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WNBA Prediction | Sky vs Dream | 7/2/2024

WNBA Free Bet ASA play on Chicago Sky -1 at Atlanta Dream, 7PM ET

The Sky have been the more consistent team this season while the Dream have had their ups and downs, much of which is related to injuries. Atlanta was without Jordin Canada (ave’d 13.3PPG, 6.0APG last year) for most of the season but she has returned for 3 games but hasn’t been the same player. On the injured list now is Rhyne Howard who was averaging 15.4PPG, 4.5RPG and 3.4APG. After a 4-2 start to the season the Dream are now 3-8 SU their last eleven games. In this current 11-game stretch the Dream have the 3rd worst Net Rating in the league at -10.0. They have really struggled offensively with the worst Offensive Net rating of 92.2 and an EFG% of 42.7%. If we compare them to the Sky’s last eleven games we see a pretty stark contrast as the Sky have an overall Net Rating of minus -4.9. Chicago is 3-7 SU their last ten games but a look at who they’ve played says a lot with close losses to Minnesota, Las Vegas, Connecticut and New York who are some of the best teams in the league. On the season the Sky have a Net Point differential of minus -2.0PPG which is better than the Dream’s minus -4.5PPG. In a recent meeting the Dream beat the Sky by 9-points in Chicago but that was with Howard in the lineup who recorded a double-double in the game. We expect payback here with Chicago.

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WNBA Free Bet | Mercury at Storm | June 4th 2024

ASA’s WNBA play on OVER 166.5 Phoenix Mercury at Seattle Storm, 10PM ET

The Storm are the much better team when it comes to defense, ranking 3rd in defensive efficiency versus a Mercury team that ranks 11th. Offensively both teams average over 1.000-points per possession with the Storm averaging 84.5PPG, the Mercury score 80.4PPG.

A big influence for the Over wager on this game will be the pace of play as the Storm are the 2nd fastest paced team in the WNBA at 80.2 possessions per game, the Mercury are 3rd at 80.

Phoenix scores the majority of their points from beyond the 3-point line with 38.1 3PA per game, most in the league. Seattle does their offensive damage from inside the Arc with the 5th best 2PT% in the WNBA and also crash the O-boards hard with the 4th most OREB per game at 12.2. The Mercury allow 84.4PPG on the season, the Storm allow 80.3PPG.

The pace of play should be frenetic and the added scoring opportunities for both teams will make this a very high scoring game.  

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NBA Playoffs Prop Bet | May 22nd 2025

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP BET ON: UNDER 12.5 POINTS – PJ WASHINGTON – DALLAS MAVERICKS

Washington comes into this game averaging 14.2PPG in his last ten, but that is with him exploding for 29, 27 and 21 points in three games against the Thunder.

His usage was up significantly as the Thunder focused their defensive effort on Luka and Kyrie. Washington attempted 18, 23 and 19 field goals in those games which are much higher than his regular season average of 11 FGA’s per game.  

On the season he averages 13.06PPG.

Minnesota has one of, if not the best defense in the NBA. The Wolves allowed 1.09 points per possession this season which was best in the NBA. They faced the Suns and Nuggets in the playoffs who were both top 9 in offensive efficiency ratings this season and still allowed just 1.095PPP.

The Mavs have gone from attempting 89.7 field goals per game in the regular season to 83.7 in the Playoffs and we know Luka and Kyrie are both going to dominate FGA’s in this one.

Minnesota allowed the second fewest points to power forwards on the season and have several player they can defend Washington win.

Under 12.5 points PJ Washington.

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WNBA Free Bet | May 20th | 2024

ASA FREE WNBA bet on New York Liberty (-12) vs. Seattle Storm, Monday, May 20th 7PM ET

The Liberty have a clear scheduling advantage here with a day of rest compared to the Storm who are playing the second of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four days. New York was 15-5 SU at home last season, the Storm were 7-13 SU away.

Seattle has gotten off to a slow 1-2 start this season, the Liberty are off to a 3-0 start. New York failed to cover the season opener against Washington, who has exceeded expectations, then beat the Fever twice badly. Seattle will be playing their third straight road game where they have had their fair share of struggles.

The Storm had the 3rd worst Net differential on the road a year ago at -5.9 and had an average loss margin away from home of -4.6PPG. With the scheduling advantage we like the Liberty big in this one.

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NBA Free Player Prop Bets | May 19th | 2024

ASA play on UNDER 11.5 Rebounds Josh Hart – NY Knicks

Hart suffered an abdominal strain in the previous game and played just 30 minutes after logging 43+ in 3 of the first 6 games of this series. He was clearly hurt in Game 6 and this is the type of injury that can easily be aggravated. Hart’s greatest asset is his toughness and willingness to go after every loss ball or rebound. He is one of the better rebounding guards in the NBA but today we don’t see him getting to double-digit boards in what could be a limited capacity. Hart is averaging 11.4 rebounds per game in his last 10 games so slightly Under this Total and he has averaged just 7.3 RPG in the last three games of this series.

ASA play on OVER 21.5 Points Pascal Siakam – Indiana Pacers

When you talk about the Pacers, naturally the conversation revolves around Haliburton, but Siakam is the guy you can count on most for scoring in clutch situations. We know Siakam’s usage rate will be high in this elimination game and the Knicks are without their best defender in Anunoby and Josh Hart is not 100%. Siakam had his way in Game 6 with 25-points on 11 of 21 shooting but only played 30 minutes in the Pacers win. He has scored 22+ points against the Knicks in 3 of the last four games and the game he didn’t post a big scoring number was the blowout home win in Game 4 when he played just 22 minutes. Siakam will get his share of looks in this game and should see field goal attempts of 19 which will be enough to push his scoring total Over the number.

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  • ASA’s BIG TEN REPORT – Sept 19th

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  • ASA’s BIG TEN REPORT – Saturday, Sept 12

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