Tag: American Sports Analysts

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NBA Free bet – Feb 15th – By ASA

ASA free play on Memphis Grizzlies -10 vs Utah Jazz, 8:10PM ET

The Grizzlies are coming off a loss in Boston on the 12th and will look to rebound against the Jazz back at home. Utah is off a road win in Indianapolis on the 13th but are just 3-6 SU their last nine games. Memphis is 23-5 SU at home with the 2nd best average Margin of Victory on their home court at +10.5PPG. When coming off a loss and playing at home the Grizz are 6-3 SU and ATS. Utah is 11-18 SU for the season on the road with a negative differential of -2.4PPG. The last time these two teams met on this court was back on Jan 8th with the Grizzlies winning 123-118 as a -5.5-point favorite. Memphis played that game without Ja Morant or Steven Adams and Utah had Mike Conley. The home team has won 5 straight in this series and with the Grizzlies +/- at home we like them to win and do so by their average MOV. Lay it!

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Player Prop Bets Sunday, Feb 12th

ASA has you covered today with a pair of Player Prop Bets. 1 in the NFL and 1 in the NBA

OVER 3.5 RUSH ATTEMPTS – QB Patrick Mahomes – KC Chiefs

Mahomes has had 2 more weeks to get closer to 100%.  He had 3 rush attempts in both Jax (missed some of game and came back injured) and vs Cincinnati on bad ankle.  Mahomes carried the ball 4 or more times in in 10 of 19 games this season and with the Eagles pass rush (most sacks in the NFL), Mahomes may have more opportunities to scramble for yardage.  In his 3 Super Bowl appearances Mahomes has 21 rushing attempts (7 per game average) and hasn’t had less than 5 attempts in any of those games.

ASA player prop OVER 31.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Pascal Siakam – Toronto Raptors

Siakam is on a miny-tear right now and has put up two straight impressive games against the Spurs and Jazz. Today he gets a very favorable matchup against a Pistons team that struggles to stop Power Forwards. Detroit allows the 2nd most points and rebounds to PF’s on the season at 23.9PPG and 12.1RPG. Siakam is averaging 31.8Pts+Rebs his last ten games and has put up 47 and 41 in the past two games. We are betting he has a big game today.

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NBA Player Prop Bets – January 18th 2023

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 18.5 POINTS – Josh Giddey – Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder are on an impressive streak with road wins over the 76ers, Bulls and Nets. A big reason why has been the play of Giddey who has cored 20, 25 and 28-points in those three contests. That’s significant considering those three teams rank 1st, 2nd and 4th in the least amount of points scored per game against point guards. Indiana allows 22.9PPG to PG’s this season, which is roughly league average. Overall, the Pacers own the 10th worst defensive efficiency rating in the NBA allowing 1.146-points per possession. Easy Over call for Giddey.

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 24.5 POINTS – De’Aaron Fox – Sacramento Kings

We like the value here with a number that’s been set too low. These same two teams met on Jan 7th and the O/U for points scored by Fox was 26.5. We bet that Over and he finished with 34-points. In three games against the Lakers this season he has scored 37, 22 and 34 points. The Lakers are the 2nd worst team in the league when it comes to points allowed to point guards as they give up 26.9PPG. In a high possession game (the total is 247) he should get plenty of opportunities to score.

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 31.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – De’Aaron Fox – Sacramento Kings

We like the value here with a number that’s been set too low. These same two teams met on Jan 7th and the O/U for points+assists by Fox was 33.5. He finished with 43 in that most recent game. The Lakers are the 2nd worst team in the league when it comes to points allowed to point guards as they give up 26.9PPG. They allow the 9th most assists to PG’s at 8.4APG. In a high possession game (the total is 247) he should get plenty of opportunities to score and dish out assists here.

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NBA Player Prop – Jan 8

OVER 20.5 POINTS – Tyrese Haliburton – Indiana Pacers

Haliburton and the Pacers have faced a gauntlet of great defensive teams when it comes to point guards. 5 of their last ten games have come against teams that rank 7 in points allowed per game to PG’s on the season. 9 of their last ten games have come against defenses that rank in the top half of the league in points to PG’s. Today he gets the Hornets who allow the 4th most points to PG’s at 25.3PPG. Haliburton has three straight lower scoring games by his standards but he breaks out here.

OVER POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Tyrese Haliburton – Indiana Pacers

Haliburton and the Pacers have faced a gauntlet of great defensive teams when it comes to point guards. 5 of their last ten games have come against teams that rank 7 in points allowed per game to PG’s on the season. 9 of their last ten games have come against defenses that rank in the top half of the league in points to PG’s. Today he gets the Hornets who allow the 4th most points to PG’s at 25.3PPG. Not only will Haliburton have a big scoring game but he’ll get his assists. He leads the league with 10.2 APG and has 12 in his last two games. He has also nabbed 24 rebounds in his last four games.

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NFL PLAYER PROP BETS – Jan 1

ASA NFL PLAYER PROPS – Jan 1st 2022

Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers) Over 27.5 Rec Yards (Even)

Lenny had his best performance in quite some time last week, putting up 9 catches for 90 yards as the Bucs top receiver. Tom Brady was strictly looking to dink and dunk and has found recent success getting the ball out quickly. Using the short passes as an extension of the run game will help Tampa to avoid negative plays with an increasingly injured offensive line. 

David Montgomery (Bears) Over 49.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Detroit was abused by the Panther’s rushing attack last week for an astonishing 320 yards on the ground. With Montgomery seeing the majority of the backfield carries, he is in for a big day after Chuba Hubbard and D’onte Foreman both amassed 100+ yards against the Lions. Chicago will look to get the ground game going with the dynamic duo of Montgomery and Fields. 

Aaron Rodgers (Packers) Over 254.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Green Bay is riding a three game winning streak and needs to win out to have a chance at the playoffs. Healthy weapons have helped the Packers become more explosive in the passing game and Minnesota bringing the league’s worst passing defense to Lambeau Field bodes well this week. Rodgers has not surpassed 300 yards all season, but will need to turn back the clock in a must win game. 

Aaron Rodgers (Packers) OVER 2.5 RUSHING YARDS

All we need is one scramble from Rodgers here to cash this ticket. He’s going up against one of, if not the worst defense in the NFL. Minnesota is 31st in total yards per game allowed, 32nd against the pass and 19th versus the run. In a must win situation we know Rodgers will do everything he can to win this game and even though he doesn’t run as much as he used to, he will here when forced from the pocket. On the season he is averaging 2.7 rushing yards per game.