Tag: ASA

Posted on by

NBA free bet | Nov 3rd

ASA play on: Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 vs. Denver Nuggets, 8:10PM ET

The value in the number has us on OKC tonight. These two teams met on Oct 22nd in Denver and the Nuggets were favored by 9-points and won by 5. That means they should be a 1-2-point favorite on the road in this matchup. On the season the Thunder have a net differential of +2PPG, while the Nuggets are negative at -2.9PPG. Denver is 1-3 SU on the road this season with the 3rd worst average MOV of -13PPG. The Nuggets have the worst defensive efficiency rating when away this season. OKC is 3-1 SU at home on the season with an average MOV of +5PPG. The Thunder have won four straight games with a pair of solid wins over the Clippers and big road win in Dallas. In the first meeting this season the Nuggets shot 53% from Deep which is well above their season of 39.4%. We don’t expect a repeat performance for them on the road, plus the Thunder rank 5th in 3-point percentage defense. The Thunder have a budding Star in Shai Gilgeous Alexander who is putting up insane numbers to start the season. Grab the home dog in this one.

OTHER FREE PICKS

Posted on by

NFL free wager – Raiders vs. Saints Over/Under

#255/256 ASA PLAY ON Over 48.5 Points – Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

#255/256 ASA PLAY ON Over 48.5 Points – Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Two of the higher scoring teams in the NFL squaring off here with Vegas ranking 3rd at 27 PPG and New Orleans 7th at 25 PPG.  They both rank in the top 7 in the NFL in YPP offense as well.  Saints games are averaging 53 total PPG and Raider games are averaging 52 total PPG.  The Saints defense has struggled this season as they have allowed 28 PPG and they have allowed 6 of their 7 points to reach or eclipse their team totals.  The Raider defense is also among the worst in the NFL allowing every opponent to reach at least 20 points including Tennessee, Houston, and Denver who rank 21st, 28th and 32nd in scoring this season.  The Raiders have scored points on 55% of their offensive possessions this year which is the highest rate in the league and should have plenty of success in this one.  On the other side of the ball the Las Vegas defense has allowed TD’s on 15 of opponents 20 red zone appearances which his the 3rd worst rate in the NFL.  The New Orleans offense has scored a TD on nearly 30% of their red zone plays which is 2nd in the league.  The Saints have combined with their opponent to score at least 50 points in 5 of their 7 games this season and the Raiders have combined with their opponent to score at least 50 points in 4 of their 6 games.  These 2 have combined to go 9-4 to the OVER this season and we have this one getting to at least 50 points.  Take the OVER.

Other recent free picks

Posted on by

NFL Player Prop Bets – Oct 30th – By ASA

ASA 4 NFL Player Props for Sunday, October 30th 2022

Miami Dolphins – Jaylen Waddle Over 64 Rec Yards (-119)

Last week Waddle turned 4 catches into 88 yards with only 5 targets. Detroit is giving up roughly 250 passing yards per game this season making it a salivating matchup for the Miami speedster. If Detroit can regain some of its early season offensive output, we may see a shootout at Ford Field. Set at the highest O/U of the weekend (50.5), Waddle could easily double his yardage total without surprising anyone. 

Atlanta Falcons – Marcus Mariota Under 161.5 Pass Yards (-117)

Atlanta has been dead set on running the football no matter the score in 2022. In week seven, the Bengals scored 21 unanswered points on their first three drives, yet Mariota only threw 13 times the entire game while trailing. He has not surpassed 150 passing yards once in his previous four games. Additionally, Carolina’s defense played great against the Bucs, holding them to three total points. 

New Orleans Saints – Alvin Kamara Over 38.5 Rec Yards (-117)

Andy Dalton was named the starter once again for week 8. This bodes well for Kamara as he has collected six or more passes in the three games they have both started. Las Vegas ranks 27th in passing yards allowed per game. With how involved the Saints stud running back is in the passing game, expect there to be plenty of room for Kamara to operate. Volume alone will make him a valuable bet. 

NY Giants Saquon Barkley Over 84.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Barkley is averaging 103.71 rushing yards per game and this Seattle defense will be the worst rush D they have faced this season. The Seahawks give up 147.9 Rushing Yards Per game which ranks 29th in the NFL. The Hawks D-line ranks 19th in “Hog Index”. The Giants rank 10th in O-Line “Hog Index”. Let’s do some simple math here: Seattle gives up 4.9-Yards Per Rush. Barkley averages 20.43-Rush Attempts Per Game. Barkley averages 5.1-Yards Per Rush. If it’s an “average” game Barkley should rush for over 102.15 rushing yards.  

Recent Articles

Posted on by

NBA Prop bets Oct 29th

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 26.5 POINTS – Stephen Curry – Golden State Warriors

ASA has gotten off to a 9-4 YTD start on NBA Player Props. Be sure to check out our site daily for free picks.

This seems like an easy one as long as Curry gets enough minutes in this game, and he should as he is back in his Davidson college State of North Carolina. Curry is averaging 30.8PPG on 48.6% shooting overall and 45.8% from beyond the arc. The Hornets are one of the worst teams in the NBA when it comes to defending Point Guards allowing 28.64PPG to that position. Charlotte has given up those lofty numbers yet have faced just one elite Point Guard this season in Trae Young who scored 28-points. Curry has scored 33+ points in every game but one and that was against a Suns team that has the 4th best defensive efficiency rating in the league. Charlotte is 16th in DEFF.

Recent Articles

Posted on by

NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday, Oct 28th

ASA is 8-3 this season with NBA Player Props – today’s winners below

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 17.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Miles Turner – Indiana Pacers

Let’s start with the Wizards defensive deficiencies when it comes to Centers around the league. Washington has one of the worst rebound rates against Centers and allows the 9th most points to “Bigs”. Turner is coming off an ankle injury prior to the season but saw 24 minutes of action against the Bulls on Wednesday night. He was just 1 of 7 from the field but expect a much better shooting night here in his second game back. Turner is a career 48.8% shooter, including 34.8% from Deep. He did grab 6 rebounds in that game against the Bulls and averages 6.7 lifetime in the NBA.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 17.5 POINTS – Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls

We feel this is the best bargain on the board in terms of PP’s and expect a big night from Vucevic against the Spurs. First off, the Spurs are one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA which means plenty of possessions and scoring opportunities for the Bulls. Secondly, as a team the Spurs are one of the worst defensive clubs in the NBA allowing 1.149-points per possession. The Spurs are 3rd worst in the league defending Centers at 26.73PPG allowed. Vucevic is averaging 17.4PPG this season and scored 24-points against a Washington team that is similar to the Spurs in defending centers. Last year in the two meetings against the Spurs, Vucevic scored 15 and 18 points respectively which gets us the money here. 

Recent Free Picks