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CFB FREE BET | Arizona vs New Mexico prediction | 8-31-24

#182 ASA FREE PLAY ON Arizona -30 over New Mexico, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET

New Arizona head coach Brent Brennan takes over a team loaded with talent after former head man Jedd Fisch moved onto Washington.  The Cats have 3 players projected as 1st round draft picks next year (WR, OL, and CB).  On top of that Arizona returns QB Fafita who put up big numbers (2,900 yards passing and 25 TD’s) after taking over the starting job in game 4 last year. 

The Cats put up 38 PPG after Fifita took over and they should log huge numbers here vs a New Mexico defense that gave up 567 yards last week to FCS Montana State. 

The Lobos were double digit dogs at HOME to Montana State and the final score (lost 35-31) was not indicative of the Bobcats dominance.  New Mexico had 2 defensive TD’s in the game and were outgained by over 200 yards, outrushed by over 200 yards, and had 10 minute time of possession disadvantage.  Now after getting dominated by a very good FCS team, the Lobos take the road and face on one of the better FBS teams. 

Arizona has an advantage with a full game of film on New Mexico as well while the Lobos are flying blind not knowing how the Wildcats will operate with a new coaching staff.  Arizona could easily push 50 points here while we don’t expect the Lobos offense to do much after scoring just 17 points (minus the defensive points) last week at home.  Blowout.  

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Miami FL vs. Florida Preview | 8-31-24 | By ASA

The Miami Hurricanes will face off against the Florida Gators on Saturday, August 31, at 3:30 PM ET.

Miami enters the game as a 2.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 54 points. In the 2023 season, Miami posted a 7-6 record straight up (SU) and 6-7 against the spread (ATS). As head coach Mario Cristobal begins his third year with the Hurricanes, he faces considerable pressure following a less-than-stellar 14-11 overall record in his first two seasons.

The team will debut new starting quarterback Cam Ward, a transfer from Washington State, where he threw for 3,700 yards and 25 touchdowns last year. Miami’s offensive line is largely intact, and last season the offense averaged 31.5 points per game (38th nationally) and 6.4 yards per play (24th nationally). However, only 43% of their total offensive yardage returns, ranking them 78th in the nation.

On defense, Miami allowed 335 yards per game, placing them 26th nationally, and 5.1 yards per play, ranking 36th. They were particularly strong against the run, giving up just 3.5 yards per carry, which was 20th in the nation. However, the team lost 8 of its top 11 tacklers and returns only 41% of last season’s total tackles, ranking 116th nationally. Historically, Miami has fared well against in-state rival Florida, with a 7-1-1 spread record in their last nine meetings since 1986.

The Florida Gators, on the other hand, finished the 2023 season with a 5-7 record SU and 4-8 ATS. Head coach Billy Napier is also under pressure as he begins his third year in Gainesville, with an 11-14 record over his first two seasons and no bowl appearance last year.

Florida returns 8 starters on offense, including quarterback Graham Mertz, who ranked third in the nation with a 73% completion rate. The Gators also bring back their top running back and 3 of their top 4 wide receivers.

Defensively, Florida returns several starters on the defensive line and in the secondary, but they struggled last season, allowing 6.4 yards per play, which ranked 124th nationally. The Gators face a tough challenge this season, as they play the most difficult strength of schedule in college football, with 8 of their opponents entering the season ranked in the top 25. Despite this, Florida has performed well as a home underdog, covering the spread in 5 of the 7 games since 2018.

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College Basketball Free bet – Feb 23rd

ASA is currently on a 23-9 HOT STREAK IN COLLEGE BASKETBALL! CHECK OUT NIGHTLY WINNERS ONLINE HERE!

#795/796 ASA PLAY ON Under 136 Points – Michigan vs Rutgers, Thursday at 8:30 PM ET

Rutgers is a great defensive team overall (4th nationally in efficiency) but especially so at home where they allow only 54 PPG.  At home this team allows opponents to shoot only 36% from the field and 26% from beyond the arc.  They have played 16 home games thus far and only 3 opponents have reached 60 points.  Their most recent home game was one of their worst defensive performances of the year allowing Nebraska to score 82 points on 1.21 points per possessions which is way above Rutgers season defensive average of 0.90 PPP allowed.  We expect them to play very well on that end of the court tonight.  Rutgers will be without starter Caleb McConnell tonight and they lost starting big man Mawot Mag a few weeks ago.  They are not a deep team to begin with and will benefit by keeping this game at a very slow pace which they prefer.  Michigan likes to play fast, but that won’t happen on the road tonight.  The Wolverines have been solid offensively at home this year but on the road they are averaging only 67 PPG and will land below that tonight vs one of the top defenses in the nation.  Defensively Michigan ranks 7th in the Big 10 in efficiency but shouldn’t need to be great on that end tonight vs a Rutgers offense that ranks dead last in the league in eFG%.  Four of Michigan’s last six road game have totaled less than 120 points and their average point total on the road this year is 137 points.  Rutgers home games this season are averaging just 128 total points and 7 of the last 9 meetings between these 2 have resulted in 135 or fewer points.  Take the Under.

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