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NHL bets | Free pick | Lightning vs Panthers Prediction | April 28 2025

Panthers vs. Lightning Betting Prediction – April 28, 2025

Pick: Florida Panthers Moneyline (-140)

The Florida Panthers lead this series 2-1 with the road team winning all three games of this series. We expect that trend to get snapped tonight and like the Panthers at home over the Lightning. Florida’s 27-13-2 home record, 40-28 mark as favorites, and superior performance against winning teams give them the edge. The Panthers 57% winning percentage this season again that win 55% of their games is a great indicator of how this team fared against better competition. The Lightning on the other hand was 15-18  against teams of that same caliber this season. The Panthers have outshot Tampa Bay 74-63 in the series, while Sergei Bobrovsky’s .936 SV% (2.53 GAA) outshines Andrei Vasilevskiy’s .892 SV% (2.67 GAA). Tampa Bay’s 19-23 road record and 7-14 mark as underdogs is also a concern for Lightning fans. Florida’s depth, led by Verhaeghe and Tkachuk, and strong penalty kill make them the play to take a 3-1 series lead.

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