titans Prediction | Oct 13 2024
ASA free bet on Kansas State -3.5 at Colorado, 10:15PM ET Don’t be fooled by the Buffalos two most recent wins over vastly overrated teams in Baylor and UCF. Colorado’s defense will be in trouble here against a K-State offense that averages 432YPG (43rd) and 6.9 yards per play (27th) and rushes it for 252YPG… Read more: Kansas State vs Colorado Prediction | October 12
MNF Saints vs. Chiefs Prediction | Player Prop bets | October 7th 2024 Game Overview: The Kansas City Chiefs, coming off an impressive start with a 4-0 record, are hosting the New Orleans Saints, who stand at 2-2, in a Monday Night Football showdown at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. This game marks a significant… Read more: New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview | MNF | 10-7-24
Cowboys vs Steelers Preview – Player Props Game Preview: Team Analysis: Key Betting Insights: Trends and Predictions: Betting Picks – Player props: Look at Justin Fields for over 186.5 passing yards if you believe he’ll have to throw more due to the Cowboys’ defensive adjustments. Fields has thrown fover over this number in his last… Read more: Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction | Oct 6th 2024
College Football Betting Preview: Miami Hurricanes vs. California Golden Bears Prediction Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024Time: 10:30 PM PTLocation: California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA Overview by ASA: The Miami Hurricanes, riding a wave of offensive prowess and a 5-0 record, venture to the West Coast to face the California Golden Bears, who stand at 3-1… Read more: Miami Fl vs. California Prediction | Free Bet | 10-5-24
#718 ASA PLAY ON Rutgers vs Northwestern Prediction, Thursday at 6:30 PM ET
ASA BET: RUTGERS -3.5 vs Northwestern – Rutgers is peaking right now to say the least having won 3 in a row, 2 of those wins on the road, and in their most recent game on Saturday they rolled Wisconsin, one of the top teams in the Big 10, by 22 points.
Much of that has been their outstanding defense holding 3 straight opponents to less than 60 points and all scored fewer than 0.87 PPP, but the offense received a boost as well. That’s because Temple transfer, Jeremiah Williams, finally was on the court the last 3 games after missing the first 20 games of the season. Williams has scored 42 points, grabbed 16 board, and had 9 assists in those 3 wins giving them a huge offensive boost.
If the offense continues to improve, watch out. They should play well in this one vs a NW defense that has struggled all year ranking dead last in the Big 10 in eFG% allowed. The Rutgers defense ranks 2nd nationally in efficiency and have allowed opponents to shoot only 36% at home while giving up only 60 PPG.
They are catching Northwestern in a bad spot. The Cats are off back to back home wins vs Nebraska & Penn State, however this team has been flat out poor on the road with a 1-5 SU record with their only road win coming @ PSU by 4 points in a game the Nittany Lions blew and 2nd half double digit lead. On top of that, NW will be playing without one of their key starters, Ty Berry, who injured his knew 2 games ago vs Nebraska and is now out of the season. He is their top 3 point shooter and averages 12 PPG. He would also be key in this game vs the Rutgers full court pressure so his absence will be a problem here.
We feel the Scarlet Knights will be a problem for a number of teams down the stretch and call for a home win and cover on Thursday night. ASA’s Free College Basketball Bet for Thursday, February 14th.
Philadelphia Eagles AJ Brown OVER 78.5 Receiving yards – Brown has been over this number in 4 of his last five games and is averaging 92.17 in his last ten games. Last year in 2 meetings with the Redskins team he had 8 targets, 8 receptions for 130 yards and 9 receptions on 13 targets for… Read more: Commanders vs Eagles Predictions | 11-14-24 | Prop Bets
ASA NBA free bet on UNDER 226 Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET We like a low scoring game between these two Texas teams with a projected final of 215 total points being scored. Houston has made a commitment to the defensive end of the court under coach Udoka, currently ranking 8th in defensive… Read more: NBA Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction | 10-31-24
ASA NBA Free Bet on UNDER 222.5 NY Knicks at Boston Celtics, 7:30PM ET Last year these two teams opened the season off with an Under and 212 total points on opening night. That really doesn’t have anything to do with tonight’s wager, but here’s what does. These two teams were both top 11 in… Read more: NBA Free Bet Today | Knicks vs Celtics Prediction | Oct 22 2024
ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 43 Points – Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 PM ET Indy’s defense is a wreck right now. They’ve allowed 61 points over their last 2 weeks and rank dead last in total defense allowing 420 YPG. They’ve had 2 games where they held their opponents under 24… Read more: Colts vs Titans Prediction | Oct 13 2024
ASA free bet on Kansas State -3.5 at Colorado, 10:15PM ET Don’t be fooled by the Buffalos two most recent wins over vastly overrated teams in Baylor and UCF. Colorado’s defense will be in trouble here against a K-State offense that averages 432YPG (43rd) and 6.9 yards per play (27th) and rushes it for 252YPG… Read more: Kansas State vs Colorado Prediction | October 12
Sources: Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava is in concussion protocol after leaving the Mississippi State game last week with an injury and not returning to the sideline for the second half. He did dress and practice on Tuesday, and his status for the Georgia is undetermined.