ASA free NBA Playoffs bet UNDER 112 1ST HALF POINTS – Mavericks at Thunder, 9:30PM ET
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Both teams have favored the Under in the 1st halves of games in the Playoffs with Dallas staying Under in 4 of six games against the Clippers, the Thunder played Under in 3 of four vs. the Pelicans.
We can throw out the regular season 1st half totals between these two teams based on injuries and situations. The Mavericks defense has been significantly better down the stretch of the regular season and were much better against the Clippers.
Dallas has a defensive Net rating of 109.5 in the post season which is the 6th best number in the league. The team that has the best defensive Net rating in the Playoffs is OKC at 93.5. The Thunder held the Pelicans to 92, 92, 85 and 89 points in the opening round series.
Dallas is also the 4th slowest paced team in the playoffs at 92 possessions per game. Granted, the Thunder are the 2nd fastest at 95.88 but that number is considerably lower than their regular season possessions per game of 100.5. The value lies with an Under bet in the 1st half of this Game 1.
ASA NBA free bet on UNDER 226 Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET We like a low scoring game between these two Texas teams with a projected final of 215 total points being scored. Houston has made a commitment to the defensive end of the court under coach Udoka, currently ranking 8th in defensive… Read more: NBA Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction | 10-31-24
ASA NBA Free Bet on UNDER 222.5 NY Knicks at Boston Celtics, 7:30PM ET Last year these two teams opened the season off with an Under and 212 total points on opening night. That really doesn’t have anything to do with tonight’s wager, but here’s what does. These two teams were both top 11 in… Read more: NBA Free Bet Today | Knicks vs Celtics Prediction | Oct 22 2024
ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 43 Points – Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 PM ET Indy’s defense is a wreck right now. They’ve allowed 61 points over their last 2 weeks and rank dead last in total defense allowing 420 YPG. They’ve had 2 games where they held their opponents under 24… Read more: Colts vs Titans Prediction | Oct 13 2024
ASA free bet on Kansas State -3.5 at Colorado, 10:15PM ET Don’t be fooled by the Buffalos two most recent wins over vastly overrated teams in Baylor and UCF. Colorado’s defense will be in trouble here against a K-State offense that averages 432YPG (43rd) and 6.9 yards per play (27th) and rushes it for 252YPG… Read more: Kansas State vs Colorado Prediction | October 12
College Football Betting Preview: Miami Hurricanes vs. California Golden Bears Prediction Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024Time: 10:30 PM PTLocation: California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA Overview by ASA: The Miami Hurricanes, riding a wave of offensive prowess and a 5-0 record, venture to the West Coast to face the California Golden Bears, who stand at 3-1… Read more: Miami Fl vs. California Prediction | Free Bet | 10-5-24
ASA FREE play on Golden State Warriors -4 vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 10PM ET
**ONLY IF GIANNIS IS OUT TONIGHT** The NBA free pick today. This line is telling us Giannis will not be in the lineup for the Bucks tonight which means we will back the Warriors at home minus the points. The Bucks have clearly seen a resurgence since the All-Star break with 6 straight wins and a defense that ranks best in the NBA over that time period.
As a Bucks fan I temper my enthusiasm though as two of those wins came against Charlotte, one versus a struggling Bulls team and one against Philly who had injury issues. The Warriors are coming off an embarrassing blowout loss in Boston on Sunday in a National TV showing.
I like Golden State to bounce back with a concentrated effort at home. The home team in this series has dominated with 6-straight wins including the Bucks getting a W on Jan 13th at home 129-118. You might be a bit surprised to know that the Bucks are 3-5 ATS as an underdog with a negative average differential in those games of -10.5PPG. G
olden State has dominated Eastern Conference teams this season with a 16-7 SU record and a +/- of +3.3PPG. Given the circumstances we like the Warriors minus the short number as a NBA free bet today.
ASA NBA free bet on UNDER 226 Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET We like a low scoring game between these two Texas teams with a projected final of 215 total points being scored. Houston has made a commitment to the defensive end of the court under coach Udoka, currently ranking 8th in defensive… Read more: NBA Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction | 10-31-24
ASA NBA Free Bet on UNDER 222.5 NY Knicks at Boston Celtics, 7:30PM ET Last year these two teams opened the season off with an Under and 212 total points on opening night. That really doesn’t have anything to do with tonight’s wager, but here’s what does. These two teams were both top 11 in… Read more: NBA Free Bet Today | Knicks vs Celtics Prediction | Oct 22 2024
ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 43 Points – Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 PM ET Indy’s defense is a wreck right now. They’ve allowed 61 points over their last 2 weeks and rank dead last in total defense allowing 420 YPG. They’ve had 2 games where they held their opponents under 24… Read more: Colts vs Titans Prediction | Oct 13 2024
ASA free bet on Kansas State -3.5 at Colorado, 10:15PM ET Don’t be fooled by the Buffalos two most recent wins over vastly overrated teams in Baylor and UCF. Colorado’s defense will be in trouble here against a K-State offense that averages 432YPG (43rd) and 6.9 yards per play (27th) and rushes it for 252YPG… Read more: Kansas State vs Colorado Prediction | October 12
College Football Betting Preview: Miami Hurricanes vs. California Golden Bears Prediction Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024Time: 10:30 PM PTLocation: California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA Overview by ASA: The Miami Hurricanes, riding a wave of offensive prowess and a 5-0 record, venture to the West Coast to face the California Golden Bears, who stand at 3-1… Read more: Miami Fl vs. California Prediction | Free Bet | 10-5-24
ASA’s Free NBA play on OVER 228.5 Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets, 7:30PM ET
Tonight, we will bet the OVER in this Eastern Conference showdown. The Celtics are going to get to 120+ in this game as they average that number on the season.
