ASA NBA free bet Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 over Miami Heat – 8:10PM ET
HUGE game in the Eastern Conference with Miami Heat 1st at 41-21 while the Bucks are 4th at 37-25. Home team has won 7 of last ten AND all 3 meetings this season were won by an average of 24PPG. Bucks were favored by -6.5 points at home last meeting without Giannis, now laying LESS than that with him? Miami’s current 9-1 SU hot streak has driven this number down from where it is. Milwaukee is 124-36 SU their last 160 at home with a +10PPG average. Bucks hold an advantage offensively with the 4th most efficient offense in the NBA at 1.139-points per possession compared to the Heat’s 1.131PPP which ranks 7th. The Heat are better defensively with the 6th best DEFF numbers allowing 1.081PPP versus the Bucks who rank 13th allowing 1.103PPP. Bucks 4-2 ATS the last 6 meetings. No Lowry for the Heat on Wednesday which will shorten their rotation and we like the Bucks to win a close game by 8 or more points.
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