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Nascar Cup Cook Out 400 – Richmond, VA

ASA Nascar predictions for the Cook Out 400 – Sunday, July 30th 2023

Last week we narrowly missed a nice Nascar Cup underdog bet Top 3 winner with Kevin Harvick who finished 4th overall. We could see it coming as the #45 car of Tyler Reddick had a late pit stop and gained an advantage with 4 new tires which helped overtake Harvick in the final two laps. Today we are focused on the short track in Richmond, Virginia and the Cook Out 400. Kyle Larson and Martin Truex Jr. have 3 wins each on short tracks in their last 17 races but neither will be found on our betting tickets Sunday as they don’t offer enough value in relation to risk versus reward. Let’s have a great day at the track with these Nascar Cup predictions!

TOP 10 FINISHER – #45 Tyler Reddick -$105 – At this price we will gladly place a wager on Reddick and his #45 Toyota. Reddick starts in the pole position on Sunday for the first time this season and should benefit from the great starting position. Reddick already has a road course win this season at the Circuit of Americas and should do well on today’s short track. Reddick doesn’t have great history on short tracks with just 2 Top 10 finishes in 17 races but after a solid race last week we like him to crack the top 10 today.

TOP 3 FINISHER – #20 Christoper Bell +$200 – Bell ranks second among the active drivers today with 2 or more stars with an average finishing position of 5.7 at Richmond. Only Martin Truex Jr. is better in 6 starts here with an average finishing position of 5.0. In six races on this short track, Bell has 5 Top 10’s and 4 Top 5’s. His best overall finish here is 2nd place August of 2022. He has finished in the Top 6 in five straight races. The #20 Joe Gibbs team Toyota will be in the running here if history tells us anything. JGR racing leads all racing organizations with 18 wins at Richmond. In the Toyota Owners 400 earlier this season Bell finished 4th and led for 26 laps in the race.

RACE WINNER – #24 William Byron +$900 – We like the #24 Chevy in this race and if anyone other than the favorites can win here it’s Byron. Earlier this year at the Toyota 400 which was run on this short track in Richmond, Byron finished a disappointing 24th after leading for 117 laps which was most in the field. In 2022 he had a 3rd place finish on this track after leading 122 laps so we know he has a car capable of winning this race. In his last 17 races on a short track, Byron has 1 win, 6 Top 5’s and 10 Top 10’s. The #24 had the fastest lap time on Saturday at 117.01mph and the showed the most speed over a 10-lap interval at 113.7mph. We like the longer odds here and will invest in Byron to win Sunday.

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Nascar Cup Highpoint 400 predictions

ASA breaks down the Pocono Raceway Highpoint 400 Sunday, July 23rd

This weekend the Cup series heads to Pocono Raceway and the Highpoint 400. Also known as the Tricky Triangle, this superspeedway is a 2.5-mile, triangular flat track. Last year here, Denny Hamlin won with Kyle Busch coming in second, but both drivers were disqualified after post-race inspection, leading to Chase Elliott claiming the victory instead. Speaking of Elliot, he is one of the big-name drivers that is on the outside looking in for the playoffs sitting 23rd in the standings. Can he get a win this Sunday? Will Martin Truex Jr. continue his winning ways? Denny Hamlin in the #11 Toyota has dominated at the track in recent years but he didn’t make our betting ticket this weekend. Find out who ASA likes to win and finish Top 3.

RACE WINNER #8 Kyle Busch +$650 – We like the experienced drivers at the 2.5 mile triangular Pocono Raceway this weekend. Veteran driver Kyle Busch has 35 career starts here with 11 Top 5’s and 18 Top 10’s. He has 4 career wins here including victories here in 2018, 2019 and most recently 2021. Last year he finished 2nd overall, led for 63 laps but was disqualified after failing a post-race inspection. In the last five races run at Pocono no driver has more laps led than Kyle Busch with 125. We like the #8 car at +$650 to notch a win here Sunday.

TOP 3 FINISH #4 Kevin Harvick +$400 – The Fords have run well on tracks with long straightaways (reduced drag) and Pocono fits the bill with the longest in the Series. The #4 Stewart-Haas Racing driver has five finishes of 8th or better in the last six Pocono races, including one win and 3 Top 5’s. In 43 career starts on this track he has 15 Top 5’s and 22 Top 10’s so he knows this track well. In 21 races this season he has 5 Top 5’s and we expect him to be in the running to win on Sunday.

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Nascar predictions | Quaker State 400 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

ASA has a few Nascar wagers to make on Sunday, July 9th.

NASCAR is heading to Atlanta Speedway this weekend for the Quaker State 400. This track has undergone some reconstruction this season with new pavement and higher banked turns. The other big change was the narrowing of the straights which makes for much tighter racing conditions. Last week Nascar had a shocker when Shane Van Gisbergen won the street race in Chicago in his debut on the Cup series. We expect to see some familiar faces back in the front of the pack on the Atlanta Motor Speedway this Sunday.

TOP 10 – #2 Austin Cindric +$125 – You will see a reoccurring theme with our Nascar bets this week and that’s the support of Fords. This will be the second race run at Atlanta Motor Speedway this season and in the first race here Fords finished 1st, 2nd 7th and 11th. In four career Cup races in Atlanta, Cindric for the Roger Penske team, has a pair of solid runs with a 3rd and 11th place finish. The benefit for Cindric this weekend is strong support from his Penske teammates who should have strong showings on this large quad -oval Speedway.

RACE WINNER – #12 Ryan Blaney +$1200 – In our opinion, Blaney is a fantastic longshot this weekend to win in Atlanta. The Ford’s ran extremely well on this track earlier this race season with four cars in the top 11. One of those drivers was Ryan Blaney who finished 7th for the Roger Penske team. The #12 with Blaney behind the wheel has 5 top 10’s on this track, 4 top 5’s and a win in 2021. Blaney also had a dominating win earlier this season in Charlotte, where he led for 163 laps, which is a similar track to Atlanta’s. I’ll also have Blaney as a Top 3 finisher at +$320.

TOP 3 – #6 Brad Keselowski +$400 – Keselowski had a 2nd place finish here earlier this year and ran 1st for 47 laps which was second most behind Joey Logano. The #6 car and Keselowski have yet to win a race this season, but he does have 3 top 5 finishes and 6 top 10’s. The Atlanta track has a redesign, but Keselowski has 17 Cup races here with 10 top 10’s. Keselowski has raced 250 times on a 1-2 mile Speedway in his career and has 18 wins, 72 top 5’s and 129 top 10’s. The Ford’s have an aerodynamic advantage here and we like the #6 car to be in the running all race long.

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MLB free pick | Cubs vs. Guardians | June 30th

ASA has a MLB FREE BET for you today in baseball

ASA Free Play ON Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+105) over Cleveland Guardians @ 2:20 ET – We were a dealt a tough loss with our premium pick yesterday when Cleveland, known for strong bullpen, blew a late 2-0 lead and lost in extra innings at Kansas City despite a huge 13-6 edge in hits in the game. That is a tough defeat for a team to bounce back from and now the Guardians are at Chicago a for a day game after that heart-breaking loss. The Cubs should roll here as the pitching edge of Steele (8-2, 2.62 ERA) over Quantrill (2-4, 5.61 ERA) also gives them a big edge here. Look for the home team to win big as the Cubs have seen 30 of their 37 wins this season come by at least a 2-run margin and this one should be no different. FREE PLAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+105)

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