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NBA free bet Nov 16th

NBA Free Bet – Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction

ASA play on: Houston Rockets +6.5 at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET

*No Luka Doncic for Dallas tonight hence the big line move.* After winning with our play on the Clippers last night against the Mavs we will come right back with a NBA free bet against Dallas tonight. The Mavs are 6-7-1 AST their last 14 when playing without rest and their +/- in those games is just +1.6PPG which clearly isn’t enough for a cover tonight. Dallas is off to a 8-5 SU start to the season with a 7-1 record at home. The Mavs +7.1PPG average margin of victory at home though is very misleading as they have a 41-point win over the Grizzlies. If we remove that one blowout their average +/- at home is just 2.1PPG. In their last five home games they have won by a combined 13-points. The Rockets have the 4th worst road differential in the NBA at minus -9.4PPG but they’ve also faced a brutal road schedule, with 8 of ten opponents having an above .500 record. Houston has covered 7 of the last ten meetings in Dallas and get another ATS ‘W’ here. Good luck with this NBA wager Wednesday night.