Boston is #1 in the league in offensive efficiency at 1.213-points per possession and has the 6th best Effective Field Goal percentage at 56.8%. The C’s should have an easy go of it on the offensive end of the court against a Nets defense that ranks 18th in defensive efficiency and allows 115.4PPG. The Nets defense has been even worse in their last five games allowing 1.228-points per possession and 120.6PPG.
Boston is the 7th best 3-point shooting team in the league and should exploit a Brooklyn D that ranks 24th in opponents 3PT% allowed. We will need Brooklyn to score in this game but if they get to around 110 this game should go Over rather easily. The Nets average 113.9PPG on the season and do it with volume shooting as they rank 4th in FG attempts per game. We expect a total of 230 or more points. NBA free pick today is on this game Over the total.
ASA NBA free bet on UNDER 226 Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET We like a low scoring game between these two Texas teams with a projected final of 215 total points being scored. Houston has made a commitment to the defensive end of the court under coach Udoka, currently ranking 8th in defensive… Read more: NBA Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction | 10-31-24
ASA NBA Free Bet on UNDER 222.5 NY Knicks at Boston Celtics, 7:30PM ET Last year these two teams opened the season off with an Under and 212 total points on opening night. That really doesn’t have anything to do with tonight’s wager, but here’s what does. These two teams were both top 11 in… Read more: NBA Free Bet Today | Knicks vs Celtics Prediction | Oct 22 2024
ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 43 Points – Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 PM ET Indy’s defense is a wreck right now. They’ve allowed 61 points over their last 2 weeks and rank dead last in total defense allowing 420 YPG. They’ve had 2 games where they held their opponents under 24… Read more: Colts vs Titans Prediction | Oct 13 2024
ASA free bet on Kansas State -3.5 at Colorado, 10:15PM ET Don’t be fooled by the Buffalos two most recent wins over vastly overrated teams in Baylor and UCF. Colorado’s defense will be in trouble here against a K-State offense that averages 432YPG (43rd) and 6.9 yards per play (27th) and rushes it for 252YPG… Read more: Kansas State vs Colorado Prediction | October 12
College Football Betting Preview: Miami Hurricanes vs. California Golden Bears Prediction Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024Time: 10:30 PM PTLocation: California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA Overview by ASA: The Miami Hurricanes, riding a wave of offensive prowess and a 5-0 record, venture to the West Coast to face the California Golden Bears, who stand at 3-1… Read more: Miami Fl vs. California Prediction | Free Bet | 10-5-24
ASA play on: Atlanta Hawks -2 at Cleveland Cavaliers, Friday, 7:30PM ET
We are going to back the hotter team here and the Hawks. The Cavs were down by 20+ points a few times in their play-in game against the Nets before a late flurry made the final score respectable. Cleveland has struggled against the leagues better teams of late with losses to the Nets (twice), a home loss to Philly, an “L” at Atlanta, and two home loss to Dallas and Chicago. That’s 6 losses in their last ten games against other playoff teams. Atlanta can say the exact opposite as they’ve played extremely well down the stretch of the regular season with an 8-2 SU record in their last ten games. In that ten game stretch they have quality wins over Charlotte, the Nets, Cavs and Warriors. Prior to the All-Star break the Cavs were the 7th best defensive efficiency unit in the NBA allowing 1.097-points per possession. Since the break they rank 24th in the NBA allowing 1.173PPP, which is not a good sign facing a Hawks team that is 3rd in the NBA in offensive efficiency since the Break at 1.201PPP. Atlanta hasn’t been good defensively all season long but in their last five games they rank 11th in the league in DEFF. Based on how these teams are trending we have to back Atlanta minus the short number here.
ASA likes the Atlanta Hawks +4.5 over Milwaukee Bucks – 7:40pm ET
We will start with the obvious here and the Bucks have been horrendous at home as a favorite this season with a 11-20 ATS record and a +/- of +5.3PPG in those games. Milwaukee is just 4-3 SU their last 7 at home. Scheduling clearly favors the Bucks who also coming off a game Tuesday night in OKC and they are just 3-8 ATS this season when playing without rest. Milwaukee is also playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and have a much bigger game on deck at Golden State. We like the Hawks who are rested and coming off an embarrassing loss to Detroit on Monday night as an 8-point favorite. Atlanta is 8th in offensive efficiency since the All-Star break, 17th in DEFF 1.150PPP which is drastically better than their season average of 27th allowing 1.146-points per possession. Since the break the Hawks have a +3.3 PPG differential. Atlanta is a matchup problem for the Bucks as they’ve beaten them twice this season already. Hawks 13-5 ATS their last eighteen meetings in Milwaukee.
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