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NBA Free Bets for January 25th by ASA

ASA has you covered with some free action in the NBA

ASA play on: Sacramento Kings -3.5 vs Toronto Raptors, 10PM ET

The Kings are quietly sitting 3rd in the Western Conference at 27-19 and continue to fly under the radar. Sacramento is 16-10 SU at home with a +/- of +6.6PPG which is the 6th best average in the NBA. Toronto is 6-15 SU away from home this season with an average Margin of Victory of minus -2.2PPG. The Raptors are 1-3 ATS their last four on the road. You’ll also be surprised to know the Kings have been solid ATS as a favorite this season. When laying less than double-digits the Kings have rewarded backers with a 14-8 ATS record. Sacramento is the #1 rated offensive efficiency team at home this season at 1.227-points per possession, whereas the Raptors rank 15th on the road in OEFF. The Raptors do hold an edge defensively but it’s not as great a difference as the offensive numbers that favor the Kings. Sacramento is 5-1 SU their last six at home and the five wins came by 21.6PPG. We like them here minus the short number.

ASA Team Total UNDER 124.5 POINTS – GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

The Warriors have put up some big scores in recent games, but they came against bad defensive teams. Today they face the #1 rated defensive efficiency team in the Grizzlies who allow just 1.099-points per possession. The Warriors have faced some similar defensive teams in recent games (Cavs, Celtics, Bulls and Suns) and failed to top 120 points in any of those games. Golden State has scored more than 124 points against the Grizzlies just 1 time in their last 10 meetings. Our math model is projecting 114.6-total points for the Warriors.

ASA Player Prop OVER 25.5 POINTS+REBOUNS – Jusuf Nurkic – Portland Trailblazers

Nurkic is inline for a big game tonight against a Jazz team that allows the 5th most points to centers and the 3rd most rebounds. In two meetings this season versus the Jazz he has totaled 25 and 29 points+rebounds respectively. In his last ten games he is averaging 25Pts+Rebs and is coming off a 36 total night against the Spurs.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 26.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – Fred VanVleet – Toronto Raptors

VanVleet is averaging 19.1PPG on the season but in his last ten games that number has jumped up to 21.3PPG. The same can be said about is Assists statistics. For the year he is averaging 6.3APG but in his last ten games that average is 6.9APG. The Kings allow the 6th most points (24.6PPG) in the NBA to PG’s and 7.9-assists per game. There is a good chance VanVleet scores enough to get Over this number, the assists will just make it that much easier.

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NBA Player Prop Bets – Jan, 23 2023

ASA has HAMMERED the Sports Books this basketball season with a 80-46 NBA Prop Bet run! Don’t settle for the just the free picks when more winners are included in the nightly pick Service.

ASA Player Prop OVER 29.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls

The Hawks allow the 2nd most points to Centers this season at 25.6PPG. In the last two weeks that average has ballooned to 35.4PPG. On the year they also allow nearly 16 rebounds per game to Centers. On the season, Vucevic is averaging 17.5PPG and 11RPG but he’s been much better of late averaging 20PPG/13.6RPG in his last ten games.

ASA Player Prop OVER 9.5 POINTS Zach Collins – San Antonio Spurs

The Blazers are the worst team in the NBA when it comes to points allowed to Centers as they give up on average 27PPG. In the last two weeks it’s been even worse for the Blazers as they’ve allowed an average of 38.2PPG to C’s. They rank 23rd out of 30 teams in points allowed in the paint. In his last ten games Collins is averaging 10.8PPG on 52% shooting. He is coming off a 17-point game against the Clippers and can build on that momentum here.

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NBA Player Props 77-45 YTD

ASA has produced a 77-45 record on NBA Players Props this season. Below are 2 bets for Saturday, Jan 21st

ASA Player Prop OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS Deandre Ayton – Phoenix Suns

The Pacers are not a good rebounding team to start with as they rank 25th and 26th in offensive and defensive rebounds per game. Indiana is coming off a game last night in Denver and fatigue will be a factor. Ayton is one of the best rebounders in the league at 9.85 per game and 10.63 in his last ten games. He has grabbed 11 or more boards in 5 of the last six games he’s played in.

ASA Player Prop OVER 17.5 POINTS – Mikal Bridges – Phoenix Suns

We were on Bridges Over for points the other night against the Nets and will come back with another wager on him here. Bridges has taken up some of the scoring burden with Chris Paul and Booker sidelined. He is averaging 17.7PPG in his last ten games and has scored 21+ in 4 of the last five. Indiana doesn’t defend SG’s well either, allowing 25.3PPG which is 3rd worst in the NBA.

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NBA Player Prop Bets – January 18th 2023

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 18.5 POINTS – Josh Giddey – Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder are on an impressive streak with road wins over the 76ers, Bulls and Nets. A big reason why has been the play of Giddey who has cored 20, 25 and 28-points in those three contests. That’s significant considering those three teams rank 1st, 2nd and 4th in the least amount of points scored per game against point guards. Indiana allows 22.9PPG to PG’s this season, which is roughly league average. Overall, the Pacers own the 10th worst defensive efficiency rating in the NBA allowing 1.146-points per possession. Easy Over call for Giddey.

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 24.5 POINTS – De’Aaron Fox – Sacramento Kings

We like the value here with a number that’s been set too low. These same two teams met on Jan 7th and the O/U for points scored by Fox was 26.5. We bet that Over and he finished with 34-points. In three games against the Lakers this season he has scored 37, 22 and 34 points. The Lakers are the 2nd worst team in the league when it comes to points allowed to point guards as they give up 26.9PPG. In a high possession game (the total is 247) he should get plenty of opportunities to score.

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 31.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – De’Aaron Fox – Sacramento Kings

We like the value here with a number that’s been set too low. These same two teams met on Jan 7th and the O/U for points+assists by Fox was 33.5. He finished with 43 in that most recent game. The Lakers are the 2nd worst team in the league when it comes to points allowed to point guards as they give up 26.9PPG. They allow the 9th most assists to PG’s at 8.4APG. In a high possession game (the total is 247) he should get plenty of opportunities to score and dish out assists here.

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NBA Free bet – Monday, Jan 16th

ASA OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS MADE – Russell Westbrook LA Lakers

This looks like a gift to us as the Rockets are one of the worst teams in the league defending the 3-point line as they allow 36.8% which is 26th in the NBA. Granted, Westbrook isn’t known for his outside shooting but he has made 2 or more 3’s in 5 of his last six games. The Rockets allow the 2nd most 3-pointers made to PG’s this season at 3.4 per game. Russ will get 2 or more tonight.

ASA play on UNDER 224.5 Toronto Raptors @ NY Knicks, 3PM ET

These two teams have met twice this season with both games staying below the number with 220 and 219 total points being scored. The O/U numbers set by the oddsmakers on those two games were 216.5 so you can see for yourself the value in today’s number. Historically, if we look back at the last nine meetings the most combined points scored by these two teams is 225. All other meetings have been less than that. We are expecting both defenses to dominate in this game as the Raptors allow the 8th fewest points in the NBA, the Knicks allow the 7th fewest. Both teams are also slower paced so we know it won’t be a high possession game. The Raptors are the 4th slowest team in the NBA at 97.2 possessions per game, the Knicks are 8th slowest at 97.8 possessions per game. The Knicks are coming off a road game yesterday and their games average 218.7PPG when they play without rest. Unless both teams shoot well above their season averages, we can’t see this game going Over the Total.