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MLB free bet | Sept 8th | Nelly Sports

MLB free bet from Nelly Sports – Friday #953/954 UNDER 10.5 St. Louis Cardinals/Cincinnati Reds 6:40 PM ET

Even in a lost season the Cardinals are still playing hard, taking two of three with Atlanta this week while 5-3 in the past eight games. St. Louis has experienced a recent uptick in production at the plate, scoring five or more runs in seven of those eight games but the Cardinals also scored a total of four runs in four games just prior to that. On the season St. Louis has a .735 team OPS vs. left-handers for a significant decline compared to pairings vs. right-handers and over the past 10 games the Cardinals have averaged just 4.0 runs per nine vs. southpaw pitching, batting .229. Andrew Abbott poses a difficult matchup for St. Louis as the rookie left-hander has excellent numbers in 17 starts as just a 24-year old, drafted in the 2nd round in 2021. Abbott had incredible strikeout numbers in the minors and has delivered a 9.9 K/9 in his 95 MLB innings with a 3.22 ERA. Drew Rom is only 23 years old and his ascension to the MLB level has not produced as strong of results, though he has only made three starts. His ERA is 7.24 to boost tonight’s total but his FIP is nearly two runs lower and he has made two adequate starts since an ugly MLB debut in which he allowed eight runs while getting 11 outs. Rom had a 10.5 K/9 in AAA with the Orioles before being dealt to St. Louis and in two starts at AAA for the Cardinals he had a 14.7 K/9 and an 0.82 ERA as he earned an opportunity and could start to put things together. While the Reds have decent numbers vs. left-handers for the season, they have hit just .203 with 1.1 runs per nine in the past 10 games vs. lefties and Cincinnati has been held to four or fewer runs in seven of the past 10 games overall. Neither bullpen has been in ideal form of late, but the Reds did have an off day Thursday while the Cardinals managed to use only two relievers for short outings last night. St. Louis lost 8-5 yesterday after winning two games in Atlanta but there were only 18 hits in the game and the Cardinals hit .429 with runners in scoring position, scoring five runs in a game they had just one extra-base hit in. 16 of the past 20 Cincinnati home games have featured 10 or fewer runs despite a high scoring reputation for the ballpark and the recent elevated scoring trends for both teams. 

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Scott Rickenbach MLB free bet June 8 2022

*action on pitchers* Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach Wednesday MLB Free Pick OVER 9 in Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 2:10 ET – Look for Royals to bounce back and finally score some runs here after back to back shutout losses at home to Toronto. As for the Blue Jays, they have now scored an average of 7.4 runs per game last 10 games and been one of the hotter teams around. Both scheduled pitchers for this one are off starts in which they allowed 3 homers! Kikuchi has allowed 16 hits in less than 10 innings over his last two starts. Singer has allowed 10 earned runs in less than 11 innings over his last two starts. The over is 3-0 in Singer’s last 3 starts. Kikuchi has made 4 career starts against the Royals and none have resulted in an under. Regardless of the pitchers I like the over here as Blue Jays so hot at the plate and I feel sure Royals are going to bounce back after rare B2B home shutout losses. Free Pick OVER 9 in Kansas City.