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NHL free pick | Maple Leafs vs Senators | April 20 2025

ASA NHL free pick on Toronto Maple Leafs -160 vs. Ottawa Senators, 7pm ET

We are on the Toronto Maple Leafs, at Scotiabank Arena, powered by their offensive depth, elite goaltending, and strong home performance.

Toronto’s 27-13-2 home record and +33 goal differential (3.22 goals for, 2.76 against at home) highlight their dominance, led by Auston Matthews (32 goals since January), Mitch Marner (102 points), and William Nylander (45 goals).

While Ottawa swept the regular-season series (9-3 aggregate), their -17 goal differential and lack of playoff experience make them underdogs against Toronto’s battle-tested roster.

Toronto’s goaltending tandem of Anthony Stolarz (2.14 GAA, .926 SV%, NHL-leading 34 games) and Joseph Woll (2.72 GAA, .909 SV%) outshines Ottawa’s Linus Ullmark (2.72 GAA, .910 SV%) and Anton Forsberg (2.72 GAA, .901 SV%). With defensive upgrades like Chris Tanev and a potent top-six, the Leafs should leverage home-ice advantage for a big win in Game 1 of this series.

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