Tag: AFC South picks

Houston Texans – Under 9.5 Wins (+125) We think Houston is a bit overvalued after last year’s 10-7 season.  Their opening win total a year ago was 5.5 and now we’re sitting a full 4 games above that at 9.5 and plus juice on the Under. 

They were a bit fortunate last year to get to 10 wins.  Their point differential was just +24 for the season and they finished 7-3 in one score games so we can probably look for a regression there.  They also played one of the league’s easiest schedules in 2023 and that is being replaced with a much tougher slate in 2024 (7^th toughest SOS this season).  They face the NFC North & AFC East so @ Green Bay, vs Detroit, @ NY Jets, vs Buffalo, and vs Miami.  On top of that, their other opponents outside the AFC South include games @ Kansas City, @ Dallas, and home vs Baltimore.  Last year their 3 “swing games” so to speak were NY Jets, Denver and Atlanta so a huge upgrade this season in level of opponents.   

They also play 9 road games this season and they were just .500 away from home last year with tight 2 point wins @ Carolina (2 wins on the season), @ Atlanta (7 wins last season) and Houston was destroyed @ NY Jets with Zach Wilson at the helm. 

QB Stroud and HC Ryans had great first seasons but is the dreaded sophomore slump in store for the 2024 year?  Teams now have had a full season of film on Stroud so he won’t sneak up on anyone.  He’s also operating behind an offensive line that ranks near the bottom of the NFL going into this season per PFF (22^nd). 

Defensively Houston’s weak spot last year was vs the pass which is not where you want to be vulnerable in the current NFL.  They allowed 6.9 yards per pass attempt (26^th) and opposing QB’s completed over 68% of their attempts on the Texans (30^th).  This year that shaky pass defense faces the likes of Mahomes, Prescott, Rodgers, Goff, Allen, Tagovailoa, Jackson, Love, and Lawrence to name a few. 

They were also very fortunate to be +10 in turnover margin last season (5^th best in the NFL) which will be very tough to match.  This Houston team won’t catch anyone by surprise this year and we have them tabbed for 9 wins so Under is the side here. 

• NBA Predictions Future Bets | Western Conference | 2025October 22, 2024
  NBA Predictions – WESTERN CONFERENCE OVER/UNDER WIN TOTALS OVER 49.5 DALLAS MAVERICKS – Dallas won 50 games a year ago and finished the season 10th in Offensive Efficiency, 13th in DEFF. The Mavs should be better this season with a full season of PJ Washington on the roster after coming over from Charlotte at the… Read more: NBA Predictions Future Bets | Western Conference | 2025
• NBA Prediction | OKC Thunder NBA Champions 2025October 22, 2024
  ASA NBA Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder: Champions of the 2024-25 NBA Season +700 The Oklahoma City Thunder, coming off an impressive season, have set the stage for what many are predicting to be their championship year in 2024-25. Here’s why the Thunder are not just contenders but our bet to lift the Larry O’Brien Trophy:… Read more: NBA Prediction | OKC Thunder NBA Champions 2025
• New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview | MNF | 10-7-24October 7, 2024
  MNF Saints vs. Chiefs Prediction | Player Prop bets | October 7th 2024 Game Overview: The Kansas City Chiefs, coming off an impressive start with a 4-0 record, are hosting the New Orleans Saints, who stand at 2-2, in a Monday Night Football showdown at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. This game marks a significant… Read more: New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview | MNF | 10-7-24
• Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction | Oct 6th 2024October 6, 2024
  Cowboys vs Steelers Preview – Player Props Game Preview: Team Analysis: Key Betting Insights: Trends and Predictions: Betting Picks – Player props: Look at Justin Fields for over 186.5 passing yards if you believe he’ll have to throw more due to the Cowboys’ defensive adjustments. Fields has thrown fover over this number in his last… Read more: Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction | Oct 6th 2024
• Cowboys vs Giants preview | 9-26-24September 24, 2024
  NFL Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants – September 26, 2024 Cowboys vs Giants Preview Game Overview: The Dallas Cowboys, with a record of 1-2, are set to clash with the New York Giants, also standing at 1-2, in what promises to be a pivotal NFC East matchup on Thursday Night Football at… Read more: Cowboys vs Giants preview | 9-26-24
• JAGUARS vs BILLS Preview | 9-23-24September 23, 2024
  NFL Game Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills – September 22, 2024 Game Overview Jaguars vs Bills preview: The Jacksonville Jaguars, currently at 0-2, are set to face off against the Buffalo Bills, who have started the season with a perfect 2-0 record. This Monday Night Football clash on September 22, 2024, at Highmark Stadium… Read more: JAGUARS vs BILLS Preview | 9-23-24
• Commanders vs Bengals Preview | 9-23-24September 23, 2024
  Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals Game Preview – Monday, September 23, 2024 Commanders vs Bengals Preview: The Washington Commanders, coming off a 1-1 start, face off against the Cincinnati Bengals, who are looking to avoid an 0-3 hole in the season. This Monday Night Football game promises intrigue as both teams seek to establish their… Read more: Commanders vs Bengals Preview | 9-23-24
• Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Predictions | September 22nd 2024September 21, 2024
  NFL Game Preview: Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs – September 22, 2024 ASAWins Team breaks down the Sunday Night game. Chiefs vs Falcons Prediction Game Details: Betting Odds: Injury Updates: Kansas City Chiefs: Atlanta Falcons: Game Analysis: Chiefs’ Offense: Despite injuries, Patrick Mahomes continues to lead one of the most dynamic offenses in the… Read more: Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Predictions | September 22nd 2024
• NFL Prediction | NY Jets vs SF 49ers Preview | Sept 9 2024September 9, 2024
  New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview for Monday Night Football – By ASA NFL prediction Jets vs 49ers Game Overview: The NFL kicks off its 2024 season with a compelling matchup as the New York Jets visit the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football. This game not only marks the beginning… Read more: NFL Prediction | NY Jets vs SF 49ers Preview | Sept 9 2024
• NFC South Prediction | Atlanta Falcons | 9-5-2024September 5, 2024
  ASA’s NFC SOUTH PREDICTION – WIN TOTAL PROJECTION NFC South Prediction – Atlanta Falcons – OVER 9.5 Wins (-130) The Falcons won just 7 games last season yet their win total this year has jumped to 9.5.  We believe that is warranted and even a bit light as our projections have them winning at least… Read more: NFC South Prediction | Atlanta Falcons | 9-5-2024