Tag: best college football bets

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CFB FREE BET | Arizona vs New Mexico prediction | 8-31-24

#182 ASA FREE PLAY ON Arizona -30 over New Mexico, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET

New Arizona head coach Brent Brennan takes over a team loaded with talent after former head man Jedd Fisch moved onto Washington.  The Cats have 3 players projected as 1st round draft picks next year (WR, OL, and CB).  On top of that Arizona returns QB Fafita who put up big numbers (2,900 yards passing and 25 TD’s) after taking over the starting job in game 4 last year. 

The Cats put up 38 PPG after Fifita took over and they should log huge numbers here vs a New Mexico defense that gave up 567 yards last week to FCS Montana State. 

The Lobos were double digit dogs at HOME to Montana State and the final score (lost 35-31) was not indicative of the Bobcats dominance.  New Mexico had 2 defensive TD’s in the game and were outgained by over 200 yards, outrushed by over 200 yards, and had 10 minute time of possession disadvantage.  Now after getting dominated by a very good FCS team, the Lobos take the road and face on one of the better FBS teams. 

Arizona has an advantage with a full game of film on New Mexico as well while the Lobos are flying blind not knowing how the Wildcats will operate with a new coaching staff.  Arizona could easily push 50 points here while we don’t expect the Lobos offense to do much after scoring just 17 points (minus the defensive points) last week at home.  Blowout.  

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Clemson vs Georgia Preview | 8-31-24 | By ASA

College Football Preview Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs – By ASA

On Saturday, August 31st, at 12 PM ET, Clemson will face off against Georgia in a highly anticipated matchup. The Bulldogs are favored by 13.5 points, with the over/under set at 48.5.

Clemson, coming off a 9-4 season (6-7 ATS), remains under the steady leadership of head coach Dabo Swinney, who chose to stay loyal to his recruits by avoiding the transfer portal this offseason. The Tigers return 9 starters on offense, including quarterback Cade Klubnik, who threw for 2,844 yards with 19 touchdowns and 9 interceptions last season. Running back Phil Mafah, who rushed for 965 yards with an impressive 5.4 yards per carry, also returns. Additionally, Clemson’s top two receivers from last season, both of whom had over 500 receiving yards, are back. The Tigers are solid in the trenches, boasting the 12th-rated offensive line in the nation.

Although the defense returns only 5 starters, Clemson will rely on several underclassmen from last season’s roster to step up. Last year, Clemson dominated time of possession, ranking 8th, while running the 3rd most plays per game at 78.2. Defensively, Clemson allowed just 305.8 yards per game, the 11th fewest in 2023, and led the nation by forcing 2.3 turnovers per game.

Georgia, coming off a stellar 13-1 record in 2023 (5-8-1 ATS), enters the season as the betting favorite to win the National Championship under head coach Kirby Smart. The Bulldogs return 7 starters on offense, including quarterback Carson Beck, who nearly reached 4,000 passing yards last season with 24 touchdowns. Georgia boasts the top-rated offensive line in the country, with 4 returning starters, having allowed the fewest sacks last season while supporting a rushing attack that averaged 5.3 yards per carry.

Defensively, Georgia also returns 7 starters from a unit that allowed just 16.6 points per game. The Bulldogs have ranked in the top 10 in scoring defense for three consecutive seasons and are once again stacked on that side of the ball. Last season, Georgia was 4th in yards per play at 7.1 and led the nation in 3rd down conversions at 55.6%. Defensively, they ranked 3rd in 3rd down conversions allowed at 26.7% and allowed the 9th fewest yards per point at 17.9.

Both teams underperformed last season compared to their high standards, so it will be interesting to see if they rebound and play with a chip on their shoulders in 2024.

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Notre Dame vs Texas A&M Preview | 8-31-24 | By ASA

College Football Preview Notre Dame takes on Texas A&M – By ASA

On Saturday, August 31st, at 7:30 PM ET, Texas A&M will face Notre Dame in a highly anticipated matchup. The Aggies are favored by 3 points, with an over/under set at 46.5.

Texas A&M finished the 2023 season with a 7-6 record (6-6-1 ATS) and enters this season under new head coach Mike Elko, who was 16-9 in his last two seasons at Duke. The Aggies also have a new offensive coordinator, Collin Klein, and will be led by quarterback Conner Weigman. The running game will feature Rueben Owens, Le’Veon Moss, and EJ Smith, but the offensive line is a concern with three new starters.

On the defensive side, Texas A&M boasts one of the best defensive lines in college football, but the secondary was a weakness a year ago giving up to many big plays. Last season, the Aggies impressed offensively, averaging 32.9 PPG (21st) and ranking 11th in yards per point at 12.3. Defensively, they excelled on third downs, allowing a 32.7% conversion rate (20th) and were strong against the run, giving up just 110.3 rushing yards per game (13th).

Notre Dame, coming off a 10-3 season (9-3-1 ATS), has high expectations under third-year head coach Marcus Freeman. The Irish have a new starting quarterback, Riley Lincoln, a transfer from Duke, and a new offensive coordinator, Mike Denbrock, who comes from LSU. The offensive line is a potential concern, with several freshman and sophomore starters, but running backs Jadarian Price and Jeremiyah Love are expected to play significant roles. Notre Dame also added key wide receivers through the transfer portal.

Defensively, the Irish have one of the top defensive lines in college football. While there are some questions at linebacker, the secondary is as strong as the D-line. Last season, Notre Dame’s offense was potent, ranking 8th in scoring with 37.8 PPG and 10th in yards per play at 6.7. Defensively, they were formidable, allowing just 17 PPG (9th) and 288 total yards per game (7th).

This matchup promises to be a clash of two strong programs with new leadership and high expectations.

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Akron vs Miami OH prediction – ASA – Feb 12

ASA free pick Friday – #863 Akron -4 @ Miami OH, 7PM ET – Akron looks to keep pace with Toledo who leads the MAC as of this writing with an 11-2 overall record with Akron right behind them at 9-3. Miami OH is currently 6th and fading fast with a 1-3 SU record their last four games with the only win coming against 4-11 overall Western Michigan. The Redhawks own a negative scoring differential of minus -9.2PPG in that four-game stretch. The Zips come into this contest on a 5 game winning streak with a +12PPG scoring differential average in those five contests. They’ve held their last five opponents to just 40.8% shooting. Akron has one of the best players in the MAC on their roster in Loren Christian Jackson who is averaging 21.3PPG and 6.6APG. The Zips should score at will here against a Redhawks team that is 9th in the conference in defensive efficiency allowing 1.091PPP and 9th in EFG% defense allowing 54.1%. Akron ranks in the top five offensively is the same categories and have the second-best defensive efficiency rating and EFG% defense. Toledo was favored by 4-points on this floor earlier this season and won by 9-points. The Rockets though were covering the spread in that game for 90% of the minutes played. We will lean towards the Zips in this game and predict a 7-10-point win.