ASA play on OVER 226 San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans 9:30PM ET
The value is clearly on the Over here if we examine the regular season games between these two teams. In the two most recent meetings in March – Vegas posted Totals of 237 and 231-points on the two games. In February the O/U was 230. Way back in December the line was 221. **NOW 226**
If we focus on the three most recent games we see two lower scoring games with 210 and 215-points being scored with the other game finishing with 238 total points.
The pace of play was fast in all three games though as the Spurs attempted 95 FG’s per game which is significantly higher than the NBA average of 88. The Pelicans averaged 89 FGA’s per game in the three most recent meetings.
San Antonio is the 4th fastest paced team in the NBA at 100 possessions per game. The Pelicans are slower at 21st at 97.2 possessions BUT they’ve been faster since the All-Star break at 98.5.
With CJ McCollum the Pelicans own the 9th best offensive efficiency ranking in NBA at 1.181PPP.
For the season the Spurs are 13th in OEFF at 1.124PPP.
Neither team is known for their defense….
Both teams are in the bottom half of the NBA in defensive efficiency rating for the season with the Spurs ranking 16th and the Pels at 20th. Both teams rank 20th or worse in 3PT% defense
Spurs have totaled 227 or more points in 5 of their last seven. The Pelicans have scored 227 or more in 6 of their last nine.
ASA play on OVER 221.5 LA Lakers @ Golden State Warriors, 10PM ET
Hasta la vista Lakers! This roster was put together by LeBron and was destined to fail right from the start. Los Angeles will miss the playoffs and will have to make major moves in the offseason if they expect to compete next season. Was it a coincidence that LeBron sat several games down the stretch against good defensive teams and when his team was in dire need of him to make the playoffs? He needs to play in the final three games to be eligible for the scoring title so I’d be surprised if he doesn’t play here. The Lakers are 12th in scoring at 111.6PPG and 7th in overall FG% offense and if they get to 110 or more this game goes Over. A big reason why will be the points the Warriors put up. Golden State is still playing for a better playoff position, so we know what kind of effort we’ll get from them. The Warriors should score plenty here against a Lakers defense that is 26th in points allowed, 22nd in FG% defense and 16th in defending the 3. The Lakers have allowed 1.230-points per possession in their last five games and 122.9PPG. The Warriors are 10th in both overall FG% and 3PT%. The three meetings this season between these two teams has ended with 240, 232 and 235 total points. More of the same here.Â
Rickenbach NHL Free Pick Philadelphia +115 @ Columbus @ 7:05 ET – Flyers Martin Jones has allowed 3 or less goal in 6 of his last 8 starts. He is coming off a strong effort against the Rangers. In those 6 solid efforts he has allowed only 2.3 goals per start! Philadelphia has revenge from a home loss to the Blue Jackets Tuesday and I look for them to return the favor here by knocking off the Jackets in Columbus. To me this line looks a little funny with the home team a small favorite. Don’t let the number fool you. Priced this way because the road dog gets revenge against a Blue Jackets team that had lost 7 in a row before beating the Flyers Tuesday. Payback! Free Pick PHILADELPHIA +115
Scott Rickenbach Sunday NHL Free bets OVER 7 in Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers @ 1:05 ET – The Sabres are off an emotional 4-3 win on RJ Night in Buffalo Friday night. 5 of the last 6 Buffalo games have totaled 7 or more goals. That game Friday against the Predators was a 3-3 game by end of the first period! The Sabres will be unable to stop the highest scoring team in the league here. The Panthers got a 7-6 SO win at New Jersey yesterday as they rallied late against the Devils and high-flying Florida enters this game with 20 of their last 27 games having totaled 7 or more goals. More of the same is expected here. NHL Free Pick OVER 7 in Sabres vs. Panthers
Scott Rickenbach or “The Bulldog” NHL Games Today – Pick Vancouver Canucks +140 @ St Louis Blues @ 7:35 ET – Game with a lot of importance in the playoff race and features a pair of struggling teams. However, the big keys here are that the Blues are allowing a too many goals and that is not the case for the Canucks plus the fact that Vancouver is a sizable underdog. Considering those factors, there is plenty of value here on the road dog to make the Canucks worth a look in this one. St Louis is off a 7-2 home loss to Carolina and has lost 5 of 6 games. The Blues have allowed an average of 4 goals last 7 games. Vancouver enter this one off a 4-1 win at Dallas and, though that makes them only 3-6 last 9 games, the Canucks have allowed an average of only 2 goals last 8 games! Big difference between these two teams lately in terms of the goals allowed department! The road dog absolutely worth a look here. NHL Free bets VANCOUVER +140
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