ASA free NBA Playoffs bet UNDER 112 1ST HALF POINTS – Mavericks at Thunder, 9:30PM ET
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Both teams have favored the Under in the 1st halves of games in the Playoffs with Dallas staying Under in 4 of six games against the Clippers, the Thunder played Under in 3 of four vs. the Pelicans.
We can throw out the regular season 1st half totals between these two teams based on injuries and situations. The Mavericks defense has been significantly better down the stretch of the regular season and were much better against the Clippers.
Dallas has a defensive Net rating of 109.5 in the post season which is the 6th best number in the league. The team that has the best defensive Net rating in the Playoffs is OKC at 93.5. The Thunder held the Pelicans to 92, 92, 85 and 89 points in the opening round series.
Dallas is also the 4th slowest paced team in the playoffs at 92 possessions per game. Granted, the Thunder are the 2nd fastest at 95.88 but that number is considerably lower than their regular season possessions per game of 100.5. The value lies with an Under bet in the 1st half of this Game 1.
NHL Bet: Los Angeles Kings -124 vs. Edmonton Oilers, 10pm ET The Kings finished the 2024-25 regular season with an NHL-best 31-6-4 home record, boasting a .825 points percentage and allowing just 2.02 goals per game at home. Their home goal differential is impressive, with a stout defense ranked second in the league, conceding only… Read more: NHL Bet | LA Kings vs Edmonton Oilers | April 21 2025
ASA NHL free pick on Toronto Maple Leafs -160 vs. Ottawa Senators, 7pm ET We are on the Toronto Maple Leafs, at Scotiabank Arena, powered by their offensive depth, elite goaltending, and strong home performance. Toronto’s 27-13-2 home record and +33 goal differential (3.22 goals for, 2.76 against at home) highlight their dominance, led by… Read more: NHL free pick | Maple Leafs vs Senators | April 20 2025
ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025
ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals. Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s… Read more: NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025
ASA NHL free bet on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the… Read more: NHL Free Bet Daily | Hurricanes vs Canadiens Prediction | 4-16-25
ASA FREE play on Golden State Warriors -4 vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 10PM ET
**ONLY IF GIANNIS IS OUT TONIGHT** The NBA free pick today. This line is telling us Giannis will not be in the lineup for the Bucks tonight which means we will back the Warriors at home minus the points. The Bucks have clearly seen a resurgence since the All-Star break with 6 straight wins and a defense that ranks best in the NBA over that time period.
As a Bucks fan I temper my enthusiasm though as two of those wins came against Charlotte, one versus a struggling Bulls team and one against Philly who had injury issues. The Warriors are coming off an embarrassing blowout loss in Boston on Sunday in a National TV showing.
I like Golden State to bounce back with a concentrated effort at home. The home team in this series has dominated with 6-straight wins including the Bucks getting a W on Jan 13th at home 129-118. You might be a bit surprised to know that the Bucks are 3-5 ATS as an underdog with a negative average differential in those games of -10.5PPG. G
olden State has dominated Eastern Conference teams this season with a 16-7 SU record and a +/- of +3.3PPG. Given the circumstances we like the Warriors minus the short number as a NBA free bet today.
NHL Bet: Los Angeles Kings -124 vs. Edmonton Oilers, 10pm ET The Kings finished the 2024-25 regular season with an NHL-best 31-6-4 home record, boasting a .825 points percentage and allowing just 2.02 goals per game at home. Their home goal differential is impressive, with a stout defense ranked second in the league, conceding only… Read more: NHL Bet | LA Kings vs Edmonton Oilers | April 21 2025
ASA NHL free pick on Toronto Maple Leafs -160 vs. Ottawa Senators, 7pm ET We are on the Toronto Maple Leafs, at Scotiabank Arena, powered by their offensive depth, elite goaltending, and strong home performance. Toronto’s 27-13-2 home record and +33 goal differential (3.22 goals for, 2.76 against at home) highlight their dominance, led by… Read more: NHL free pick | Maple Leafs vs Senators | April 20 2025
ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025
ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals. Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s… Read more: NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025
ASA NHL free bet on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the… Read more: NHL Free Bet Daily | Hurricanes vs Canadiens Prediction | 4-16-25
ASA’s Free NBA play on OVER 228.5 Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets, 7:30PM ET
Tonight, we will bet the OVER in this Eastern Conference showdown. The Celtics are going to get to 120+ in this game as they average that number on the season.
