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NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday, Oct 28th

ASA is 8-3 this season with NBA Player Props – today’s winners below

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 17.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Miles Turner – Indiana Pacers

Let’s start with the Wizards defensive deficiencies when it comes to Centers around the league. Washington has one of the worst rebound rates against Centers and allows the 9th most points to “Bigs”. Turner is coming off an ankle injury prior to the season but saw 24 minutes of action against the Bulls on Wednesday night. He was just 1 of 7 from the field but expect a much better shooting night here in his second game back. Turner is a career 48.8% shooter, including 34.8% from Deep. He did grab 6 rebounds in that game against the Bulls and averages 6.7 lifetime in the NBA.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 17.5 POINTS – Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls

We feel this is the best bargain on the board in terms of PP’s and expect a big night from Vucevic against the Spurs. First off, the Spurs are one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA which means plenty of possessions and scoring opportunities for the Bulls. Secondly, as a team the Spurs are one of the worst defensive clubs in the NBA allowing 1.149-points per possession. The Spurs are 3rd worst in the league defending Centers at 26.73PPG allowed. Vucevic is averaging 17.4PPG this season and scored 24-points against a Washington team that is similar to the Spurs in defending centers. Last year in the two meetings against the Spurs, Vucevic scored 15 and 18 points respectively which gets us the money here. 

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Tampa Bay Brady Passing Yards Over/Under

ASA NFL Player Prop OVER 277.5 PASSING YARDS – Tom Brady – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Ravens pass defense has not been good this season ranking 26th in the league in passing yards allowed per game. The Bucs have the 6th best passing offense in the NFL in terms of passing yards per game. Tampa has a stagnant rushing attack and rank last in the NFL which means they’ll have to throw more to keep up in this one. The Bucs get WR Godwin back which should immediately improve the passing attack. Even though the offense hasn’t put up points, Brady has still thrown for over 290-yards in 3 of the last four games. The Ravens have a banged up secondary which means the GOAT has a big passing game and we bet OVER his total in this NFL Player Prop.

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NBA free bet from ASA Oct 26

ASA NBA free bet for October 26th 2022

ASA play on: OVER 233 San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves, 8PM ET

This is a home-home series as these same two teams just met on Oct 24th in Minnesota. That game finished with 221 points and had a posted Total of 235. That game could have easily gone over the number but each team had an abnormal quarter. After putting up a combined 124-points in the first half it looked like a sure Over bet winner. Then the Wolves managed just 14-points in the 3rd quarter while the Spurs put up 12-points in the 4th. We should see another high scoring affair here with two teams that like to play fast. The Spurs are 4th in pace of play, the T-Wolves are 5th so we know there will be plenty of possession for a high scoring game. Minnesota is 13th in defensive efficiency, the Spurs are 21st so neither are exceptional on that end of the floor. San Antonio is scoring 117PPG, Minnesota is putting up 115.8PPG. Last season when these two teams met they put huge totals in 2 of the four games with 288 and 248-points. The oddsmakers lowered this Total by a few points so let’s grab the value and bet OVER.

Player Prop: OVER 35.5 POINTS + ASSISTS – Donovan Mitchell Cleveland Cavaliers

Let’s start with the Magic defense when it specifically comes to shooting guards. On average the Magic allow 26.23PPG and 8.39APG to shooting guards. That’s a recipe for disaster going up against one of the better SG’s in the NBA in Donovan Mitchell. Mitchell is scoring 33.3PPG and averaging 7.0APG this season. We know he will get plenty of usage tonight as point guard Darius Garland is out. On the season Mitchell averages 38 minutes per game. A unique aspect to this bet is the fact Mitchell could score enough to cash this Over without registering an assist. Overall, Orlando is 23rd in defensive efficiency as a team and they give up over 115PPG so the Cavs should put up a big number in this one.

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NBA Player Prop Tuesday, Oct 25 2022

NBA Player Prop from ASA – OVER 9.5 rebounds Pistons – Isaiah Stewart

ASA PLAY ON: OVER 9.5 REBOUNDS Player Prop: Isaiah Stewart Detroit Pistons – Stewart is averaging 10.67 rebounds per game this season and is the 8th highest rebounder among centers this season. Going back to last season he has had double-digit rebounds in 6 of his last ten games. When it comes to Centers specifically, the Wizards were one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA a year ago. This season the Wiz rank 24th in rebounds allowed per game to Centers at 17.40. Stewart’s minutes are up this season as is his rebounding numbers after averaging an impressive 8.7 boards per game a season ago in 71 games played. The Pistons are one of the highest possessions per game teams in the NBA which also helps our cause here with Stewart’s Over the total NBA Player Prop.

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NFL Player Props Oct 23rd – ASA

Below are three NFL player props for Sunday, October 23rd – By ASAwins

Cleveland Browns – David Njoku Over 37.5 Rec Yards (-114)

We are going “back to the well”, riding Njoku once more this week. He has had 58 or more yards in his last four games while commanding at least six targets during each contest. Baltimore ranks 28th in passing yards allowed per game which should give way for Njoku to once again surpass his low yardage projection set by oddsmakers. Until we see his target share decline, or oddsmakers boost his yardage total, Cleveland’s versatile TE will remain an intriguing option.

Seattle Seahawks – Geno Smith Under .5 INTs (+110)

Seattle has been one of the few NFL teams to actually surpass offensive expectations to start the year. Thought to have one of the worst offenses entering 2022, Geno Smith has led the Seahawks to a top 10 offense in points scored. Smith is playing the best football of his career, with a 9/2 TD/INT ratio and a 108.1 passer rating. With only 2 picks so far this year, plus money on Geno to have another clean game holds a lot of value.  

Atlanta Falcons – Olamide Zaccheaus Over 31.5 Rec Yards (-114)

Zaccheaus has been a quiet but vital part of the Falcons surprising 3-3 start. Despite Marcus Mariota’s lack of passing ability, he has connected with Zaccheaus at least twice every single game, usually for chunk plays. In 5 of their 6 games, Olamide has one catch of at least 20 or more yards, also surpassing 38 yards in all of those 5 games. With the few looks Zaccheaus gets, he is extremely efficient, catching 89% of his targets. This trend should continue in a high scoring matchup with the Bengals. 

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