ASA play on: Memphis Grizzlies +2 over Toronto Raptors, 8PM ET
Memphis was red hot with seven straight wins prior to a 3-game losing streak but we expect them to get back to their winning ways here. Let’s first look at the Grizz seven wins which included impressive home wins over Brooklyn, Philly and Phoenix. Even the three losses were against upper tier or hot teams right now in Indiana, Houston and New Orleans. The line on this game is off according to our metrics as Memphis was recently favored over both Brooklyn and Philadelphia who are two of the best teams in the East. Toronto was recently a 1-point favorite at Atlanta (and lost) and based on our computer ratings, the Raptors shouldn’t be favored here with a 4-8 SU road record and a negative point differential of minus -0.4PPG. Memphis has dealt with several key injuries but have all their main players back here with Ja Morant and Valanciunas in the lineup. Our models have Memphis winning this game by 6-points.