#688 ASA PLAY ON Wake Forest -3.5 over Clemson, Saturday at 6 PM ET
Free college bet today from ASA. An absolute must win here for Wake at home and they are squarely on the bubble and out right now by most bracketologists. A loss here would most likely end their dreams of getting invited to the Big Dance. Add to that the fact the Demon Deacons are off a home loss, their first home loss of the season, and we love this situation.
The Deacs are 15-1 at home (12-4-1 ATS) with a win over Duke included, and their 1 point loss at home on Tuesday vs Georgia Tech was their worst performance of the season so we look for a strong bounce back performance. They shot just 42% in that game (they average 51% at home) and made only 25% of their 3’s (they average 42% from deep at home). They have a PPG margin of +18 at home this season.
The Tigers have been winning (7-2 last 9 games) but only 1 of their last 8 games have come against a team ranked in the top 8 in the conference. They’ve played the 2nd easiest SOS in the ACC this season yet their adjusted efficiency margins are lower than Wake who has played the tougher league slate. WF has lost 3 straight games since topping Duke here and that’s giving us some value as they are laying basically the same number vs Clemson (-3) as they were vs the Blue Devils. In a must win spot we like Wake who has been nearly unbeatable at home as today’s free bet.