Boston is #1 in the league in offensive efficiency at 1.213-points per possession and has the 6th best Effective Field Goal percentage at 56.8%. The C’s should have an easy go of it on the offensive end of the court against a Nets defense that ranks 18th in defensive efficiency and allows 115.4PPG. The Nets defense has been even worse in their last five games allowing 1.228-points per possession and 120.6PPG.
Boston is the 7th best 3-point shooting team in the league and should exploit a Brooklyn D that ranks 24th in opponents 3PT% allowed. We will need Brooklyn to score in this game but if they get to around 110 this game should go Over rather easily. The Nets average 113.9PPG on the season and do it with volume shooting as they rank 4th in FG attempts per game. We expect a total of 230 or more points. NBA free pick today is on this game Over the total.
NHL Bet: Los Angeles Kings -124 vs. Edmonton Oilers, 10pm ET The Kings finished the 2024-25 regular season with an NHL-best 31-6-4 home record, boasting a .825 points percentage and allowing just 2.02 goals per game at home. Their home goal differential is impressive, with a stout defense ranked second in the league, conceding only… Read more: NHL Bet | LA Kings vs Edmonton Oilers | April 21 2025
ASA NHL free pick on Toronto Maple Leafs -160 vs. Ottawa Senators, 7pm ET We are on the Toronto Maple Leafs, at Scotiabank Arena, powered by their offensive depth, elite goaltending, and strong home performance. Toronto’s 27-13-2 home record and +33 goal differential (3.22 goals for, 2.76 against at home) highlight their dominance, led by… Read more: NHL free pick | Maple Leafs vs Senators | April 20 2025
ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025
ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals. Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s… Read more: NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025
ASA NHL free bet on Montreal Canadiens -110 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7pm ET Montreal, fighting to clinch the Eastern Conference’s second wild card spot, faces a Carolina team that’s locked up second in the Metropolitan Division and may rest key players. The Canes will call up several players from their American Hockey League affiliate the… Read more: NHL Free Bet Daily | Hurricanes vs Canadiens Prediction | 4-16-25
ASA play on: Atlanta Hawks -2 at Cleveland Cavaliers, Friday, 7:30PM ET
We are going to back the hotter team here and the Hawks. The Cavs were down by 20+ points a few times in their play-in game against the Nets before a late flurry made the final score respectable. Cleveland has struggled against the leagues better teams of late with losses to the Nets (twice), a home loss to Philly, an “L” at Atlanta, and two home loss to Dallas and Chicago. That’s 6 losses in their last ten games against other playoff teams. Atlanta can say the exact opposite as they’ve played extremely well down the stretch of the regular season with an 8-2 SU record in their last ten games. In that ten game stretch they have quality wins over Charlotte, the Nets, Cavs and Warriors. Prior to the All-Star break the Cavs were the 7th best defensive efficiency unit in the NBA allowing 1.097-points per possession. Since the break they rank 24th in the NBA allowing 1.173PPP, which is not a good sign facing a Hawks team that is 3rd in the NBA in offensive efficiency since the Break at 1.201PPP. Atlanta hasn’t been good defensively all season long but in their last five games they rank 11th in the league in DEFF. Based on how these teams are trending we have to back Atlanta minus the short number here.
ASA likes the Atlanta Hawks +4.5 over Milwaukee Bucks – 7:40pm ET
We will start with the obvious here and the Bucks have been horrendous at home as a favorite this season with a 11-20 ATS record and a +/- of +5.3PPG in those games. Milwaukee is just 4-3 SU their last 7 at home. Scheduling clearly favors the Bucks who also coming off a game Tuesday night in OKC and they are just 3-8 ATS this season when playing without rest. Milwaukee is also playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and have a much bigger game on deck at Golden State. We like the Hawks who are rested and coming off an embarrassing loss to Detroit on Monday night as an 8-point favorite. Atlanta is 8th in offensive efficiency since the All-Star break, 17th in DEFF 1.150PPP which is drastically better than their season average of 27th allowing 1.146-points per possession. Since the break the Hawks have a +3.3 PPG differential. Atlanta is a matchup problem for the Bucks as they’ve beaten them twice this season already. Hawks 13-5 ATS their last eighteen meetings in Milwaukee.
Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo will be sidelined through the next week due to a mild calf strain and will miss the NBA All-Star Game next Sunday, sources tell ESPN. Antetokounmpo, out since Feb. 2, is expected to return to action shortly after All-Star break.