Tag: college basketball free pick

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Free College Basketball Bet | Houston vs Kansas | Jan 25 2025

#765/766 ASA FREE BET ON Under 128.5 Points – Houston vs Kansas, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET

The 2 strongest units on each team are easily the defenses.  Both rank in the top 5 nationally in defensive efficiency and Houston ranks #1 in the country in PPG allowed while KU ranks #16.  Both defenses also match up very well vs the opposing offense.  Kansas does not shoot many 3’s (289th in 3 point attempts) so most of their work is done inside the arc.  Houston just happens to be the #1 defense in the nation defending inside the arc allowing opponents to make only 39% of their 2 point attempts.  On the other end, Houston makes 8.5 triples per game (111th) but the Kansas defense has been outstanding defending beyond the arc giving up just 28% which is good for 10th in the country..  Houston defense allows only 17.9 made FG’s per game which is ridiculous (1st nationally) while KU only allows 22 made FG’s per game (23rd best).  So in order to put up some points in this game, these teams better get to the FT line which we don’t see happening very often.  Houston ranks 334th in percentage of points from the FT line and Kansas ranks 364th (dead last) in that metric.  These teams have combined to play 34 games this season and 29 of them have gone Under the total.  Add another Under to the ledger here as we expect a low scoring, grinder type game.  

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Free College Basketball Bet | 3-9-24 | Wake Forest vs Clemson

#688 ASA PLAY ON Wake Forest -3.5 over Clemson, Saturday at 6 PM ET

Free college bet today from ASA. An absolute must win here for Wake at home and they are squarely on the bubble and out right now by most bracketologists.  A loss here would most likely end their dreams of getting invited to the Big Dance.  Add to that the fact the Demon Deacons are off a home loss, their first home loss of the season, and we love this situation. 

The Deacs are 15-1 at home (12-4-1 ATS) with a win over Duke included, and their 1 point loss at home on Tuesday vs Georgia Tech was their worst performance of the season so we look for a strong bounce back performance.  They shot just 42% in that game (they average 51% at home) and made only 25% of their 3’s (they average 42% from deep at home).  They have a PPG margin of +18 at home this season. 

The Tigers have been winning (7-2 last 9 games) but only 1 of their last 8 games have come against a team ranked in the top 8 in the conference.  They’ve played the 2nd easiest SOS in the ACC this season yet their adjusted efficiency margins are lower than Wake who has played the tougher league slate.  WF has lost 3 straight games since topping Duke here and that’s giving us some value as they are laying basically the same number vs Clemson (-3) as they were vs the Blue Devils.  In a must win spot we like Wake who has been nearly unbeatable at home as today’s free bet.