Tag: American Sports Analysts

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NBA free predictions from ASA – March 7th

ASA play on: Atlanta Hawks -2.5 @ Washington Wizards, 7PM ET

The first question I asked myself when I looked at this line was, why are the Hawks favored here? Atlanta was recently a -7.5-point home favorite over the Wizards at home and lost 116-119. That tells us this line should be a pick’em which means the oddsmakers are baiting us into betting the Wiz. Washington is in a tough scheduling situation here having played last night and on March 3rd and 4th. That makes this their 4th game in six days which rarely happens in the NBA. Atlanta is off back-to-back losses in Miami and have been solid when coming off a loss with a 19-14 SU record. Washington is 15-15 SU at home on the season with a negative differential of -0.4PPG. Washington’s starters saw heavy minutes last night in Detroit and they’ll have a tough time finding their legs in this one. Lay the points with Atlanta.

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NBA player prop bet by ASA – March 4th

ASA 103-69 on all NBA player prop bets this season!

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – Darius Garland – Cleveland Cavaliers

With All-Star guard Donovan Mitchell less than 100% here we expect Garland to carry more of the scoring burden against a Pistons team that is one of the worst in the NBA. When in comes to defensive efficiency the Pistons rank 28th only slightly higher than the Rockets and Spurs. They also give up on average 24.7PPG to Point Guards on the season which is 8th worst in the league. Garland has scored 22 or more in 4 of his last five games.

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College Basketball Free bet – Feb 23rd

ASA is currently on a 23-9 HOT STREAK IN COLLEGE BASKETBALL! CHECK OUT NIGHTLY WINNERS ONLINE HERE!

#795/796 ASA PLAY ON Under 136 Points – Michigan vs Rutgers, Thursday at 8:30 PM ET

Rutgers is a great defensive team overall (4th nationally in efficiency) but especially so at home where they allow only 54 PPG.  At home this team allows opponents to shoot only 36% from the field and 26% from beyond the arc.  They have played 16 home games thus far and only 3 opponents have reached 60 points.  Their most recent home game was one of their worst defensive performances of the year allowing Nebraska to score 82 points on 1.21 points per possessions which is way above Rutgers season defensive average of 0.90 PPP allowed.  We expect them to play very well on that end of the court tonight.  Rutgers will be without starter Caleb McConnell tonight and they lost starting big man Mawot Mag a few weeks ago.  They are not a deep team to begin with and will benefit by keeping this game at a very slow pace which they prefer.  Michigan likes to play fast, but that won’t happen on the road tonight.  The Wolverines have been solid offensively at home this year but on the road they are averaging only 67 PPG and will land below that tonight vs one of the top defenses in the nation.  Defensively Michigan ranks 7th in the Big 10 in efficiency but shouldn’t need to be great on that end tonight vs a Rutgers offense that ranks dead last in the league in eFG%.  Four of Michigan’s last six road game have totaled less than 120 points and their average point total on the road this year is 137 points.  Rutgers home games this season are averaging just 128 total points and 7 of the last 9 meetings between these 2 have resulted in 135 or fewer points.  Take the Under.

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NBA Free bet – Feb 15th – By ASA

ASA free play on Memphis Grizzlies -10 vs Utah Jazz, 8:10PM ET

The Grizzlies are coming off a loss in Boston on the 12th and will look to rebound against the Jazz back at home. Utah is off a road win in Indianapolis on the 13th but are just 3-6 SU their last nine games. Memphis is 23-5 SU at home with the 2nd best average Margin of Victory on their home court at +10.5PPG. When coming off a loss and playing at home the Grizz are 6-3 SU and ATS. Utah is 11-18 SU for the season on the road with a negative differential of -2.4PPG. The last time these two teams met on this court was back on Jan 8th with the Grizzlies winning 123-118 as a -5.5-point favorite. Memphis played that game without Ja Morant or Steven Adams and Utah had Mike Conley. The home team has won 5 straight in this series and with the Grizzlies +/- at home we like them to win and do so by their average MOV. Lay it!

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Player Prop Bets Sunday, Feb 12th

ASA has you covered today with a pair of Player Prop Bets. 1 in the NFL and 1 in the NBA

OVER 3.5 RUSH ATTEMPTS – QB Patrick Mahomes – KC Chiefs

Mahomes has had 2 more weeks to get closer to 100%.  He had 3 rush attempts in both Jax (missed some of game and came back injured) and vs Cincinnati on bad ankle.  Mahomes carried the ball 4 or more times in in 10 of 19 games this season and with the Eagles pass rush (most sacks in the NFL), Mahomes may have more opportunities to scramble for yardage.  In his 3 Super Bowl appearances Mahomes has 21 rushing attempts (7 per game average) and hasn’t had less than 5 attempts in any of those games.

ASA player prop OVER 31.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Pascal Siakam – Toronto Raptors

Siakam is on a miny-tear right now and has put up two straight impressive games against the Spurs and Jazz. Today he gets a very favorable matchup against a Pistons team that struggles to stop Power Forwards. Detroit allows the 2nd most points and rebounds to PF’s on the season at 23.9PPG and 12.1RPG. Siakam is averaging 31.8Pts+Rebs his last ten games and has put up 47 and 41 in the past two games. We are betting he has a big game today.